[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-2190297":29,"prediction-2190297-v2":302},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":301},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":27,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":23,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":43,"percentile_diff_latest":44,"latest_stream_start":45,"latest_stream_end":34,"stream_days":46,"total_sessions":46,"total_duration_minutes":47,"category":48,"title":51,"clip_count":19,"total_clip_views":52,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":101,"percentile_history":161,"weekly_data":282,"creator":287,"youtube_channels":291,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},2190297,"長蔵","chouzo",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fc6ca91f4-1cc0-4879-a073-cae46e253151-profile_image-300x300.png","ゲーム大好きおじさんだが、プレイはとにかく下手 。",1,2.15,51,0,54.76351976321144,13.63354184499017,-0.06818323301438767,"2026-07-11T21:22:36.000+09:00",40,4740,{"id":49,"name":50},"1158884259","Splatoon 3","スプラフェスにひさしぶり参加！！",37,[54,62,70,86],{"id":55,"title":51,"started_at":45,"ended_at":34,"duration_minutes":34,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":56,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":59,"vod_archives":61},13470342,2,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_chouzo-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":60,"name":50},124,[],{"id":63,"title":64,"started_at":65,"ended_at":66,"duration_minutes":67,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":56,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":68,"vod_archives":69},13437804,"ひさしぶりにみんなでスプラトゥーン3","2026-07-10T22:18:47.000+09:00","2026-07-11T02:40:03.607+09:00",261,{"id":60,"name":50},[],{"id":71,"title":64,"started_at":72,"ended_at":73,"duration_minutes":74,"average_viewers":75,"peak_viewers":76,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":77,"vod_archives":78,"chat_summary":85},13346622,"2026-07-07T22:01:33.000+09:00","2026-07-08T01:34:45.121+09:00",213,4,5,{"id":60,"name":50},[79],{"id":80,"url":81,"view_count":82,"duration":83,"thumbnail_url":84},29813217,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2814207733",20,"3h23m1s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002Fe2baadc64ca3cac59824_chouzo_316146586866_1783429293\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},{"id":87,"title":88,"started_at":89,"ended_at":90,"duration_minutes":91,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":92,"vod_archives":93,"chat_summary":100},13320934,"スプラトゥーン3お金と経験値を稼ぎたい","2026-07-06T23:33:00.000+09:00","2026-07-07T01:50:02.530+09:00",137,{"id":60,"name":50},[94],{"id":95,"url":96,"view_count":97,"duration":98,"thumbnail_url":99},29589668,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2813490393",16,"2h11m41s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F0b0452fb0f60ee200166_chouzo_316133696625_1783348380\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},[102,113,121,129,136,144,153],{"id":103,"title":104,"view_count":105,"created_at":106,"duration":107,"thumbnail_url":108,"url":109,"creator":110},3294055,"きづいてしまう妻",3,"2024-08-15T18:52:57.000+09:00",56.3,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FJ0ko0AnjT9fPNkLudNcOLg\u002FAT-cm%7CJ0ko0AnjT9fPNkLudNcOLg-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FSpookyCrunchyHabaneroBCWarrior-CeNP1882Qu501w4u",{"id":111,"name":112},"184885255","tama9625",{"id":114,"title":115,"view_count":105,"created_at":116,"duration":117,"thumbnail_url":118,"url":119,"creator":120},3294052,"ハイサワー（7DAYS起動時音）のCM本家","2024-08-15T18:47:23.000+09:00",59.9,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002F6or2cg2X0GGTh5hlkZoe2Q\u002FAT-cm%7C6or2cg2X0GGTh5hlkZoe2Q-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FDifferentOutstandingEelUnSane-DZfQYZOHmGWRmh7Z",{"id":111,"name":112},{"id":122,"title":123,"view_count":105,"created_at":124,"duration":125,"thumbnail_url":126,"url":127,"creator":128},3294054,"ハイサワー（7DAYS起動時音）","2024-08-15T18:43:08.000+09:00",55.7,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002F581rR5cbVVkDY8jpT2-VZg\u002FAT-cm%7C581rR5cbVVkDY8jpT2-VZg-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FReliableElegantUdonChefFrank-lxtVWQNjyOlPb5Vm",{"id":111,"name":112},{"id":130,"title":131,"view_count":105,"created_at":132,"duration":117,"thumbnail_url":133,"url":134,"creator":135},3294053,"ちょぞさん色々クライマックス🐻","2024-08-15T18:20:50.000+09:00","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002Fk-gZYHSgHErbEWgimdwK_g\u002FAT-cm%7Ck-gZYHSgHErbEWgimdwK_g-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