[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-91372032":29,"prediction-91372032-v2":212},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":211},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":40,"follower_count":19,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":43,"percentile_diff_latest":44,"latest_stream_start":45,"latest_stream_end":46,"stream_days":47,"total_sessions":47,"total_duration_minutes":48,"category":49,"title":52,"clip_count":53,"total_clip_views":54,"recent_sessions":55,"recent_clips":65,"percentile_history":83,"weekly_data":204,"creator":207,"youtube_channels":210,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},91372032,"きょうのすけ","kyonosuke_fps",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F699eb3a2-baa2-4f6a-a852-4d6145bad719-profile_image-300x300.png","valoやってます。2026年3月29日に配信スタート。大体の配信時間帯→⚪︎平日:20時〜1 時 ⚪︎休日:いつでも",1,2.12,5,0,38.18215452919775,12.16372766557177,0.010699549609057613,"2026-07-11T11:03:39.000+09:00","2026-07-11T18:35:12.894+09:00",41,10080,{"id":50,"name":51},"509658","Just Chatting","期末テスト勉強 脱走しないように見てて",2,29,[56],{"id":57,"title":52,"started_at":45,"ended_at":46,"duration_minutes":58,"average_viewers":53,"peak_viewers":59,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":60,"language":61,"tags":34,"game_category":62,"vod_archives":64},13451442,452,3,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_kyonosuke_fps-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":63,"name":51},17,[],[66,75],{"id":67,"title":68,"view_count":19,"created_at":69,"duration":70,"thumbnail_url":71,"url":72,"creator":73},5090846,"激強1vs3","2026-04-04T19:05:32.000+09:00",30,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002F0e829046-d377-46c8-a944-e0ff1706c232\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fkyonosuke_fps\u002Fclip\u002FSaltyCorrectSoybeanDoggo-7NmZXXczYo9cjbFI",{"id":74,"name":32},"715414700",{"id":76,"title":77,"view_count":78,"created_at":79,"duration":70,"thumbnail_url":80,"url":81,"creator":82},5071892,"カメラ壊すの下手なやつ",22,"2026-04-01T21:41:38.000+09:00","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002F8ad340cc-a767-46d4-953a-39e89b479fa1\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fkyonosuke_fps\u002Fclip\u002FCarelessCallousGrassGrammarKing-pAFWiduEJWLoatKF",{"id":74,"name":32},[84,88,92,96,100,104,108,112,116,120,124,128,132,136,140,144,148,152,156,160,164,168,172,176,180,184,188,192,196,200],{"id":85,"percentile":86,"measured_on":87},14806484,30.10200983666282,"2026-03-30",{"id":89,"percentile":90,"measured_on":91},14871980,48.463313896987366,"2026-03-31",{"id":93,"percentile":94,"measured_on":95},14951815,55.65950757976512,"2026-04-02",{"id":97,"percentile":98,"measured_on":99},15017434,56.670351804455485,"2026-04-03",{"id":101,"percentile":102,"measured_on":103},15083077,56.12794816676254,"2026-04-04",{"id":105,"percentile":106,"measured_on":107},15148845,58.391096211057246,"2026-04-05",{"id":109,"percentile":110,"measured_on":111},15214254,57.81539677233079,"2026-04-06",{"id":113,"percentile":114,"measured_on":115},15279699,57.94241690646934,"2026-04-07",{"id":117,"percentile":118,"measured_on":119},15345013,59.176035683734575,"2026-04-08",{"id":121,"percentile":122,"measured_on":123},15386107,57.478341915078914,"2026-04-09",{"id":125,"percentile":126,"measured_on":127},15475507,56.80526839727391,"2026-04-10",{"id":129,"percentile":130,"measured_on":131},15541036,56.05415919521016,"2026-04-11",{"id":133,"percentile":134,"measured_on":135},15606983,51.40220789223311,"2026-04-12",{"id":137,"percentile":138,"measured_on":139},15672579,47.41835431490604,"2026-04-13",{"id":141,"percentile":142,"measured_on":143},15738263,45.94192107222636,"2026-04-14",{"id":145,"percentile":146,"measured_on":147},15816752,42.36543780202413,"2026-04-15",{"id":149,"percentile":150,"measured_on":151},15882354,43.24291393149245,"2026-04-16",{"id":153,"percentile":154,"measured_on":155},15947957,46.40665214808949,"2026-04-17",{"id":157,"percentile":158,"measured_on":159},16013870,46.28019030879724,"2026-04-18",{"id":161,"percentile":162,"measured_on":163},16079789,50.110599357614696,"2026-04-19",{"id":165,"percentile":166,"measured_on":167},16145419,51.64892077564015,"2026-04-20",{"id":169,"percentile":170,"measured_on":171},16225293,51.24128354975053,"2026-04-21",{"id":173,"percentile":174,"measured_on":175},16290790,49.077096744668516,"2026-04-22",{"id":177,"percentile":178,"measured_on":179},16392515,48.82426688682995,"2026-04-24",{"id":181,"percentile":182,"measured_on":183},16429745,48.91771580670328,"2026-04-25",{"id":185,"percentile":186,"measured_on":187},16522