[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-98163626":29,"prediction-98163626-v2":192},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":191},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":40,"follower_count":41,"follower_diff_week":42,"follower_diff_latest":42,"percentile":43,"percentile_diff_week":44,"percentile_diff_latest":45,"latest_stream_start":46,"latest_stream_end":47,"stream_days":11,"total_sessions":11,"total_duration_minutes":48,"category":49,"title":52,"clip_count":42,"total_clip_views":42,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":62,"percentile_history":63,"weekly_data":184,"creator":186,"youtube_channels":190,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},98163626,"びこたんかも","bikotann",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F33c2818b-a91c-4e37-9e66-6e96ee165e56-profile_image-300x300.png","",1,1.48,4,12,0,8.412408759124087,-29.859364239030615,-0.05654798773071157,"2026-07-10T13:49:34.000+09:00","2026-07-10T14:20:03.117+09:00",720,{"id":50,"name":51},"511224","Apex Legends","APEX!",[54],{"id":55,"title":52,"started_at":46,"ended_at":47,"duration_minutes":56,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":42,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":59,"vod_archives":61},13420192,30,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_bikotann-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":60,"name":51},15,[],[],[64,68,72,76,80,84,88,92,96,100,104,108,112,116,120,124,128,132,136,140,144,148,152,156,160,164,168,172,176,180],{"id":65,"percentile":66,"measured_on":67},15677025,2.3870339962293983,"2026-04-13",{"id":69,"percentile":70,"measured_on":71},15742462,2.3173826492622362,"2026-04-14",{"id":73,"percentile":74,"measured_on":75},15820678,2.3083001550010636,"2026-04-15",{"id":77,"percentile":78,"measured_on":79},15886010,20.386249752501637,"2026-04-16",{"id":81,"percentile":82,"measured_on":83},15951369,39.17274568630736,"2026-04-17",{"id":85,"percentile":86,"measured_on":87},16017018,35.14348919664233,"2026-04-18",{"id":89,"percentile":90,"measured_on":91},16082596,35.20089691533846,"2026-04-19",{"id":93,"percentile":94,"measured_on":95},16147849,35.197794330454386,"2026-04-20",{"id":97,"percentile":98,"measured_on":99},16227585,38.781146527915524,"2026-04-21",{"id":101,"percentile":102,"measured_on":103},16292995,38.91753363639137,"2026-04-22",{"id":105,"percentile":106,"measured_on":107},16394597,2.4019203131211206,"2026-04-24",{"id":109,"percentile":110,"measured_on":111},16401179,2.4016765844181673,"2026-04-25",{"id":113,"percentile":114,"measured_on":115},18793676,8.204267058488387,"2026-06-02",{"id":117,"percentile":118,"measured_on":119},18920440,25.850583448830868,"2026-06-03",{"id":121,"percentile":122,"measured_on":123},18987398,26.075208622568557,"2026-06-04",{"id":125,"percentile":126,"measured_on":127},19104151,26.144318793753367,"2026-06-05",{"id":129,"percentile":130,"measured_on":131},19211137,26.25579655946148,"2026-06-07",{"id":133,"percentile":134,"measured_on":135},19298226,26.251990266470393,"2026-06-08",{"id":137,"percentile":138,"measured_on":139},19364595,34.97661407967756,"2026-06-09",{"id":141,"percentile":142,"measured_on":143},19493948,38.52419524827607,"2026-06-12",{"id":145,"percentile":146,"measured_on":147},19585200,38.68166095146823,"2026-06-13",{"id":149,"percentile":150,"measured_on":151},19664174,38.67524885861837,"2026-06-14",{"id":153,"percentile":154,"measured_on":155},19730144,38.33399131464667,"2026-06-15",{"id":157,"percentile":158,"measured_on":159},19866207,38.2717729981547,"2026-06-16",{"id":161,"percentile":162,"measured_on":163},20666422,8.482758620689655,"2026-06-24",{"id":165,"percentile":166,"measured_on":167},20748895,8.466036612363926,"2026-06-25",{"id":169,"percentile":170,"measured_on":171},20814668,8.428159032243283,"2026-06-26",{"id":173,"percentile":174,"measured_on":175},20880435,8.538991591536897,"2026-06-27",{"id":177,"percentile":178,"measured_on":179},20946517,8.434190048804073,"2026-06-28",{"id":181,"percentile":182,"measured_on":183},21110634,8.468956746854799,"2026-06-29",{"Thu":185},{"20:00":38},{"id":187,"name":32,"primary_platform":188,"verified":35,"total_followers":189},234059,"twitch",5,[],[],{"streamer":193,"latest_prediction":194,"historical_predictions":301,"trend_analysis":391,"approach_performance":393,"available_approaches":422,"model_summary":453},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":195,"id":261,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":262,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"score":265,"trend_change":266,"weighted_trend_change":267,"viewer_count":42,"follower_count":42,"scoring_weights":268,"trend_direction":277,"trendDirection":277,"confidence":278,"reference_level":278,"referenceLevel":278,"reference_reasons":279,"referenceReasons":284,"growth_rate":266,"growthRate":266,"observed_days":285,"observedDays":285,"session_count":285,"sessionCount":285,"data_completeness":286,"dataCompleteness":286,"last_streamed_at":287,"lastStreamedAt":287,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":41,"streamer":288,"category":289,"ml_score":290,"bayesian_score":213,"regression_score":291,"momentum_score":213,"growth_potential_score":290,"quality_score":292,"normalized_score":292,"clip_influence_composite":42,"clip_influence_score":42,"clip_creator_activity_score":42,"clip_creator_growth_score":213,"clip_creator_quality_score":42,"clip_creator_variety_score":42,"formatted_total_score":293,"formatted_weighted_score":294,"formatted_trend_change":295,"formatted_growth_rate":295,"formatted_current_viewers":296,"formatted_current_followers":297