[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-23038623":29,"prediction-23038623-v2":193},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":192},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":7,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":43,"percentile_diff_latest":44,"latest_stream_start":45,"latest_stream_end":46,"stream_days":47,"total_sessions":47,"total_duration_minutes":48,"category":49,"title":52,"clip_count":41,"total_clip_views":41,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":63,"percentile_history":64,"weekly_data":185,"creator":187,"youtube_channels":191,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},23038623,"めいちむ","maych1m",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fa98d9c19-807c-4dec-b872-c0cb5378314b-profile_image-300x300.png","推しの配信が無くて暇なときに配信します",5,3.04,78,0,65.50009881873603,-19.28150073802412,0.16110157456361662,"2026-07-11T12:47:52.000+09:00","2026-07-11T15:10:05.280+09:00",11,1440,{"id":50,"name":51},"460630","Rainbow Six Siege","シルバーカエリタイ",[54],{"id":55,"title":52,"started_at":45,"ended_at":46,"duration_minutes":56,"average_viewers":57,"peak_viewers":23,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":60,"vod_archives":62},13453780,142,4,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_maych1m-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":61,"name":51},58,[],[],[65,69,73,77,81,85,89,93,97,101,105,109,113,117,121,125,129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177,181],{"id":66,"percentile":67,"measured_on":68},3904575,52.00694444444445,"2025-10-25",{"id":70,"percentile":71,"measured_on":72},3962185,51.91708229426434,"2025-10-26",{"id":74,"percentile":75,"measured_on":76},4019643,51.880067095331285,"2025-10-27",{"id":78,"percentile":79,"measured_on":80},4076876,51.92990433550779,"2025-10-28",{"id":82,"percentile":83,"measured_on":84},4135253,52.10326499620349,"2025-10-29",{"id":86,"percentile":87,"measured_on":88},4196258,52.39380936309724,"2025-10-30",{"id":90,"percentile":91,"measured_on":92},4258444,52.43780613560196,"2025-10-31",{"id":94,"percentile":95,"measured_on":96},14724154,69.01614386276962,"2026-03-29",{"id":98,"percentile":99,"measured_on":100},14790146,68.94468395166676,"2026-03-30",{"id":102,"percentile":103,"measured_on":104},14855967,68.85021865889213,"2026-03-31",{"id":106,"percentile":107,"measured_on":108},14936506,68.8813989692124,"2026-04-02",{"id":110,"percentile":111,"measured_on":112},15002495,68.89188411503687,"2026-04-03",{"id":114,"percentile":115,"measured_on":116},15068494,68.97726240576463,"2026-04-04",{"id":118,"percentile":119,"measured_on":120},16067306,57.061693230713296,"2026-04-19",{"id":122,"percentile":123,"measured_on":124},16133070,49.079193894804185,"2026-04-20",{"id":126,"percentile":127,"measured_on":128},16213063,48.967758670674584,"2026-04-21",{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},16278588,48.98251822924612,"2026-04-22",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},16380432,48.92823288383329,"2026-04-24",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},16429730,48.89476985207508,"2026-04-25",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},16510650,66.93175312920644,"2026-04-27",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},16575125,66.86414392059554,"2026-04-28",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},16653475,66.85706346388378,"2026-04-29",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},16718717,66.95794064720774,"2026-04-30",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},16783927,66.9017771891459,"2026-05-01",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},16848094,66.68654561433796,"2026-05-02",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},16926064,52.06175711417737,"2026-05-03",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},17041952,51.458689163776896,"2026-05-04",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},17146092,51.15616032583542,"2026-05-05",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},17184734,50.89558043847619,"2026-05-06",{"id":182,"percentile":183,"measured_on":184},17228982,50.1997766472267,"2026-05-07",{"Fri":186},{"19:00":57,"20:00":57,"21:00":38},{"id":188,"name":32,"primary_platform":189,"verified":35,"total_followers":190},145251,"twitch",49,[],[],{"streamer":194,"latest_prediction":195,"historical_predictions":301,"trend_analysis":397,"approach_performance":399,"available_approaches":429,"model_summary":460},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":196,"id":262,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":263,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"score":266,"trend_change":41,"weighted_trend_change":41,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":267,"trend_direction":276,"trendDirection":276,"confidence":277,"reference_level":277,"referenceLevel":277,"reference_reasons":278,"referenceReasons":283,"growth_rate":41,"growthRate":41,"observed_days":284,"observedDays":284,"session_count":285,"sessionCount":285,"data_completeness":286,"dataCompleteness":286,"last_streamed_at":287,"lastStreamedAt":287,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":288,"category":289,"ml_score":290,"bayesian_score":214,"regression_score":291,"momentum_score":214,"growth_potential_score":290,"quality_score":292,"normalized_score":292,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":214,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":293,"formatted_weighted_score":294,"formatted_trend_change":295,"formatted_growth_rate":295,"formatted_current_viewers":296,"formatted_current_followers":297,"trend_direction_text":298,"trend_direction_icon":299,"