[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-63412628":29,"prediction-63412628-v2":161},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":33,"seo_similar_streamers":160},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"language":33,"is_partner":34,"is_affiliate":34,"profile_image_url":35,"description":36,"is_live":34,"current_viewer_count":37,"avg_viewer_count":38,"peak_viewer_count":39,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":41,"percentile_diff_latest":43,"latest_stream_start":44,"latest_stream_end":45,"stream_days":15,"total_sessions":15,"total_duration_minutes":46,"category":47,"title":50,"clip_count":41,"total_clip_views":41,"recent_sessions":51,"recent_clips":68,"percentile_history":69,"weekly_data":153,"creator":155,"youtube_channels":159,"twitcasting_user":33,"seo_indexable":34},63412628,"barazakura",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fb22145be-1435-41d1-b680-9f09aab97228-profile_image-300x300.png","初めまして！！配信を始めました。薔薇桜と申します。配信も初めてなのでどうかよろしくお願いします。フォローの方をよろしくお願いします。",2,2.91,4,54,0,51.93252715088963,-0.06937796218805659,"2026-07-11T12:55:05.000+09:00","2026-07-11T13:10:02.712+09:00",420,{"id":48,"name":49},"513181","Genshin Impact","原神やります！！新しいストーリーやるぞ！！ （注意；ネタバレ注意）",[52,60],{"id":53,"title":50,"started_at":44,"ended_at":45,"duration_minutes":54,"average_viewers":37,"peak_viewers":37,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":55,"language":56,"tags":33,"game_category":57,"vod_archives":59},13453594,15,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_barazakura-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":58,"name":49},33,[],{"id":61,"title":50,"started_at":62,"ended_at":63,"duration_minutes":64,"average_viewers":65,"peak_viewers":39,"followers_gained":33,"thumbnail_url":55,"language":56,"tags":33,"game_category":66,"vod_archives":67},13452814,"2026-07-11T12:08:46.000+09:00","2026-07-11T13:00:03.813+09:00",51,3,{"id":58,"name":49},[],[],[70,74,78,82,86,90,94,98,102,106,110,114,118,122,126,130,134,138,142,146,149],{"id":71,"percentile":72,"measured_on":73},10433562,63.969852294440564,"2026-02-01",{"id":75,"percentile":76,"measured_on":77},10475856,64.00499634413843,"2026-02-02",{"id":79,"percentile":80,"measured_on":81},10541939,63.97452422473273,"2026-02-03",{"id":83,"percentile":84,"measured_on":85},10684736,63.94779031428658,"2026-02-04",{"id":87,"percentile":88,"measured_on":89},10756598,63.85509392899784,"2026-02-05",{"id":91,"percentile":92,"measured_on":93},10801144,63.819489468208616,"2026-02-06",{"id":95,"percentile":96,"measured_on":97},10868079,64.1086399016182,"2026-02-07",{"id":99,"percentile":100,"measured_on":101},16726170,68.60340988806539,"2026-04-30",{"id":103,"percentile":104,"measured_on":105},16791260,68.5819447438938,"2026-05-01",{"id":107,"percentile":108,"measured_on":109},16855248,68.29360159450086,"2026-05-02",{"id":111,"percentile":112,"measured_on":113},16933093,68.20050348937255,"2026-05-03",{"id":115,"percentile":116,"measured_on":117},17097211,67.62244880354709,"2026-05-04",{"id":119,"percentile":120,"measured_on":121},17151991,67.32018883643433,"2026-05-05",{"id":123,"percentile":124,"measured_on":125},17192405,66.68031360668154,"2026-05-06",{"id":127,"percentile":128,"measured_on":129},21406570,52.07978852698104,"2026-07-03",{"id":131,"percentile":132,"measured_on":133},21482002,52.10015049938433,"2026-07-05",{"id":135,"percentile":136,"measured_on":137},21669394,51.950025325004226,"2026-07-06",{"id":139,"percentile":140,"measured_on":141},21734261,51.8469474170452,"2026-07-07",{"id":143,"percentile":144,"measured_on":145},21810661,52.00190511307768,"2026-07-08",{"id":147,"percentile":42,"measured_on":148},21880464,"2026-07-09",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},22013937,60.70463616825299,"2026-07-12",{"Fri":154},{"18:00":65,"19:00":37},{"id":156,"name":32,"primary_platform":157,"verified":34,"total_followers":158},202631,"twitch",53,[],[],{"streamer":162,"latest_prediction":163,"historical_predictions":268,"trend_analysis":360,"approach_performance":362,"available_approaches":395,"model_summary":426},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"approaches":164,"id":230,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":231,"total_score":232,"weighted_total_score":233,"score":234,"trend_change":41,"weighted_trend_change":41,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":235,"trend_direction":244,"trendDirection":244,"confidence":245,"reference_level":245,"referenceLevel":245,"reference_reasons":246,"referenceReasons":251,"growth_rate":41,"growthRate":41,"observed_days":37,"observedDays":37,"session_count":252,"sessionCount":252,"data_completeness":253,"dataCompleteness":253,"last_streamed_at":254,"lastStreamedAt":254,"current_viewer_count":37,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":255,"category":256,"ml_score":257,"bayesian_score":182,"regression_score":258,"momentum_score":182,"growth_potential_score":257,"quality_score":259,"normalized_score":259,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":182,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":260,"formatted_weighted_score":261,"formatted_trend_change":262,"formatted_growth_rate":262,"formatted_current_viewers":263,"formatted_current_followers":264,"trend_direction_text":265,"trend_direction_icon":266,"confidence_text":267,"reference_level_text":267},[165,170,175,180,185,190,194,198,202,206,210,214,218,222,226],{"name":166,"value":167,"enabled":27,"info":168},"weighted_score",17.42,{"description":169},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":171,"value