[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-20617069":29,"prediction-20617069-v2":209},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":208},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":19,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":43,"percentile_diff_latest":44,"latest_stream_start":45,"latest_stream_end":46,"stream_days":47,"total_sessions":47,"total_duration_minutes":48,"category":49,"title":52,"clip_count":41,"total_clip_views":41,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":79,"percentile_history":80,"weekly_data":201,"creator":203,"youtube_channels":207,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},20617069,"ほんものさちゃん","s4chqn__",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F453351b6-0601-4364-907e-a88ef97aa4e0-profile_image-300x300.png","Overwatchのお婆さん😄うるせ",3,3.37,46,0,74.69243205789515,2.370542733911307,0.0005529425819617018,"2026-07-11T13:43:23.000+09:00","2026-07-11T14:40:03.645+09:00",27,1920,{"id":50,"name":51},"515025","Overwatch","おい、きたぞガキOverwatchやんぞ",[54,63,73],{"id":55,"title":52,"started_at":45,"ended_at":46,"duration_minutes":56,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":57,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":60,"vod_archives":62},13455155,57,4,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_s4chqn__-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":61,"name":51},18,[],{"id":64,"title":65,"started_at":66,"ended_at":67,"duration_minutes":68,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":69,"vod_archives":72},13453425,"おい、きたぞガキ","2026-07-11T12:48:43.000+09:00","2026-07-11T13:30:02.299+09:00",41,{"id":70,"name":71},52450,"Call of Duty: Black Ops II",[],{"id":74,"title":65,"started_at":75,"ended_at":76,"duration_minutes":47,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":34,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":77,"vod_archives":78},13452890,"2026-07-11T12:13:31.000+09:00","2026-07-11T12:40:03.164+09:00",{"id":70,"name":71},[],[],[81,85,89,93,97,101,105,109,113,117,121,125,129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177,181,185,189,193,197],{"id":82,"percentile":83,"measured_on":84},3440614,68.84479092841957,"2025-10-16",{"id":86,"percentile":87,"measured_on":88},3485141,68.71077303532579,"2025-10-17",{"id":90,"percentile":91,"measured_on":92},3548922,68.61367318957996,"2025-10-18",{"id":94,"percentile":95,"measured_on":96},3612831,68.5495945102932,"2025-10-19",{"id":98,"percentile":99,"measured_on":100},3677242,68.72761398295142,"2025-10-20",{"id":102,"percentile":103,"measured_on":104},3740282,68.43541104960036,"2025-10-21",{"id":106,"percentile":107,"measured_on":108},3798631,67.63078426923144,"2025-10-23",{"id":110,"percentile":111,"measured_on":112},3856566,67.98544320249546,"2025-10-24",{"id":114,"percentile":115,"measured_on":116},3913997,67.90104166666666,"2025-10-25",{"id":118,"percentile":119,"measured_on":120},4246648,31.37728796081464,"2025-10-31",{"id":122,"percentile":123,"measured_on":124},4308901,31.266989432372007,"2025-11-01",{"id":126,"percentile":127,"measured_on":128},4369744,30.975355221963554,"2025-11-02",{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},4432753,31.288738629960555,"2025-11-03",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},4495384,31.64440787391607,"2025-11-04",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},4559234,31.477875405683527,"2025-11-05",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},4720001,31.88038759202165,"2025-11-06",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},4749371,32.302292420752444,"2025-11-07",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},4814049,32.092440266353314,"2025-11-08",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},4952848,32.23028317341446,"2025-11-10",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},5427300,41.57326858447635,"2025-11-18",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},5462430,41.65875327936135,"2025-11-19",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},5684243,42.366418303364874,"2025-11-22",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},5748374,66.98180290248553,"2025-11-26",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},5881844,66.83526712129537,"2025-11-27",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},6023561,66.51179413867048,"2025-11-28",{"id":182,"percentile":183,"measured_on":184},6142497,66.12748212220431,"2025-11-29",{"id":186,"percentile":187,"measured_on":188},6334979,66.03974966444038,"2025-11-30",{"id":190,"percentile":191,"measured_on":192},6396417,65.9602562639584,"2025-12-01",{"id":194,"percentile":195,"measured_on":196},7704677,53.360004812898566,"2025-12-21",{"id":198,"percentile":199,"measured_on":200},7770607,53.12595071493763,"2025-12-22",{"Fri":202},{"18:00":38,"19:00":38,"20:00":38},{"id":204,"name":32,"primary_platform":205,"verified":35,"total_followers":206},139428,"twitch",38,[],[],{"streamer":210,"latest_prediction":211,"historical_predictions":315,"trend_analysis":440,"approach_performance":442,"available_approaches":477,"model_summary":508},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":212,"id":278,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":279,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"score":282,"trend_change":41,"weighted_trend_change":41,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":283,"trend_direction":292,"trendDirection":292,"confidence":293,"reference_level":293,"referenceLevel":293,"reference_reasons":294,"referenceReasons":299,"growth_rate":41,"growthRate":41,"observed_days":57,"observedDays":57,"session_count":23,"sessionCount":23,"data_completeness":300,"dataCompleteness":300,"last_streamed_at":301,"lastStreamedAt":301,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":302,"category":303,"ml_score":304,"bayesian_score":230,"regression_score":305,"momentum_score":230,"growth_potential_score":304,"quality_score":306,"normalized_score":306,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":230