[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-89227642":29,"prediction-89227642-v2":208},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":33,"seo_similar_streamers":207},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"language":33,"is_partner":34,"is_affiliate":34,"profile_image_url":35,"description":36,"is_live":34,"current_viewer_count":15,"avg_viewer_count":37,"peak_viewer_count":38,"follower_count":39,"follower_diff_week":40,"follower_diff_latest":40,"percentile":40,"percentile_diff_week":40,"percentile_diff_latest":40,"latest_stream_start":41,"latest_stream_end":42,"stream_days":43,"total_sessions":43,"total_duration_minutes":44,"category":45,"title":46,"clip_count":40,"total_clip_views":40,"recent_sessions":47,"recent_clips":78,"percentile_history":79,"weekly_data":200,"creator":202,"youtube_channels":206,"twitcasting_user":33,"seo_indexable":27},89227642,"sbyudn",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fc22b5eb3-5985-4ad1-b8cd-c53c2721a709-profile_image-300x300.png","",6.94,13,119,0,"2026-07-11T10:40:13.000+09:00","2026-07-11T11:40:02.100+09:00",11,900,{"id":36,"name":36},"1.5次会",[48,57,64,71],{"id":49,"title":46,"started_at":41,"ended_at":42,"duration_minutes":50,"average_viewers":19,"peak_viewers":11,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":51,"language":52,"tags":33,"game_category":53,"vod_archives":56},13451123,60,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_sbyudn-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":54,"name":55},5,"未分類",[],{"id":58,"title":46,"started_at":59,"ended_at":60,"duration_minutes":61,"average_viewers":19,"peak_viewers":7,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":51,"language":52,"tags":33,"game_category":62,"vod_archives":63},13450016,"2026-07-11T09:41:05.000+09:00","2026-07-11T10:50:02.168+09:00",69,{"id":54,"name":55},[],{"id":65,"title":46,"started_at":66,"ended_at":67,"duration_minutes":68,"average_viewers":19,"peak_viewers":15,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":51,"language":52,"tags":33,"game_category":69,"vod_archives":70},13448206,"2026-07-11T07:00:00.000+09:00","2026-07-11T09:40:03.634+09:00",160,{"id":54,"name":55},[],{"id":72,"title":46,"started_at":73,"ended_at":74,"duration_minutes":75,"average_viewers":23,"peak_viewers":19,"followers_gained":33,"thumbnail_url":51,"language":52,"tags":33,"game_category":76,"vod_archives":77},13447776,"2026-07-11T05:59:26.000+09:00","2026-07-11T07:00:02.315+09:00",61,{"id":54,"name":55},[],[],[80,84,88,92,96,100,104,108,112,116,120,124,128,132,136,140,144,148,152,156,160,164,168,172,176,180,184,188,192,196],{"id":81,"percentile":82,"measured_on":83},14540934,85.11658574596895,"2026-03-26",{"id":85,"percentile":86,"measured_on":87},14607392,85.05047483735886,"2026-03-27",{"id":89,"percentile":90,"measured_on":91},14664510,84.9599686383306,"2026-03-28",{"id":93,"percentile":94,"measured_on":95},14739253,84.99871874105003,"2026-03-29",{"id":97,"percentile":98,"measured_on":99},14804706,84.90041896897202,"2026-03-30",{"id":101,"percentile":102,"measured_on":103},14870202,84.88824101069,"2026-03-31",{"id":105,"percentile":106,"measured_on":107},15881861,86.5178122667804,"2026-04-16",{"id":109,"percentile":110,"measured_on":111},15947478,86.51295249988577,"2026-04-17",{"id":113,"percentile":114,"measured_on":115},16013413,86.54050122730992,"2026-04-18",{"id":117,"percentile":118,"measured_on":119},16079332,86.53566450518151,"2026-04-19",{"id":121,"percentile":122,"measured_on":123},16144965,86.40344864354368,"2026-04-20",{"id":125,"percentile":126,"measured_on":127},16224853,86.35579901429726,"2026-04-21",{"id":129,"percentile":130,"measured_on":131},16290358,86.3105226225707,"2026-04-22",{"id":133,"percentile":134,"measured_on":135},17393544,72.75129586340076,"2026-05-13",{"id":137,"percentile":138,"measured_on":139},17498657,73.59069687013661,"2026-05-14",{"id":141,"percentile":142,"measured_on":143},17541268,74.3027227481214,"2026-05-15",{"id":145,"percentile":146,"measured_on":147},17596246,75.07585686841301,"2026-05-16",{"id":149,"percentile":150,"measured_on":151},17662520,84.96942962326268,"2026-05-17",{"id":153,"percentile":154,"measured_on":155},17727806,85.24492870512684,"2026-05-18",{"id":157,"percentile":158,"measured_on":159},17801321,89.07390338616824,"2026-05-20",{"id":161,"percentile":162,"measured_on":163},17868375,89.03046257991726,"2026-05-21",{"id":165,"percentile":166,"measured_on":167},17934969,89.06411931690172,"2026-05-22",{"id":169,"percentile":170,"measured_on":171},18001300,89.03915449213744,"2026-05-23",{"id":173,"percentile":174,"measured_on":175},18309114,86.4056503755469,"2026-05-27",{"id":177,"percentile":178,"measured_on":179},18408735,86.36540069270274,"2026-05-28",{"id":181,"percentile":182,"measured_on":183},18496078,86.37761194029851,"2026-05-29",{"id":185,"percentile":186,"measured_on":187},18617513,86.37947653295767,"2026-05-31",{"id":189,"percentile":190,"measured_on":191},18684239,86.29540678474933,"2026-06-01",{"id":193,"percentile":194,"measured_on":195},18792299,86.37719837473949,"2026-06-02",{"id":197,"percentile":198,"measured_on":199},18919055,86.44878615817946,"2026-06-03",{"Fri":201},{"12:00":23,"13:00":19,"14:00":15,"15:00":19,"16:00":15,"17:00":15},{"id":203,"name":32,"primary_platform":204,"verified":34,"total_followers":205},226041,"twitch",115,[],[],{"streamer":209,"latest_prediction":210,"historical_predictions":316,"trend_analysis":403,"approach_performance":405,"available_approaches":421,"model_summary":452},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"approaches":211,"id":277,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":278,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"score":281,"trend_change":40,"weighted_trend_change":40,"viewer_count":40,"follower_count":40,"scoring_weights":282,"trend_direction":291,"trendDirection":291,"confidence":292,"reference_level":292,"referenceLevel":292,"reference_reasons":293,"referenceReasons":298,"growth_rate":40,"growthRate":40,"observed_days":299,"observedDays":299,"session_count":300,"sessionCount":300,"data_completeness":301,"dataCompleteness":301,"last_streamed_at":302,"lastStreamedAt":302,"current_viewer_count":15,"current_follower_count":39,"streamer":303,"category":304,"ml_score":305,"bayesian_score":229,"regression_score":306,"momentum_score":229,"growth_potential_score":305,"quality_score":307,"normalized_score":307,"clip_influence_composite":40,"clip_influence_score":40,"clip_creator_activity_score":40,"clip_creator_growth_score":229,"clip_creator_quality_score":40,"clip_creator_variety_score":40,"formatted_total_score":308,"formatted_weighted_score":309,"formatted_trend_change":310,"formatted_growth_rate":310,"formatted_current_viewers":311,"formatted_current_followers":312,"trend_direction_text":313,"trend_direction_icon":314,"confidence_text":315,"reference_level_text":315},[212,217,222,227,232,237,241,245,249,253,257,261,265,269,273],{"name":213,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":215},"weighted_score",37.5,{"description":216},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":218,"value":219,"enabled":27,"info":220},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":221},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":223,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":225},"ml_score",77.73,{"description":226},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":228,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":230},"momentum_score",50,{"description":231},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":233,"value":234,"enabled":27,"info":235},"normalized_score",49.52,{"description":236},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":238,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":239},"clip_influence_score",{"description":240},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":242,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":243},"social_spread_score",{"description":244},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":246,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":247},"new_viewer_score",{"description":248},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":250,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":251},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":252},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":254,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":255},"bayesian_score",{"description":256},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":258,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":259},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":260},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":262,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":263},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":264},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":266,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":267},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":268},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":270,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":271},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":272},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":274,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":275},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":276},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51748161,"2026-07-11",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",31.3133,{"ml_score":283,"bayesian_score":284,"momentum_score":285,"weighted_score":286,"new_viewer_score":287,"normalized_score":288,"regression_score":289,"social_spread_score":290,"clip_influence_score":287,"loyal_clip_creators_score":287,"clip_creator_quality_score":287,"clip_creator_variety_score":287,"clip_creator_activity_score":287},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[294,295,296,297],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[294,295,296,297],1,4,0.03,"2026-07-11T10:40:13+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"id":54,"name":55},77.72998611746911,33.33333333333333,49.52110648360082,498.1,"31.3","0.0%","8","120","安定","➡️","検証不足",[317,318,321,324,327,330,333,336,339,342,345,348,351,354,357,360,363,366,369,372,375,378,381,384,387,390,393,396,399],{"id":277,"prediction_date":278,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},{"id":319,"prediction_date":320,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},51460466,"2026-07-10",{"id":322,"prediction_date":323,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},51219868,"2026-07-09",{"id":325,"prediction_date":326,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},50959074,"2026-07-08",{"id":328,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},50714173,"2026-07-07",{"id":331,"prediction_date":332,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},50421906,"2026-07-06",{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},50190313,"2026-07-05",{"id":337,"prediction_date":338,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},49914179,"2026-07-04",{"id":340,"prediction_date":341,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},49695357,"2026-07-03",{"id":343,"prediction_date":344,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},49410481,"2026-07-02",{"id":346,"prediction_date":347,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},49182234,"2026-07-01",{"id":349,"prediction_date":350,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},48923793,"2026-06-30",{"id":352,"prediction_date":353,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},48636465,"2026-06-28",{"id":355,"prediction_date":356,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},48394319,"2026-06-27",{"id":358,"prediction_date":359,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},48120420,"2026-06-26",{"id":361,"prediction_date":362,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