[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-33204955":29,"prediction-33204955-v2":193},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":192},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":40,"follower_count":41,"follower_diff_week":42,"follower_diff_latest":42,"percentile":43,"percentile_diff_week":44,"percentile_diff_latest":45,"latest_stream_start":46,"latest_stream_end":47,"stream_days":48,"total_sessions":48,"total_duration_minutes":49,"category":50,"title":53,"clip_count":42,"total_clip_views":42,"recent_sessions":54,"recent_clips":63,"percentile_history":64,"weekly_data":185,"creator":187,"youtube_channels":191,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},33204955,"ここダメ禁止","nanachi_1123",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F6f9dd8a0-52f4-47c1-be1a-55ff4d4268b2-profile_image-300x300.png","どうも、はるです！",1,1.17,3,5,0,27.403342171795032,18.990933412670945,3.8155735512912976,"2026-07-10T13:48:44.000+09:00","2026-07-10T14:40:02.321+09:00",46,3720,{"id":51,"name":52},"508662","Identity V","昼ラン",[55],{"id":56,"title":53,"started_at":46,"ended_at":47,"duration_minutes":57,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":42,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":60,"vod_archives":62},13420079,51,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_nanachi_1123-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":61,"name":52},2953,[],[],[65,69,73,77,81,85,89,93,97,101,105,109,113,117,121,125,129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177,181],{"id":66,"percentile":67,"measured_on":68},5732616,41.44122305181163,"2025-11-26",{"id":70,"percentile":71,"measured_on":72},5866397,41.8069874923241,"2025-11-27",{"id":74,"percentile":75,"measured_on":76},6008630,42.1648580154656,"2025-11-28",{"id":78,"percentile":79,"measured_on":80},6127939,42.2697877469905,"2025-11-29",{"id":82,"percentile":83,"measured_on":84},6320501,42.61041124246002,"2025-11-30",{"id":86,"percentile":87,"measured_on":88},6419485,1.5076373735369968,"2025-12-02",{"id":90,"percentile":91,"measured_on":92},6481633,1.5348522147140946,"2025-12-03",{"id":94,"percentile":95,"measured_on":96},6545857,1.5663167623951937,"2025-12-04",{"id":98,"percentile":99,"measured_on":100},6603384,1.57090454493116,"2025-12-05",{"id":102,"percentile":103,"measured_on":104},6662561,1.6221907801651805,"2025-12-06",{"id":106,"percentile":107,"measured_on":108},6723403,1.7203125502427732,"2025-12-07",{"id":110,"percentile":111,"measured_on":112},6792052,1.8683570849816502,"2025-12-08",{"id":114,"percentile":115,"measured_on":116},6948128,2.000903835065684,"2025-12-10",{"id":118,"percentile":119,"measured_on":120},7068137,2.0803797078222277,"2025-12-11",{"id":122,"percentile":123,"measured_on":124},7083101,2.145350973906652,"2025-12-12",{"id":126,"percentile":127,"measured_on":128},7144241,2.265480275744784,"2025-12-13",{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},7265233,2.483334334274218,"2025-12-14",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},7280376,2.5617358673284105,"2025-12-15",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},7345964,2.544749086830658,"2025-12-16",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},7477858,2.5488568625971477,"2025-12-18",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},7541208,2.6250207675693638,"2025-12-19",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},7612822,2.569042064865678,"2025-12-20",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},7673101,2.505715317049693,"2025-12-21",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},7741318,2.395801642835412,"2025-12-22",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},7811379,2.368074178446434,"2025-12-23",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},7875675,2.3365549469723406,"2025-12-24",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},7991698,15.975974163170445,"2025-12-26",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},8058202,15.96966739244688,"2025-12-27",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},8123478,16.633441697847022,"2025-12-29",{"id":182,"percentile":183,"measured_on":184},8188965,16.66971219735039,"2025-12-30",{"Thu":186},{"19:00":42,"20:00":38},{"id":188,"name":189,"primary_platform":190,"verified":35,"total_followers":38},163857,"ここダメ","twitch",[],[],{"streamer":194,"latest_prediction":195,"historical_predictions":302,"trend_analysis":433,"approach_performance":435,"available_approaches":473,"model_summary":504},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":196,"id":262,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":263,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"score":266,"trend_change":267,"weighted_trend_change":268,"viewer_count":42,"follower_count":42,"scoring_weights":269,"trend_direction":278,"trendDirection":278,"confidence":279,"reference_level":279,"referenceLevel":279,"reference_reasons":280,"referenceReasons":285,"growth_rate":267,"growthRate":267,"observed_days":15,"observedDays":15,"session_count":286,"sessionCount":286,"data_completeness":287,"dataCompleteness":287,"last_streamed_at":288,"lastStreamedAt":288,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":41,"streamer":289,"category":290,"ml_score":291,"bayesian_score":214,"regression_score":292,"momentum_score":214,"growth_potential_score":291,"quality_score":293,"normalized_score":293,"clip_influence_composite":42,"clip_influence_score":42,"clip_creator_activity_score":42,"clip_creator_growth_score":214,"clip_creator_quality_score":42,"clip_creator_variety_score":42,"formatted_total_score":294,"formatted_weighted_score":295,"formatted_trend_change":296,"formatted_growth_rate":296,"formatted_current_viewers":297,"formatted_current_followers":298,"trend_direction_text":299,"trend_direction_icon":300,"confidence_text":301,"reference_level_text":301},[197,202,207,212,217,222,226,230,234,238,242,246,250,254,258],{"name":198,"value":199,"enabled":27,"info":200},"weighted