confidence_text":300,"reference_level_text":300},[197,202,207,212,217,222,226,230,234,238,242,246,250,254,258],{"name":198,"value":199,"enabled":27,"info":200},"weighted_score",37.5,{"description":201},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":203,"value":204,"enabled":27,"info":205},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":206},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":208,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":210},"ml_score",77.73,{"description":211},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":213,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":215},"momentum_score",50,{"description":216},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":218,"value":219,"enabled":27,"info":220},"normalized_score",49.52,{"description":221},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":223,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":224},"clip_influence_score",{"description":225},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":227,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":228},"social_spread_score",{"description":229},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":231,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":232},"new_viewer_score",{"description":233},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":235,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":236},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":237},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":239,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":240},"bayesian_score",{"description":241},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":243,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":244},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":245},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":247,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":248},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":249},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":251,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":252},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":253},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":255,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":256},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":257},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":259,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":260},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":261},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51717211,"2026-07-11",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",31.3133,{"ml_score":268,"bayesian_score":269,"momentum_score":270,"weighted_score":271,"new_viewer_score":272,"normalized_score":273,"regression_score":274,"social_spread_score":275,"clip_influence_score":272,"loyal_clip_creators_score":272,"clip_creator_quality_score":272,"clip_creator_variety_score":272,"clip_creator_activity_score":272},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[279,280,281,282],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[279,280,281,282],2,3,0.07,"2026-07-11T12:47:52+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":61,"name":51},77.72998611746911,33.33333333333333,49.52110648360082,498.1,"31.3","0.0%","5","78","安定","➡️","検証不足",[302,303,306,309,312,315,318,321,324,327,330,333,336,340,345,348,351,354,357,360,364,369,372,375,378,381,385,389,394],{"id":262,"prediction_date":263,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},{"id":304,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},51478708,"2026-07-10",{"id":307,"prediction_date":308,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},51211838,"2026-07-09",{"id":310,"prediction_date":311,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},50950772,"2026-07-08",{"id":313,"prediction_date":314,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},50681981,"2026-07-07",{"id":316,"prediction_date":317,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},50445339,"2026-07-06",{"id":319,"prediction_date":320,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},50169595,"2026-07-05",{"id":322,"prediction_date":323,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},49925688,"2026-07-04",{"id":325,"prediction_date":326,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},49647929,"2026-07-03",{"id":328,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},49407407,"2026-07-02",{"id":331,"prediction_date":332,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},49134243,"2026-07-01",{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":41},48878435,"2026-06-30",{"id":337,"prediction_date":338,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":339},48636974,"2026-06-28",14.283801916066349,{"id":341,"prediction_date":342,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":41},48380941,"2026-06-27",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":346,"prediction_date":347,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":41},48136004,"2026-06-26",{"id":349,"prediction_date":350,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":41},47885308,"2026-06-25",{"id":352,"prediction_date":353,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":41},47623863,"2026-06-24",{"id":355,"prediction_date":356,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":41},47351515,"2026-06-23",{"id":358,"prediction_date":359,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":41},47114512,"2026-06-22",{"id":361,"prediction_date":362,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":363},46846659,"2026-06-21",-2.4073053689493396,{"id":365,"prediction_date":