FStupidTriangularAardvarkDeIlluminati-dKAcStsRaCKZ3Ar-",{"id":111,"name":112},{"id":137,"title":138,"view_count":19,"created_at":139,"duration":140,"thumbnail_url":141,"url":142,"creator":143},3294050,"焦って石槍をたくさん作ってしまった事に気づくちょぞさん","2024-08-15T17:51:05.000+09:00",31,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FrvFNI1d7AeetssYg3qHNIg\u002FAT-cm%7CrvFNI1d7AeetssYg3qHNIg-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FPunchyJoyousSproutDoggo-V3sB562yxiDeoc0i",{"id":111,"name":112},{"id":145,"title":146,"view_count":147,"created_at":148,"duration":149,"thumbnail_url":150,"url":151,"creator":152},3294049,"焦って石槍をたくさん作ってしまうちょぞさん",11,"2024-08-15T17:48:19.000+09:00",20.3,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FslkrmN5vsqokGFCNKAwnvA\u002FAT-cm%7CslkrmN5vsqokGFCNKAwnvA-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FCrazyArbitraryThymeLitFam-3m-yqiQYUI0oDCe8",{"id":111,"name":112},{"id":154,"title":155,"view_count":19,"created_at":156,"duration":157,"thumbnail_url":158,"url":159,"creator":160},3294051,"マイクが外れて焦るちょぞさん🎤💦","2024-08-15T16:40:05.000+09:00",60,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FZQm-w0jrWY1KYu5Qfu5X1Q\u002FAT-cm%7CZQm-w0jrWY1KYu5Qfu5X1Q-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\u002Fclip\u002FSteamyVastNigiriFreakinStinkin-SOtZjUpi7lB-7lfV",{"id":111,"name":112},[162,166,170,174,178,182,186,190,194,198,202,206,210,214,218,222,226,230,234,238,242,246,250,254,258,262,266,270,274,278],{"id":163,"percentile":164,"measured_on":165},259536,1.1160965568260401,"2025-07-08",{"id":167,"percentile":168,"measured_on":169},317183,1.159896614442069,"2025-07-09",{"id":171,"percentile":172,"measured_on":173},383510,1.1859286844502694,"2025-07-10",{"id":175,"percentile":176,"measured_on":177},458632,26.34530580942034,"2025-07-11",{"id":179,"percentile":180,"measured_on":181},520716,26.4388978722723,"2025-07-12",{"id":183,"percentile":184,"measured_on":185},583635,26.35073370218908,"2025-07-13",{"id":187,"percentile":188,"measured_on":189},645881,26.533833738704637,"2025-07-14",{"id":191,"percentile":192,"measured_on":193},714074,36.47761290114913,"2025-07-15",{"id":195,"percentile":196,"measured_on":197},776856,36.577391976551304,"2025-07-16",{"id":199,"percentile":200,"measured_on":201},838790,36.56247988154252,"2025-07-17",{"id":203,"percentile":204,"measured_on":205},2279485,76.90189899660005,"2025-08-10",{"id":207,"percentile":208,"measured_on":209},2328354,74.95443336549802,"2025-08-15",{"id":211,"percentile":212,"measured_on":213},2375988,75.28915612342895,"2025-08-16",{"id":215,"percentile":216,"measured_on":217},2421083,74.69733384245637,"2025-08-17",{"id":219,"percentile":220,"measured_on":221},2497212,45.38852578068264,"2025-08-19",{"id":223,"percentile":224,"measured_on":225},2546170,43.37411095305832,"2025-08-20",{"id":227,"percentile":228,"measured_on":229},2601074,44.10281724903917,"2025-08-21",{"id":231,"percentile":232,"measured_on":233},4127127,38.32953682611997,"2025-10-29",{"id":235,"percentile":236,"measured_on":237},4187799,38.6416598363949,"2025-10-30",{"id":239,"percentile":240,"measured_on":241},4249963,38.60369940706367,"2025-10-31",{"id":243,"percentile":244,"measured_on":245},4311968,38.49383152916955,"2025-11-01",{"id":247,"percentile":248,"measured_on":249},4366701,26.642048647346872,"2025-11-02",{"id":251,"percentile":252,"measured_on":253},4426295,22.355308701601867,"2025-11-03",{"id":255,"percentile":256,"measured_on":257},4488747,22.469776568137224,"2025-11-04",{"id":259,"percentile":260,"measured_on":261},4546193,13.327000712419853,"2025-11-05",{"id":263,"percentile":264,"measured_on":265},4698599,13.457182407349148,"2025-11-06",{"id":267,"percentile":268,"measured_on":269},4736768,13.599398298312416,"2025-11-07",{"id":271,"percentile":272,"measured_on":273},4800600,13.62005483744614,"2025-11-08",{"id":275,"percentile":276,"measured_on":277},5746338,63.7060021332299,"2025-11-26",{"id":279,"percentile":280,"measured_on":281},5879922,63.65017290973143,"2025-11-27",{"Fri":283,"Mon":284,"Sat":285,"Tue":286},{"04:00":38,"05:00":56,"06:00":56},{"05:00":38,"06:00":38,"07:00":56},{"03:00":38,"04:00":38,"06:00":56},{"04:00":38,"05:00":75,"06:00":75,"07:00":75},{"id":288,"name":32,"primary_platform":289,"verified":35,"total_followers":290},60408,"mixed",52,[292],{"id":293,"channel_id":294,"channel_name":32,"handle":295,"description":296,"subscriber_count":297,"thumbnail_url":298,"youtube_url":299,"youtube_handle_url":300},3827,"UCBij9O007F3rSF3wZ0XjZcA","_chozo","レトロゲーム・駄菓子・アニメ・昭和大好きおじさんです。\nアイコンは立花でこさん作。\nゲームは下手 ですが、ゲーム配信しながら雑談するのが大好きなので雑談しましょう！！\nよろしくお願いします。