":172,"enabled":27,"info":173},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":174},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":176,"value":177,"enabled":27,"info":178},"ml_score",51.12,{"description":179},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":181,"value":182,"enabled":27,"info":183},"momentum_score",50,{"description":184},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":186,"value":187,"enabled":27,"info":188},"normalized_score",33.96,{"description":189},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":191,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":192},"clip_influence_score",{"description":193},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":195,"value":182,"enabled":27,"info":196},"social_spread_score",{"description":197},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":199,"value":182,"enabled":27,"info":200},"new_viewer_score",{"description":201},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":203,"value":182,"enabled":27,"info":204},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":205},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":207,"value":182,"enabled":27,"info":208},"bayesian_score",{"description":209},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":211,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":212},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":213},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":215,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":216},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":217},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":219,"value":182,"enabled":27,"info":220},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":221},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":223,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":224},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":225},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":227,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":228},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":229},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51666769,"2026-07-11",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",26.4307,{"ml_score":236,"bayesian_score":237,"momentum_score":238,"weighted_score":239,"new_viewer_score":240,"normalized_score":241,"regression_score":242,"social_spread_score":243,"clip_influence_score":240,"loyal_clip_creators_score":240,"clip_creator_quality_score":240,"clip_creator_variety_score":240,"clip_creator_activity_score":240},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[247,248,249,250],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[247,248,249,250],5,0.07,"2026-07-11T12:55:05+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"id":58,"name":49},51.12394875316044,33.33333333333333,33.95779138941586,435.8,"26.4","0.0%","2","54","安定","➡️","検証不足",[269,270,274,279,283,285,287,289,293,298,303,306,309,312,315,318,321,324,327,330,333,336,339,342,345,348,351,354,357],{"id":230,"prediction_date":231,"total_score":232,"weighted_total_score":233,"trend_change":41},{"id":271,"prediction_date":272,"total_score":232,"weighted_total_score":233,"trend_change":273},51406284,"2026-07-10",-19.732258036312878,{"id":275,"prediction_date":148,"total_score":276,"weighted_total_score":277,"trend_change":278},51147521,542.9717529052108,"35.0585",0.09082347643389597,{"id":280,"prediction_date":145,"total_score":281,"weighted_total_score":282,"trend_change":41},50888209,542.4790545689256,"34.7922",{"id":284,"prediction_date":141,"total_score":281,"weighted_total_score":282,"trend_change":41},50631749,{"id":286,"prediction_date":137,"total_score":281,"weighted_total_score":282,"trend_change":41},50372988,{"id":288,"prediction_date":133,"total_score":281,"weighted_total_score":282,"trend_change":41},50116937,{"id":290,"prediction_date":291,"total_score":281,"weighted_total_score":282,"trend_change":292},49859007,"2026-07-04",-5.623507215893281,{"id":294,"prediction_date":129,"total_score":295,"weighted_total_score":296,"trend_change":297},49602647,574.8031512570476,"36.0756",15.402755301718274,{"id":299,"prediction_date":300,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},49346950,"2026-07-02",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",{"id":304,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},49090124,"2026-07-01",{"id":307,"prediction_date":308,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},48834071,"2026-06-30",{"id":310,"prediction_date":311,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},48578489,"2026-06-28",{"id":313,"prediction_date":314,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},48327904,"2026-06-27",{"id":316,"prediction_date":317,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},48073065,"2026-06-26",{"id":319,"prediction_date":320,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},47819795,"2026-06-25",{"id":322,"prediction_date":323,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},47566095,"2026-06-24",{"id":325,"prediction_date":326,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},47309543,"2026-06-23",{"id":328,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},47061145,"2026-06-22",{"id":331,"prediction_date":332,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},46806973,"2026-06-21",{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},46555626,"2026-06-20",{"id":337,"prediction_date":338,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},46304454,"2026-06-19",{"id":340,"prediction_date":341,