366,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":41},46598473,"2026-06-20",446.5817520515484,"27.4962",{"id":370,"prediction_date":371,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":41},46355237,"2026-06-19",{"id":373,"prediction_date":374,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":41},46084496,"2026-06-18",{"id":376,"prediction_date":377,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":41},45836885,"2026-06-17",{"id":379,"prediction_date":380,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":41},45581076,"2026-06-16",{"id":382,"prediction_date":383,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":384},45299111,"2026-06-15",-15.025819418217123,{"id":386,"prediction_date":387,"total_score":388,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45095627,"2026-06-14",542.4790545689256,{"id":390,"prediction_date":391,"total_score":392,"weighted_total_score":393,"trend_change":41},44847971,"2026-06-13",525.5499364559786,"33.466",{"id":395,"prediction_date":396,"total_score":392,"weighted_total_score":393,"trend_change":41},44597626,"2026-06-12",{"trend_direction":276,"confidence":277,"reference_level":277,"reference_reasons":398,"growth_rate":41,"trend_change":41,"weighted_trend_change":41},[279,280,281,282],{"weighted_score":400,"regression_score":405,"ml_score":406,"momentum_score":411,"normalized_score":412,"clip_influence_score":417,"social_spread_score":418,"new_viewer_score":419,"genre_correlation_score":422,"bayesian_score":423,"clip_creator_variety_score":424,"clip_creator_activity_score":425,"clip_creator_growth_score":426,"clip_creator_quality_score":427,"loyal_clip_creators_score":428},{"current":199,"average":401,"max":402,"min":403,"trend":404},33.94,56.78791874526149,17.416092081753813,-11.14,{"current":291,"average":204,"max":291,"min":291,"trend":41},{"current":290,"average":407,"max":408,"min":409,"trend":410},72.29,91.73803884809935,51.12394875316044,-9.46,{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":41},{"current":292,"average":413,"max":414,"min":415,"trend":416},46.52,60.6197636422314,33.95779138941586,-6.87,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":41},{"current":214,"average":420,"max":214,"min":421,"trend":41},39.75,0.46620068384419233,{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":41},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":430,"regression_score":432,"ml_score":434,"momentum_score":436,"normalized_score":438,"clip_influence_score":440,"social_spread_score":442,"new_viewer_score":444,"genre_correlation_score":446,"bayesian_score":448,"clip_creator_variety_score":450,"clip_creator_activity_score":452,"clip_creator_growth_score":454,"clip_creator_quality_score":456,"loyal_clip_creators_score":458},{"name":431,"desc":201},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":433,"desc":206},"時系列回帰",{"name":435,"desc":211},"機械学習モデル",{"name":437,"desc":216},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":439,"desc":221},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":441,"desc":225},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":443,"desc":229},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":445,"desc":233},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":447,"desc":237},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":449,"desc":241},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":451,"desc":245},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":453,"desc":249},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":455,"desc":253},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":457,"desc":257},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":459,"desc":261},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":461,"generatedAt":462,"targetMetric":463,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":323,"validationPeriodEnd":263,"validationSampleCount":464,"validationMetricSampleCount":465,"correlation":466,"legacyTrendCorrelation":467,"scoreCorrelation":466,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":468,"topDecileLift":469,"topDecileAvgGrowth":470,"overallAvgGrowth":471,"mae":472,"rmse":473,"directionAccuracy":474,"modelReliabilityLevel":475,"candidateApproachCount":476,"enabledApproachCount":477,"predictionDataStatus":478,"notice":482,"explanation":483},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",258155,12156,0.028866553564004513,0.018406975064883816,0.13678678976736153,1.6169814317349671,5.186138986909044,3.2072965620542035,6.90613282063511,21.63237605094986,0.36722606120434353,"low",15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":263,"exposedPredictionDate":263,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":479,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":480,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":480,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":41,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":41,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":481},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":484,"reliabilityInterpretation":485,"metricDefinitions":486,"limitations":498,"improvementPolicy":503},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":487,"scoreCorrelation":488,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":489,"topDecileLift":490,"topDecileAvgGrowth":491,"overallAvgGrowth":492,"legacyTrendCorrelation":493,"mae":494,"rmse":495,"directionAccuracy":496,"validationMetricSampleCount":497},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[499,500,501,502],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[504,505,506,507],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]