,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":307,"formatted_weighted_score":308,"formatted_trend_change":309,"formatted_growth_rate":309,"formatted_current_viewers":310,"formatted_current_followers":311,"trend_direction_text":312,"trend_direction_icon":313,"confidence_text":314,"reference_level_text":314},[213,218,223,228,233,238,242,246,250,254,258,262,266,270,274],{"name":214,"value":215,"enabled":27,"info":216},"weighted_score",17.42,{"description":217},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":219,"value":220,"enabled":27,"info":221},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":222},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":224,"value":225,"enabled":27,"info":226},"ml_score",51.12,{"description":227},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":229,"value":230,"enabled":27,"info":231},"momentum_score",50,{"description":232},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":234,"value":235,"enabled":27,"info":236},"normalized_score",33.96,{"description":237},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":239,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":240},"clip_influence_score",{"description":241},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":243,"value":230,"enabled":27,"info":244},"social_spread_score",{"description":245},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":247,"value":230,"enabled":27,"info":248},"new_viewer_score",{"description":249},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":251,"value":230,"enabled":27,"info":252},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":253},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":255,"value":230,"enabled":27,"info":256},"bayesian_score",{"description":257},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":259,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":260},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":261},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":263,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":264},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":265},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":267,"value":230,"enabled":27,"info":268},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":269},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":271,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":272},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":273},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":275,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":276},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":277},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51692607,"2026-07-11",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",26.4307,{"ml_score":284,"bayesian_score":285,"momentum_score":286,"weighted_score":287,"new_viewer_score":288,"normalized_score":289,"regression_score":290,"social_spread_score":291,"clip_influence_score":288,"loyal_clip_creators_score":288,"clip_creator_quality_score":288,"clip_creator_variety_score":288,"clip_creator_activity_score":288},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[295,296,297,298],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[295,296,297,298],0.13,"2026-07-11T13:43:23+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":61,"name":51},51.12394875316044,33.33333333333333,33.95779138941586,435.8,"26.4","0.0%","3","46","安定","➡️","検証不足",[316,317,320,323,327,333,339,345,350,353,357,363,367,373,379,384,387,390,394,400,406,409,412,415,418,422,428,431,436],{"id":278,"prediction_date":279,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},{"id":318,"prediction_date":319,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},51450507,"2026-07-10",{"id":321,"prediction_date":322,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},51187915,"2026-07-09",{"id":324,"prediction_date":325,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":326},50926355,"2026-07-08",-17.174214067469926,{"id":328,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":330,"weighted_total_score":331,"trend_change":332},50657258,"2026-07-07",526.2022698012087,"33.7744",0.12412395092825426,{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":336,"weighted_total_score":337,"trend_change":338},50417781,"2026-07-06",525.5499364559786,"33.466",1.5268173642042753,{"id":340,"prediction_date":341,"total_score":342,"weighted_total_score":343,"trend_change":344},50142672,"2026-07-05",517.6464210147435,"32.8467",-3.046865897557052,{"id":346,"prediction_date":347,"total_score":348,"weighted_total_score":349,"trend_change":41},49896809,"2026-07-04",533.9140666332521,"34.1213",{"id":351,"prediction_date":352,"total_score":348,"weighted_total_score":349,"trend_change":41},49624206,"2026-07-03",{"id":354,"prediction_date":355,"total_score":348,"weighted_total_score":349,"trend_change":356},49383398,"2026-07-02",-6.161581773108236,{"id":358,"prediction_date":359,"total_score":360,"weighted_total_score":361,"trend_change":362},49110520,"2026-07-01",568.9717247175907,"35.5132",30.548655002578496,{"id":364,"prediction_date":365,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":366},48854612,"2026-06-30",-21.94183601586949,{"id":368,"prediction_date":369,"total_score":370,"weighted_total_score":371,"trend_change":372},48606693,"2026-06-28",558.3415536730654,"36.2913",4.165507388278955,{"id":374,"prediction_date":375,"total_score":376,"weighted_total_score":377,"trend_change":378},48353354,"2026-06-27",536.0138568632286,"34.543",0.11190813323693803,{"id":380,"prediction_date":381,"total_score":382,"weighted_total_score":383,"trend_change":41},48106690,"2026-06-26",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",{"id":385,"prediction_date":386,"total_score":382,"weighted_total_score":383,"trend_change":41},47856224,"2026-06-25",{"id":388,"prediction_date":389,"total_score":382,"weighted_total_score":383,"trend_change":41},47598340,"2026-06-24",{"id":391,"prediction_date":392,"total_score":382,"weighted_total_score":383