,"trend_direction_text":298,"trend_direction_icon":299,"confidence_text":300,"reference_level_text":300},[196,201,206,211,216,221,225,229,233,237,241,245,249,253,257],{"name":197,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":199},"weighted_score",48.64,{"description":200},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":202,"value":203,"enabled":27,"info":204},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":205},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":207,"value":208,"enabled":27,"info":209},"ml_score",87.19,{"description":210},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":212,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":214},"momentum_score",50,{"description":215},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":217,"value":218,"enabled":27,"info":219},"normalized_score",56.39,{"description":220},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":222,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":223},"clip_influence_score",{"description":224},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":226,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":227},"social_spread_score",{"description":228},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":230,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":231},"new_viewer_score",{"description":232},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":234,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":235},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":236},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":238,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":239},"bayesian_score",{"description":240},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":242,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":243},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":244},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":246,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":247},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":248},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":250,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":251},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":252},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":254,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":255},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":256},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":258,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":259},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":260},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51777915,"2026-07-11",525.5499364559786,"33.466",33.466,5.514227928337688,6.87,{"ml_score":269,"bayesian_score":270,"momentum_score":271,"weighted_score":272,"new_viewer_score":273,"normalized_score":274,"regression_score":275,"social_spread_score":276,"clip_influence_score":273,"loyal_clip_creators_score":273,"clip_creator_quality_score":273,"clip_creator_variety_score":273,"clip_creator_activity_score":273},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"up","insufficient",[280,281,282,283],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[280,281,282,283],2,0.07,"2026-07-10T13:49:34+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":60,"name":51},87.19323392896624,33.33333333333333,56.38748411399463,525.5,"33.5","+5.5%","1","12","上昇","⬆️","検証不足",[302,303,308,311,315,320,323,326,329,332,335,339,342,344,346,348,350,353,356,359,362,365,368,371,375,379,382,385,388],{"id":261,"prediction_date":262,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":266},{"id":304,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},51481077,"2026-07-10",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",{"id":309,"prediction_date":310,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},51250684,"2026-07-09",{"id":312,"prediction_date":313,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":314},50988932,"2026-07-08",14.283801916066349,{"id":316,"prediction_date":317,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},50743970,"2026-07-07",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":321,"prediction_date":322,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},50442780,"2026-07-06",{"id":324,"prediction_date":325,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},50212191,"2026-07-05",{"id":327,"prediction_date":328,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},49936072,"2026-07-04",{"id":330,"prediction_date":331,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},49726673,"2026-07-03",{"id":333,"prediction_date":334,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},49432104,"2026-07-02",{"id":336,"prediction_date":337,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":338},49213950,"2026-07-01",-17.07140742958309,{"id":340,"prediction_date":341,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":42},48955209,"2026-06-30",{"id":343,"prediction_date":179,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":42},48660089,{"id":345,"prediction_date":175,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":42},48420914,{"id":347,"prediction_date":171,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":42},48140665,{"id":349,"prediction_date":167,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":42},47885402,{"id":351,"prediction_date":163,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":352},47651040,20.5856712388882,{"id":354,"prediction_date":355,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},47401509,"2026-06-23",{"id":357,"prediction_date":358,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