\n\n●Twitch: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fchouzo\n\n●Twitter: https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002Fsunsun3833\n",23,"https:\u002F\u002Fyt3.ggpht.com\u002FMSHbyyk4gSsYh1tts3cC85rRkZeZLlEgoTobaFALXe-P8ZclW34H31QNptUUh1It1YDHShXb=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002Fchannel\u002FUCBij9O007F3rSF3wZ0XjZcA","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@_chozo",[],{"streamer":303,"latest_prediction":304,"historical_predictions":411,"trend_analysis":545,"approach_performance":547,"available_approaches":591,"model_summary":622},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":305,"id":372,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":373,"total_score":374,"weighted_total_score":375,"score":376,"trend_change":377,"weighted_trend_change":378,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":379,"trend_direction":388,"trendDirection":388,"confidence":389,"reference_level":389,"referenceLevel":389,"reference_reasons":390,"referenceReasons":395,"growth_rate":377,"growthRate":377,"observed_days":7,"observedDays":7,"session_count":7,"sessionCount":7,"data_completeness":396,"dataCompleteness":396,"last_streamed_at":397,"lastStreamedAt":397,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":398,"category":399,"ml_score":400,"bayesian_score":323,"regression_score":401,"momentum_score":323,"growth_potential_score":400,"quality_score":402,"normalized_score":402,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":323,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":403,"formatted_weighted_score":404,"formatted_trend_change":405,"formatted_growth_rate":405,"formatted_current_viewers":406,"formatted_current_followers":407,"trend_direction_text":408,"trend_direction_icon":409,"confidence_text":410,"reference_level_text":410},[306,311,316,321,326,331,335,339,344,348,352,356,360,364,368],{"name":307,"value":308,"enabled":27,"info":309},"weighted_score",69.75,{"description":310},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":312,"value":313,"enabled":27,"info":314},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":315},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":317,"value":318,"enabled":27,"info":319},"ml_score",96.03,{"description":320},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":322,"value":323,"enabled":27,"info":324},"momentum_score",50,{"description":325},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":327,"value":328,"enabled":27,"info":329},"normalized_score",66.37,{"description":330},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":332,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":333},"clip_influence_score",{"description":334},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":336,"value":323,"enabled":27,"info":337},"social_spread_score",{"description":338},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":340,"value":341,"enabled":27,"info":342},"new_viewer_score",93.13,{"description":343},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":345,"value":323,"enabled":27,"info":346},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":347},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":349,"value":323,"enabled":27,"info":350},"bayesian_score",{"description":351},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":353,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":354},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":355},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":357,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":358},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":359},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":361,"value":323,"enabled":27,"info":362},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":363},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":365,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":366},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":367},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":369,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":370},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":371},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51897962,"2026-07-11",608.6061429135314,"39.7816",39.7816,-2.147985212559881,-2.5,{"ml_score":380,"bayesian_score":381,"momentum_score":382,"weighted_score":383,"new_viewer_score":384,"normalized_score":385,"regression_score":386,"social_spread_score":387,"clip_influence_score":384,"loyal_clip_creators_score":384,"clip_creator_quality_score":384,"clip_creator_variety_score":384,"clip_creator_activity_score":384},