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},46044062,"2026-06-18",{"id":343,"prediction_date":344,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},45795447,"2026-06-17",{"id":346,"prediction_date":347,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},45546625,"2026-06-16",{"id":349,"prediction_date":350,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},45284483,"2026-06-15",{"id":352,"prediction_date":353,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":33,"trend_change":33},45070119,"2026-06-14",{"id":355,"prediction_date":356,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},44813904,"2026-06-13",{"id":358,"prediction_date":359,"total_score":301,"weighted_total_score":302,"trend_change":41},44560912,"2026-06-12",{"trend_direction":244,"confidence":245,"reference_level":245,"reference_reasons":361,"growth_rate":41,"trend_change":41,"weighted_trend_change":41},[247,248,249,250],{"weighted_score":363,"regression_score":368,"ml_score":371,"momentum_score":375,"normalized_score":379,"clip_influence_score":383,"social_spread_score":384,"new_viewer_score":385,"genre_correlation_score":386,"bayesian_score":387,"clip_creator_variety_score":390,"clip_creator_activity_score":391,"clip_creator_growth_score":392,"clip_creator_quality_score":393,"loyal_clip_creators_score":394},{"current":364,"average":365,"max":366,"min":364,"trend":367},17.416092081753813,40.78,57.06264401998676,-20.08,{"current":258,"average":369,"max":370,"min":258,"trend":41},33.46,36.99633699633699,{"current":257,"average":372,"max":373,"min":257,"trend":374},79.28,91.8621169185678,-26.61,{"current":182,"average":376,"max":377,"min":378,"trend":41},50.93,82.32409668812207,44.527505109238156,{"current":259,"average":380,"max":381,"min":259,"trend":382},51.17,61.973699311630526,-15.56,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":182,"average":182,"max":182,"min":182,"trend":41},{"current":182,"average":182,"max":182,"min":182,"trend":41},{"current":182,"average":182,"max":182,"min":182,"trend":41},{"current":182,"average":388,"max":389,"min":182,"trend":41},50.02,50.54945054945055,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":182,"average":182,"max":182,"min":182,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":396,"regression_score":398,"ml_score":400,"momentum_score":402,"normalized_score":404,"clip_influence_score":406,"social_spread_score":408,"new_viewer_score":410,"genre_correlation_score":412,"bayesian_score":414,"clip_creator_variety_score":416,"clip_creator_activity_score":418,"clip_creator_growth_score":420,"clip_creator_quality_score":422,"loyal_clip_creators_score":424},{"name":397,"desc":169},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":399,"desc":174},"時系列回帰",{"name":401,"desc":179},"機械学習モデル",{"name":403,"desc":184},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":405,"desc":189},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":407,"desc":193},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":409,"desc":197},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":411,"desc":201},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":413,"desc":205},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":415,"desc":209},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":417,"desc":213},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":419,"desc":217},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":421,"desc":221},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":423,"desc":225},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":425,"desc":229},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":427,"generatedAt":428,"targetMetric":429,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":291,"validationPeriodEnd":231,"validationSampleCount":430,"validationMetricSampleCount":431,"correlation":432,"legacyTrendCorrelation":433,"scoreCorrelation":432,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":434,"topDecileLift":435,"topDecileAvgGrowth":436,"overallAvgGrowth":437,"mae":438,"rmse":439,"directionAccuracy":440,"modelReliabilityLevel":441,"candidateApproachCount":54,"enabledApproachCount":442,"predictionDataStatus":443,"notice":449,"explanation":450},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",258155,12156,0.028866553564004513,0.018406975064883816,0.13678678976736153,1.6169814317349671,5.186138986909044,3.2072965620542035,6.90613282063511,21.63237605094986,0.36722606120434353,"low",13,{"latestAvailableDate":152,"exposedPredictionDate":231,"isServingLatestAvailable":34,"healthLevel":444,"servingFallbackReason":445,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":446,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":447,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":447,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":446,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":448},"degraded","latest_prediction_date_incomplete",260949,227849,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":451,"reliabilityInterpretation":452,"metricDefinitions":453,"limitations":465,"improvementPolicy":470},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":454,"scoreCorrelation":455,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":456,"topDecileLift":457,"topDecileAvgGrowth":458,"overallAvgGrowth":459,"legacyTrendCorrelation":460,"mae":461,"rmse":462,"directionAccuracy":463,"validationMetricSampleCount":464},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[466,467,468,469],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[471,472,473,474],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]