},47133224,"2026-06-22",{"id":360,"prediction_date":361,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},46927892,"2026-06-21",{"id":363,"prediction_date":364,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},46664552,"2026-06-20",{"id":366,"prediction_date":367,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},46391386,"2026-06-19",{"id":369,"prediction_date":370,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":42},46169088,"2026-06-18",{"id":372,"prediction_date":373,"total_score":318,"weighted_total_score":319,"trend_change":374},45889050,"2026-06-17",-18.325914627371876,{"id":376,"prediction_date":159,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":42},45662460,533.6223400228316,"34.0985",{"id":380,"prediction_date":155,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":381},45393985,-2.9756015124537623,{"id":383,"prediction_date":151,"total_score":384,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45197104,549.9877848676648,{"id":386,"prediction_date":147,"total_score":384,"weighted_total_score":387,"trend_change":42},44937641,"35.3801",{"id":389,"prediction_date":143,"total_score":384,"weighted_total_score":387,"trend_change":390},44683832,-1.5352851381316277,{"trend_direction":277,"confidence":278,"reference_level":278,"reference_reasons":392,"growth_rate":266,"trend_change":266,"weighted_trend_change":267},[280,281,282,283],{"weighted_score":394,"regression_score":400,"ml_score":401,"momentum_score":406,"normalized_score":407,"clip_influence_score":412,"social_spread_score":413,"new_viewer_score":414,"genre_correlation_score":415,"bayesian_score":416,"clip_creator_variety_score":417,"clip_creator_activity_score":418,"clip_creator_growth_score":419,"clip_creator_quality_score":420,"loyal_clip_creators_score":421},{"current":395,"average":396,"max":397,"min":398,"trend":399},48.63588507968435,33.93,60.777196441099136,17.416092081753813,-12.14,{"current":291,"average":203,"max":291,"min":291,"trend":42},{"current":290,"average":402,"max":403,"min":404,"trend":405},69.6,93.38030887631609,51.12394875316044,-6.19,{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":42},{"current":292,"average":408,"max":409,"min":410,"trend":411},45.62,62.49694621691619,33.95779138941586,-6.11,{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":42},{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":42},{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":42},{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"weighted_score":423,"regression_score":425,"ml_score":427,"momentum_score":429,"normalized_score":431,"clip_influence_score":433,"social_spread_score":435,"new_viewer_score":437,"genre_correlation_score":439,"bayesian_score":441,"clip_creator_variety_score":443,"clip_creator_activity_score":445,"clip_creator_growth_score":447,"clip_creator_quality_score":449,"loyal_clip_creators_score":451},{"name":424,"desc":200},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":426,"desc":205},"時系列回帰",{"name":428,"desc":210},"機械学習モデル",{"name":430,"desc":215},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":432,"desc":220},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":434,"desc":224},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":436,"desc":228},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":438,"desc":232},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":440,"desc":236},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":442,"desc":240},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":444,"desc":244},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":446,"desc":248},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":448,"desc":252},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":450,"desc":256},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":452,"desc":260},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":454,"generatedAt":455,"targetMetric":456,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":334,"validationPeriodEnd":310,"validationSampleCount":457,"validationMetricSampleCount":458,"correlation":459,"legacyTrendCorrelation":460,"scoreCorrelation":459,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":461,"topDecileLift":462,"topDecileAvgGrowth":463,"overallAvgGrowth":464,"mae":465,"rmse":466,"directionAccuracy":467,"modelReliabilityLevel":468,"candidateApproachCount":60,"enabledApproachCount":469,"predictionDataStatus":470,"notice":474,"explanation":475},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,"low",13,{"latestAvailableDate":262,"exposedPredictionDate":262,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":471,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":472,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":472,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":42,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":42,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":42,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":473},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":476,"reliabilityInterpretation":477,"metricDefinitions":478,"limitations":490,"improvementPolicy":495},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":479,"scoreCorrelation":480,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":481,"topDecileLift":482,"topDecileAvgGrowth":483,"overallAvgGrowth":484,"legacyTrendCorrelation":485,"mae":486,"rmse":487,"directionAccuracy":488,"validationMetricSampleCount":489},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[491,492,493,494],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[496,497,498,499],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]