},47865602,"2026-06-25",{"id":364,"prediction_date":365,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},47621731,"2026-06-24",{"id":367,"prediction_date":368,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},47379917,"2026-06-23",{"id":370,"prediction_date":371,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},47112998,"2026-06-22",{"id":373,"prediction_date":374,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},46897306,"2026-06-21",{"id":376,"prediction_date":377,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},46634244,"2026-06-20",{"id":379,"prediction_date":380,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},46367226,"2026-06-19",{"id":382,"prediction_date":383,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},46136872,"2026-06-18",{"id":385,"prediction_date":386,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},45863580,"2026-06-17",{"id":388,"prediction_date":389,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},45629682,"2026-06-16",{"id":391,"prediction_date":392,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},45356340,"2026-06-15",{"id":394,"prediction_date":395,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":33,"trend_change":33},45161606,"2026-06-14",{"id":397,"prediction_date":398,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":40},44905464,"2026-06-13",{"id":400,"prediction_date":401,"total_score":279,"weighted_total_score":280,"trend_change":402},44652688,"2026-06-12",14.283801916066349,{"trend_direction":291,"confidence":292,"reference_level":292,"reference_reasons":404,"growth_rate":40,"trend_change":40,"weighted_trend_change":40},[294,295,296,297],{"weighted_score":406,"regression_score":407,"ml_score":408,"momentum_score":409,"normalized_score":410,"clip_influence_score":411,"social_spread_score":412,"new_viewer_score":413,"genre_correlation_score":414,"bayesian_score":415,"clip_creator_variety_score":416,"clip_creator_activity_score":417,"clip_creator_growth_score":418,"clip_creator_quality_score":419,"loyal_clip_creators_score":420},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":40},{"current":306,"average":219,"max":306,"min":306,"trend":40},{"current":305,"average":224,"max":305,"min":305,"trend":40},{"current":229,"average":229,"max":229,"min":229,"trend":40},{"current":307,"average":234,"max":307,"min":307,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":229,"average":229,"max":229,"min":229,"trend":40},{"current":229,"average":229,"max":229,"min":229,"trend":40},{"current":229,"average":229,"max":229,"min":229,"trend":40},{"current":229,"average":229,"max":229,"min":229,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":229,"average":229,"max":229,"min":229,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"weighted_score":422,"regression_score":424,"ml_score":426,"momentum_score":428,"normalized_score":430,"clip_influence_score":432,"social_spread_score":434,"new_viewer_score":436,"genre_correlation_score":438,"bayesian_score":440,"clip_creator_variety_score":442,"clip_creator_activity_score":444,"clip_creator_growth_score":446,"clip_creator_quality_score":448,"loyal_clip_creators_score":450},{"name":423,"desc":216},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":425,"desc":221},"時系列回帰",{"name":427,"desc":226},"機械学習モデル",{"name":429,"desc":231},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":431,"desc":236},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":433,"desc":240},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":435,"desc":244},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":437,"desc":248},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":439,"desc":252},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":441,"desc":256},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":443,"desc":260},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":445,"desc":264},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":447,"desc":268},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":449,"desc":272},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":451,"desc":276},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":453,"generatedAt":454,"targetMetric":455,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":344,"validationPeriodEnd":323,"validationSampleCount":456,"validationMetricSampleCount":457,"correlation":458,"legacyTrendCorrelation":459,"scoreCorrelation":458,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":460,"topDecileLift":461,"topDecileAvgGrowth":462,"overallAvgGrowth":463,"mae":464,"rmse":465,"directionAccuracy":466,"modelReliabilityLevel":467,"candidateApproachCount":468,"enabledApproachCount":38,"predictionDataStatus":469,"notice":473,"explanation":474},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,"low",15,{"latestAvailableDate":278,"exposedPredictionDate":278,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":470,"servingFallbackReason":33,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":471,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":471,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":40,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":40,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":40,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":472},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":475,"reliabilityInterpretation":476,"metricDefinitions":477,"limitations":489,"improvementPolicy":494},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":478,"scoreCorrelation":479,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":480,"topDecileLift":481,"topDecileAvgGrowth":482,"overallAvgGrowth":483,"legacyTrendCorrelation":484,"mae":485,"rmse":486,"directionAccuracy":487,"validationMetricSampleCount":488},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[490,491,492,493],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[495,496,497,498],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]