_score",37.45,{"description":201},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":203,"value":204,"enabled":27,"info":205},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":206},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":208,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":210},"ml_score",77.68,{"description":211},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":213,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":215},"momentum_score",50,{"description":216},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":218,"value":219,"enabled":27,"info":220},"normalized_score",49.49,{"description":221},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":223,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":224},"clip_influence_score",{"description":225},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":227,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":228},"social_spread_score",{"description":229},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":231,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":232},"new_viewer_score",{"description":233},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":235,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":236},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":237},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":239,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":240},"bayesian_score",{"description":241},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":243,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":244},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":245},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":247,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":248},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":249},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":251,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":252},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":253},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":255,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":256},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":257},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":259,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":260},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":261},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51798412,"2026-07-11",497.9412569545332,"31.302",31.302,-15.934273181033493,-18.74,{"ml_score":270,"bayesian_score":271,"momentum_score":272,"weighted_score":273,"new_viewer_score":274,"normalized_score":275,"regression_score":276,"social_spread_score":277,"clip_influence_score":274,"loyal_clip_creators_score":274,"clip_creator_quality_score":274,"clip_creator_variety_score":274,"clip_creator_activity_score":274},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"down","low",[281,282,283,284],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[281,282,283,284],11,0.27,"2026-07-10T13:48:44+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":61,"name":52},77.67525694867459,33.33333333333333,49.48531423863329,497.9,"31.3","-15.9%","1","5","下降","⬇️","低",[303,304,310,315,319,325,330,333,337,343,348,352,358,363,367,373,378,382,388,393,397,403,407,412,416,421,424,427,430],{"id":262,"prediction_date":263,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":267},{"id":305,"prediction_date":306,"total_score":307,"weighted_total_score":308,"trend_change":309},51561522,"2026-07-10",592.3237397647647,"38.5198",9.188315157245585,{"id":311,"prediction_date":312,"total_score":313,"weighted_total_score":314,"trend_change":42},51288220,"2026-07-09",542.4790545689256,"34.7922",{"id":316,"prediction_date":317,"total_score":313,"weighted_total_score":314,"trend_change":318},51041175,"2026-07-08",-7.096437033418887,{"id":320,"prediction_date":321,"total_score":322,"weighted_total_score":323,"trend_change":324},50761665,"2026-07-07",583.9163076706368,"37.9031",8.267407371463683,{"id":326,"prediction_date":327,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":42},50535109,"2026-07-06",539.3278751630485,"34.5558",{"id":331,"prediction_date":332,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":42},50271980,"2026-07-05",{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":336},50018566,"2026-07-04",8.076414081868652,{"id":338,"prediction_date":339,"total_score":340,"weighted_total_score":341,"trend_change":342},49723011,"2026-07-03",499.0245834345538,"31.387",14.499517903000772,{"id":344,"prediction_date":345,"total_score":346,"weighted_total_score":347,"trend_change":42},49506442,"2026-07-02",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":349,"prediction_date":350,"total_score":346,"weighted_total_score":347,"trend_change":351},49209825,"2026-07-01",-12.173981680469383,{"id":353,"prediction_date":354,"total_score":355,"weighted_total_score":356,"trend_change":357},48955455,"2026-06-30",496.24379414766656,"31.1689",3.4555369646185907,{"id":359,"prediction_date":360,"total_score":361,"weighted_total_score":362,"trend_change":42},48731785,"2026-06-28",479.6686660834597,"30.0395",{"id":364,"prediction_date":365,"total_score":361,"weighted_total_score":362,"trend_change":366},48463346,"2026-06-27",-24.165386499094417,{"id":368,"prediction_date":369,"total_score":370,"weighted_total_score":371,"trend_change":372},48224950,"2026-06-26",632.5194313513996,"42.9169",14.844149294129169,{"id":374,"prediction_date":375,"total_score":376,"weighted_total_score":377,"trend_change":42},47970726,"2026-06-25",550.7633042162593,"35.4481",{"id":379,"prediction_date":380,"total_score":376,"weighted_total_score":377,"trend_change":381},47701550,"2026-06-24",-9.929722030067044,{"id":383,"prediction_date":384,"total_score":385,"weighted_total_score":386,"trend_change":387},47453149,"2026-06-23",611.4817414021013,"42.328",10.590960952277944,{"id":389,"prediction_date":390,"total_score":391,"weighted_total_score":392,"trend_change":42},47