368,44.6830566428914,"2026-04-27",{"id":189,"percentile":190,"measured_on":191},16586734,44.69602977667494,"2026-04-28",{"id":193,"percentile":194,"measured_on":195},16665119,44.51271284560878,"2026-04-29",{"id":197,"percentile":198,"measured_on":199},16730509,44.64879372922195,"2026-04-30",{"id":201,"percentile":202,"measured_on":203},16795497,34.953953244833215,"2026-05-01",{"Fri":205,"Sat":206},{"17:00":59,"18:00":53,"19:00":53,"20:00":38,"21:00":38,"22:00":38,"23:00":38},{"00:00":38},{"id":208,"name":32,"primary_platform":209,"verified":35,"total_followers":41},227819,"twitch",[],[],{"streamer":213,"latest_prediction":214,"historical_predictions":321,"trend_analysis":429,"approach_performance":431,"available_approaches":465,"model_summary":496},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":215,"id":281,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":282,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"score":285,"trend_change":286,"weighted_trend_change":287,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":288,"trend_direction":297,"trendDirection":297,"confidence":298,"reference_level":298,"referenceLevel":298,"reference_reasons":299,"referenceReasons":304,"growth_rate":286,"growthRate":286,"observed_days":59,"observedDays":59,"session_count":305,"sessionCount":305,"data_completeness":306,"dataCompleteness":306,"last_streamed_at":307,"lastStreamedAt":307,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":19,"streamer":308,"category":309,"ml_score":310,"bayesian_score":233,"regression_score":311,"momentum_score":233,"growth_potential_score":310,"quality_score":312,"normalized_score":312,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":233,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":313,"formatted_weighted_score":314,"formatted_trend_change":315,"formatted_growth_rate":315,"formatted_current_viewers":316,"formatted_current_followers":317,"trend_direction_text":318,"trend_direction_icon":319,"confidence_text":320,"reference_level_text":320},[216,221,226,231,236,241,245,249,253,257,261,265,269,273,277],{"name":217,"value":218,"enabled":27,"info":219},"weighted_score",17.42,{"description":220},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":222,"value":223,"enabled":27,"info":224},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":225},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":227,"value":228,"enabled":27,"info":229},"ml_score",51.12,{"description":230},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":232,"value":233,"enabled":27,"info":234},"momentum_score",50,{"description":235},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":237,"value":238,"enabled":27,"info":239},"normalized_score",33.96,{"description":240},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":242,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":243},"clip_influence_score",{"description":244},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":246,"value":233,"enabled":27,"info":247},"social_spread_score",{"description":248},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":250,"value":233,"enabled":27,"info":251},"new_viewer_score",{"description":252},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":254,"value":233,"enabled":27,"info":255},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":256},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":258,"value":233,"enabled":27,"info":259},"bayesian_score",{"description":260},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":262,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":263},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":264},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":266,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":267},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":268},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":270,"value":233,"enabled":27,"info":271},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":272},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":274,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":275},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":276},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":278,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":279},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":280},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51754737,"2026-07-11",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",26.4307,-17.736083035504414,-21.8,{"ml_score":289,"bayesian_score":290,"momentum_score":291,"weighted_score":292,"new_viewer_score":293,"normalized_score":294,"regression