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","low",[391,392,393,394],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[391,392,393,394],0.33,"2026-07-11T21:22:36+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":60,"name":50},96.02582535713337,33.33333333333333,66.36860889623762,608.6,"39.8","-2.1%","1","51","安定","➡️","低",[412,413,419,425,431,437,443,449,455,461,467,472,476,482,488,493,496,499,502,505,508,512,518,523,526,529,533,539],{"id":372,"prediction_date":373,"total_score":374,"weighted_total_score":375,"trend_change":377},{"id":414,"prediction_date":415,"total_score":416,"weighted_total_score":417,"trend_change":418},51631217,"2026-07-10",621.9658780001427,"40.8026",-2.9129140281800527,{"id":420,"prediction_date":421,"total_score":422,"weighted_total_score":423,"trend_change":424},51370485,"2026-07-09",640.6267855033486,"41.5435",0.03511864451490245,{"id":426,"prediction_date":427,"total_score":428,"weighted_total_score":429,"trend_change":430},51110383,"2026-07-08",640.401885041874,"41.6363",14.38575264350963,{"id":432,"prediction_date":433,"total_score":434,"weighted_total_score":435,"trend_change":436},50857283,"2026-07-07",559.8615826201071,"36.1142",-9.034288564628515,{"id":438,"prediction_date":439,"total_score":440,"weighted_total_score":441,"trend_change":442},50591500,"2026-07-06",615.4644137729551,"39.616",3.0899346131463563,{"id":444,"prediction_date":445,"total_score":446,"weighted_total_score":447,"trend_change":448},50333878,"2026-07-05",597.0169794777124,"39.0082",10.004151730987244,{"id":450,"prediction_date":451,"total_score":452,"weighted_total_score":453,"trend_change":454},50076307,"2026-07-04",542.7222246463065,"34.9276",1.3648374943426542,{"id":456,"prediction_date":457,"total_score":458,"weighted_total_score":459,"trend_change":460},49822718,"2026-07-03",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",-3.367935310592081,{"id":462,"prediction_date":463,"total_score":464,"weighted_total_score":465,"trend_change":466},49557638,"2026-07-02",554.0755917881748,"34.9798",5.427772577532345,{"id":468,"prediction_date":469,"total_score":470,"weighted_total_score":471,"trend_change":41},49307906,"2026-07-01",525.5499364559786,"33.466",{"id":473,"prediction_date":474,"total_score":470,"weighted_total_score":471,"trend_change":475},49048664,"2026-06-30",-3.4289848705413766,{"id":477,"prediction_date":478,"total_score":479,"weighted_total_score":480,"trend_change":481},48794244,"2026-06-28",544.2108439591846,"34.2069",9.260762959662594,{"id":483,"prediction_date":484,"total_score":485,"weighted_total_score":486,"trend_change":487},48536207,"2026-06-27",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",14.283801916066349,{"id":489,"prediction_date":490,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":41},48276959,"2026-06-26",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":494,"prediction_date":495,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":41},48021959,"2026-06-25",{"id":497,"prediction_date":498,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":41},47769497,"2026-06-24",{"id":500,"prediction_date":501,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":41},47516648,"2026-06-23",{"id":503,"prediction_date":504,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":41},47259490,"2026-06-22",{"id":506,"prediction_date":507,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":41},47006270,"2026-06-21",{"id":509,"prediction_date":510,"total_score":491,"weighted_total_score":492,"trend_change":511},46755824,"2026-06-20",-15.90864863865858,{"id":513,"prediction_date":514,"total_score":515,"weighted_total_score":516,"trend_change":517},46497915,"2026-06-19",518.282984518696,"33.1334",3.265531796105239,{"id":519,"prediction_date":520,"total_score":521,"weighted_total_score":522,"trend_change":41},46254589,"2026-06-18",501.8934929246581,"31.7194",{"id":524,"prediction_date":525,"total_score":521,"weighted_total_score":522,"trend_change":41},46002479,"2026-06-17",{"id":527,"prediction_date":528,"total_score":521,"weighted_total_score":522,"trend_change":41},45748201,"2026-06-16",{"id":530,"prediction_date":531,"total_score":521,"weighted_total_score":522,"trend_change":532},45501052,"2026-06-15",-6.204845485039772,{"id":534,"prediction_date":535,"total_score":536,"weighted_total_score":537,"trend_change":538},45012209,"2026-06-13",535.0953314380506,"33.0376",2.780264944546736,{"id":540,"prediction_date":541,"total_score":542,"weighted_total_score":543,"trend_change":544},44760791,"2026-06-12",520.6206967132764,"33.3166",-0.9379203384443878,{"trend_direction":388,"confidence":389,"reference_level":389,"reference_reasons":546,"growth_rate":377,"trend_change":377,"weighted_trend_change":378},[391,392,393,394],{"weighted_score":548,"regression_score":554,"ml_score":558,"momentum_score":563,"normalized_score":568,"clip_influence_score":573,"social_spread_score":574,"new_viewer_score":575,"genre_correlation_score":581,"bayesian_score":582,"clip_creator_variety_score":586,"clip_creator_activity_score":587,"clip_creator_growth_score":588,"clip_creator_quality_score":589,"loyal_clip_creators_score":590},{"current":549,"average":550,"max":551,"min":552,"trend":553},69.74666799824617,46.1,75.24129050796549,17.416092081753813,23.26,{"current":401,"average":555,"max":556,"min":401,"trend":557},33.81,37.14285714285714,-3.81,{"current":400,"average":559,"max":560,"min":561,"trend":562},80.24,97.10969008122981,51.12394875316044,10.35,{"current":323,"average":564,"max":565,"min":566,"trend":567},53.82,83.20183851339246,44.31046351449621,5.69,{"current":402,"average":569,"max":570,"min":571,"trend":572},53.38,69.18390918488272,33.95779138941586,9.93,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":323,"average":323,"max":323,"min":323,"trend":41},{"current":576,"average":577,"max":578,"min":579,"trend":580},93.13170732858093,55.5,98.81615068111441,25.75343439392736,43.13,{"current":323,"average":323,"max":323,"min":323,"trend":41},{"current":323,"average":583,"max":584,"min":323,"trend":585},50.07,50.57142857142857,-0.57,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":323,"average":323,"max":323,"min":323,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":592,"regression_score":594,"ml_score":596,"momentum_score":598,"normalized_score":600,"clip_influence_score":602,"social_spread_score":604,"new_viewer_score":606,"genre_correlation_score":608,"bayesian_score":610,"clip_creator_variety_score":612,"clip_creator_activity_score":614,"clip_creator_growth_score":616,"clip_creator_quality_score":618,"loyal_clip_creators_score":620},{"name":593,"desc":310},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":595,"desc":315},"時系列回帰",{"name":597,"desc":320},"機械学習モデル",{"name":599,"desc":325},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":601,"desc":330},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":603,"desc":334},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":605,"desc":338},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":607,"desc":343},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":609,"desc":347},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":611,"desc":351},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":613,"desc":355},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":615,"desc":359},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":617,"desc":363},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":619,"desc":367},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":621,"desc":371},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":623,"generatedAt":624,"targetMetric":625,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":463,"validationPeriodEnd":421,"validationSampleCount":626,"validationMetricSampleCount":627,"correlation":628,"legacyTrendCorrelation":629,"scoreCorrelation":628,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":630,"topDecileLift":631,"topDecileAvgGrowth":632,"overallAvgGrowth":633,"mae":634,"rmse":635,"directionAccuracy":636,"modelReliabilityLevel":389,"candidateApproachCount":637,"enabledApproachCount":638,"predictionDataStatus":639,"notice":643,"explanation":644},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":373,"exposedPredictionDate":373,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":640,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":641,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":641,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":41,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":41,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":642},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":645,"reliabilityInterpretation":646,"metricDefinitions":647,"limitations":659,"improvementPolicy":664},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":648,"scoreCorrelation":649,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":650,"topDecileLift":651,"topDecileAvgGrowth":652,"overallAvgGrowth":653,"legacyTrendCorrelation":654,"mae":655,"rmse":656,"directionAccuracy":657,"validationMetricSampleCount":658},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[660,661,662,663],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[665,666,667,668],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]