207159,"2026-06-22",552.9219894074047,"35.6098",{"id":394,"prediction_date":395,"total_score":391,"weighted_total_score":392,"trend_change":396},46923041,"2026-06-21",-8.292256302184649,{"id":398,"prediction_date":399,"total_score":400,"weighted_total_score":401,"trend_change":402},46676102,"2026-06-20",602.9174496205344,"37.5949",11.141148131449146,{"id":404,"prediction_date":405,"total_score":313,"weighted_total_score":314,"trend_change":406},46443290,"2026-06-19",1.3194203467525285,{"id":408,"prediction_date":409,"total_score":410,"weighted_total_score":411,"trend_change":42},46159280,"2026-06-18",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",{"id":413,"prediction_date":414,"total_score":410,"weighted_total_score":411,"trend_change":415},45913864,"2026-06-17",7.494765225902069,{"id":417,"prediction_date":418,"total_score":419,"weighted_total_score":420,"trend_change":42},45659744,"2026-06-16",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",{"id":422,"prediction_date":423,"total_score":419,"weighted_total_score":420,"trend_change":42},45360631,"2026-06-15",{"id":425,"prediction_date":426,"total_score":419,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45174359,"2026-06-14",{"id":428,"prediction_date":429,"total_score":419,"weighted_total_score":420,"trend_change":42},44923259,"2026-06-13",{"id":431,"prediction_date":432,"total_score":419,"weighted_total_score":420,"trend_change":42},44676208,"2026-06-12",{"trend_direction":278,"confidence":279,"reference_level":279,"reference_reasons":434,"growth_rate":267,"trend_change":267,"weighted_trend_change":268},[281,282,283,284],{"weighted_score":436,"regression_score":442,"ml_score":445,"momentum_score":449,"normalized_score":453,"clip_influence_score":458,"social_spread_score":459,"new_viewer_score":460,"genre_correlation_score":464,"bayesian_score":465,"clip_creator_variety_score":468,"clip_creator_activity_score":469,"clip_creator_growth_score":470,"clip_creator_quality_score":471,"loyal_clip_creators_score":472},{"current":437,"average":438,"max":439,"min":440,"trend":441},37.44735243389195,50.16,77.91609214014288,17.416092081753813,-0.05,{"current":292,"average":443,"max":444,"min":292,"trend":42},36.34,96.82539682539681,{"current":291,"average":446,"max":447,"min":448,"trend":441},85.31,97.52764690446473,51.12394875316044,{"current":214,"average":450,"max":451,"min":452,"trend":42},49.02,99.99546021312975,2.1678363260693723,{"current":293,"average":454,"max":455,"min":456,"trend":457},57.27,87.44752388805561,33.95779138941586,-0.04,{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":461,"max":462,"min":463,"trend":42},51.16,99.50040421645377,11.796598305406114,{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":466,"max":467,"min":214,"trend":42},50.45,59.523809523809526,{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"weighted_score":474,"regression_score":476,"ml_score":478,"momentum_score":480,"normalized_score":482,"clip_influence_score":484,"social_spread_score":486,"new_viewer_score":488,"genre_correlation_score":490,"bayesian_score":492,"clip_creator_variety_score":494,"clip_creator_activity_score":496,"clip_creator_growth_score":498,"clip_creator_quality_score":500,"loyal_clip_creators_score":502},{"name":475,"desc":201},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":477,"desc":206},"時系列回帰",{"name":479,"desc":211},"機械学習モデル",{"name":481,"desc":216},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":483,"desc":221},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":485,"desc":225},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":487,"desc":229},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":489,"desc":233},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":491,"desc":237},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":493,"desc":241},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":495,"desc":245},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":497,"desc":249},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":499,"desc":253},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":501,"desc":257},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":503,"desc":261},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":505,"generatedAt":506,"targetMetric":507,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":345,"validationPeriodEnd":312,"validationSampleCount":508,"validationMetricSampleCount":509,"correlation":510,"legacyTrendCorrelation":511,"scoreCorrelation":510,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":512,"topDecileLift":513,"topDecileAvgGrowth":514,"overallAvgGrowth":515,"mae":516,"rmse":517,"directionAccuracy":518,"modelReliabilityLevel":279,"candidateApproachCount":519,"enabledApproachCount":520,"predictionDataStatus":521,"notice":525,"explanation":526},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":263,"exposedPredictionDate":263,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":522,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":523,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":523,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":42,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":42,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":42,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":524},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":527,"reliabilityInterpretation":528,"metricDefinitions":529,"limitations":541,"improvementPolicy":546},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":530,"scoreCorrelation":531,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":532,"topDecileLift":533,"topDecileAvgGrowth":534,"overallAvgGrowth":535,"legacyTrendCorrelation":536,"mae":537,"rmse":538,"directionAccuracy":539,"validationMetricSampleCount":540},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[542,543,544,545],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[547,548,549,550],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]