_score":295,"social_spread_score":296,"clip_influence_score":293,"loyal_clip_creators_score":293,"clip_creator_quality_score":293,"clip_creator_variety_score":293,"clip_creator_activity_score":293},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"down","insufficient",[300,301,302,303],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[300,301,302,303],4,0.1,"2026-07-11T11:03:39+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":63,"name":51},51.12394875316044,33.33333333333333,33.95779138941586,435.8,"26.4","-17.7%","1","7","下降","⬇️","検証不足",[322,323,329,334,337,340,343,347,353,359,364,367,370,374,379,382,385,388,391,394,398,401,404,407,410,413,417,420,425],{"id":281,"prediction_date":282,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":286},{"id":324,"prediction_date":325,"total_score":326,"weighted_total_score":327,"trend_change":328},51464866,"2026-07-10",529.7962723386543,"33.7987",-12.219215231250082,{"id":330,"prediction_date":331,"total_score":332,"weighted_total_score":333,"trend_change":41},51226746,"2026-07-09",603.5446980046395,"39.3729",{"id":335,"prediction_date":336,"total_score":332,"weighted_total_score":333,"trend_change":41},50965752,"2026-07-08",{"id":338,"prediction_date":339,"total_score":332,"weighted_total_score":333,"trend_change":41},50720686,"2026-07-07",{"id":341,"prediction_date":342,"total_score":332,"weighted_total_score":333,"trend_change":41},50426554,"2026-07-06",{"id":344,"prediction_date":345,"total_score":332,"weighted_total_score":333,"trend_change":346},50194633,"2026-07-05",10.508433927202436,{"id":348,"prediction_date":349,"total_score":350,"weighted_total_score":351,"trend_change":352},49918644,"2026-07-04",546.1526116660248,"36.0069",2.0055347184577306,{"id":354,"prediction_date":355,"total_score":356,"weighted_total_score":357,"trend_change":358},49702535,"2026-07-03",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",1.8770333977229177,{"id":360,"prediction_date":361,"total_score":362,"weighted_total_score":363,"trend_change":41},49415422,"2026-07-02",525.5499364559786,"33.466",{"id":365,"prediction_date":366,"total_score":362,"weighted_total_score":363,"trend_change":41},49189312,"2026-07-01",{"id":368,"prediction_date":369,"total_score":362,"weighted_total_score":363,"trend_change":41},48930871,"2026-06-30",{"id":371,"prediction_date":372,"total_score":362,"weighted_total_score":363,"trend_change":373},48641016,"2026-06-28",5.514227928337688,{"id":375,"prediction_date":376,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":41},48400363,"2026-06-27",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",{"id":380,"prediction_date":381,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":41},48124196,"2026-06-26",{"id":383,"prediction_date":384,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":41},47869376,"2026-06-25",{"id":386,"prediction_date":387,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":41},47628189,"2026-06-24",{"id":389,"prediction_date":390,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":41},47384602,"2026-06-23",{"id":392,"prediction_date":393,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":41},47117309,"2026-06-22",{"id":395,"prediction_date":396,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":397},46903854,"2026-06-21",14.283801916066349,{"id":399,"prediction_date":400,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":41},46640514,"2026-06-20",{"id":402,"prediction_date":403,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":41},46372308,"2026-06-19",{"id":405,"prediction_date":406,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":41},46144050,"2026-06-18",{"id":408,"prediction_date":409,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":41},45867397,"2026-06-17",{"id":411,"prediction_date":412,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":41},45636150,"2026-06-16",{"id":414,"prediction_date":415,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":284,"trend_change":416},45363201,"2026-06-15",-15.054379446326212,{"id":418,"prediction_date":419,"total_score":283,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45168107,"2026-06-14",{"id":421,"prediction_date":422,"total_score":423,"weighted_total_score":424,"trend_change":41},44911955,"2026-06-13",513.0707889552457,"32.4881",{"id":426,"prediction_date":427,"total_score":423,"weighted_total_score":424,"trend_change":428},44658594,"2026-06-12",-7.837481795295344,{"trend_direction":297,"confidence":298,"reference_level":298,"reference_reasons":430,"growth_rate":286,"trend_change":286,"weighted_trend_change":287},[300,301,302,303],{"weighted_score":432,"regression_score":437,"ml_score":440,"momentum_score":444,"normalized_score":447,"clip_influence_score":451,"social_spread_score":452,"new_viewer_score":453,"genre_correlation_score":456,"bayesian_score":457,"clip_creator_variety_score":460,"clip_creator_activity_score":461,"clip_creator_growth_score":462,"clip_creator_quality_score":463,"loyal_clip_creators_score":464},{"current":433,"average":434,"max":435,"min":433,"trend":436},17.416092081753813,40.34,64.99790206979765,-25.88,{"current":311,"average":438,"max":439,"min":311,"trend":41},33.88,49.2063492063492,{"current":310,"average":441,"max":442,"min":310,"trend":443},76.3,94.78402140801532,-32.05,{"current":233,"average":445,"max":233,"min":446,"trend":41},49.24,27.840624539964377,{"current":312,"average":448,"max":449,"min":312,"trend":450},50.17,66.482758686277,-19.31,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":233,"average":233,"max":233,"min":233,"trend":41},{"current":233,"average":454,"max":455,"min":233,"trend":41},57.94,96.0576889231111,{"current":233,"average":233,"max":233,"min":233,"trend":41},{"current":233,"average":458,"max":459,"min":233,"trend":41},50.08,52.38095238095239,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":233,"average":233,"max":233,"min":233,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":466,"regression_score":468,"ml_score":470,"momentum_score":472,"normalized_score":474,"clip_influence_score":476,"social_spread_score":478,"new_viewer_score":480,"genre_correlation_score":482,"bayesian_score":484,"clip_creator_variety_score":486,"clip_creator_activity_score":488,"clip_creator_growth_score":490,"clip_creator_quality_score":492,"loyal_clip_creators_score":494},{"name":467,"desc":220},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":469,"desc":225},"時系列回帰",{"name":471,"desc":230},"機械学習モデル",{"name":473,"desc":235},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":475,"desc":240},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":477,"desc":244},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":479,"desc":248},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":481,"desc":252},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":483,"desc":256},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":485,"desc":260},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":487,"desc":264},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":489,"desc":268},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":491,"desc":272},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":493,"desc":276},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":495,"desc":280},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":497,"generatedAt":498,"targetMetric":499,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":349,"validationPeriodEnd":282,"validationSampleCount":500,"validationMetricSampleCount":501,"correlation":502,"legacyTrendCorrelation":503,"scoreCorrelation":502,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":504,"topDecileLift":505,"topDecileAvgGrowth":506,"overallAvgGrowth":507,"mae":508,"rmse":509,"directionAccuracy":510,"modelReliabilityLevel":511,"candidateApproachCount":512,"enabledApproachCount":513,"predictionDataStatus":514,"notice":518,"explanation":519},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",258155,12156,0.028866553564004513,0.018406975064883816,0.13678678976736153,1.6169814317349671,5.186138986909044,3.2072965620542035,6.90613282063511,21.63237605094986,0.36722606120434353,"low",15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":282,"exposedPredictionDate":282,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":515,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":516,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":516,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":41,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":41,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":517},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":520,"reliabilityInterpretation":521,"metricDefinitions":522,"limitations":534,"improvementPolicy":539},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":523,"scoreCorrelation":524,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":525,"topDecileLift":526,"topDecileAvgGrowth":527,"overallAvgGrowth":528,"legacyTrendCorrelation":529,"mae":530,"rmse":531,"directionAccuracy":532,"validationMetricSampleCount":533},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[535,536,537,538],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[540,541,542,543],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]