,"trend_change":393},47327692,"2026-06-23",-8.263287971141487,{"id":395,"prediction_date":396,"total_score":397,"weighted_total_score":398,"trend_change":399},47082762,"2026-06-22",583.642766830948,"36.6194",7.667636572365834,{"id":401,"prediction_date":402,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":405},46823336,"2026-06-21",542.0781819044282,"33.4058",24.37802175317533,{"id":407,"prediction_date":408,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},46573223,"2026-06-20",{"id":410,"prediction_date":411,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},46328385,"2026-06-19",{"id":413,"prediction_date":414,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},46061373,"2026-06-18",{"id":416,"prediction_date":417,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":41},45810059,"2026-06-17",{"id":419,"prediction_date":420,"total_score":280,"weighted_total_score":281,"trend_change":421},45557825,"2026-06-16",-17.119964553824804,{"id":423,"prediction_date":424,"total_score":425,"weighted_total_score":426,"trend_change":427},45286259,"2026-06-15",525.8578416519928,"33.6165",-4.029692688391698,{"id":429,"prediction_date":430,"total_score":336,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45072649,"2026-06-14",{"id":432,"prediction_date":433,"total_score":434,"weighted_total_score":435,"trend_change":41},44824753,"2026-06-13",547.9380616596051,"35.2196",{"id":437,"prediction_date":438,"total_score":434,"weighted_total_score":435,"trend_change":439},44574503,"2026-06-12",-4.531854818000784,{"trend_direction":292,"confidence":293,"reference_level":293,"reference_reasons":441,"growth_rate":41,"trend_change":41,"weighted_trend_change":41},[295,296,297,298],{"weighted_score":443,"regression_score":448,"ml_score":451,"momentum_score":455,"normalized_score":459,"clip_influence_score":463,"social_spread_score":464,"new_viewer_score":465,"genre_correlation_score":468,"bayesian_score":469,"clip_creator_variety_score":472,"clip_creator_activity_score":473,"clip_creator_growth_score":474,"clip_creator_quality_score":475,"loyal_clip_creators_score":476},{"current":444,"average":445,"max":446,"min":444,"trend":447},17.416092081753813,40.4,65.51537264912507,-42.25,{"current":305,"average":449,"max":450,"min":305,"trend":41},33.83,37.47412008281573,{"current":304,"average":452,"max":453,"min":304,"trend":454},76.07,94.9354041344216,-41.83,{"current":230,"average":456,"max":457,"min":458,"trend":41},52.88,85.05765808433861,43.82057317215977,{"current":306,"average":460,"max":461,"min":306,"trend":462},50.1,65.9749656221208,-28.03,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":230,"average":230,"max":230,"min":230,"trend":41},{"current":230,"average":466,"max":467,"min":230,"trend":41},50.34,59.81777163867883,{"current":230,"average":230,"max":230,"min":230,"trend":41},{"current":230,"average":470,"max":471,"min":230,"trend":41},50.07,50.621118012422365,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":230,"average":230,"max":230,"min":230,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":478,"regression_score":480,"ml_score":482,"momentum_score":484,"normalized_score":486,"clip_influence_score":488,"social_spread_score":490,"new_viewer_score":492,"genre_correlation_score":494,"bayesian_score":496,"clip_creator_variety_score":498,"clip_creator_activity_score":500,"clip_creator_growth_score":502,"clip_creator_quality_score":504,"loyal_clip_creators_score":506},{"name":479,"desc":217},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":481,"desc":222},"時系列回帰",{"name":483,"desc":227},"機械学習モデル",{"name":485,"desc":232},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":487,"desc":237},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":489,"desc":241},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":491,"desc":245},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":493,"desc":249},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":495,"desc":253},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":497,"desc":257},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":499,"desc":261},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":501,"desc":265},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":503,"desc":269},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":505,"desc":273},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":507,"desc":277},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":509,"generatedAt":510,"targetMetric":511,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":347,"validationPeriodEnd":279,"validationSampleCount":512,"validationMetricSampleCount":513,"correlation":514,"legacyTrendCorrelation":515,"scoreCorrelation":514,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":516,"topDecileLift":517,"topDecileAvgGrowth":518,"overallAvgGrowth":519,"mae":520,"rmse":521,"directionAccuracy":522,"modelReliabilityLevel":523,"candidateApproachCount":524,"enabledApproachCount":525,"predictionDataStatus":526,"notice":530,"explanation":531},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",258155,12156,0.028866553564004513,0.018406975064883816,0.13678678976736153,1.6169814317349671,5.186138986909044,3.2072965620542035,6.90613282063511,21.63237605094986,0.36722606120434353,"low",15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":279,"exposedPredictionDate":279,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":527,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":528,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":528,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":41,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":41,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":529},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":532,"reliabilityInterpretation":533,"metricDefinitions":534,"limitations":546,"improvementPolicy":551},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":535,"scoreCorrelation":536,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":537,"topDecileLift":538,"topDecileAvgGrowth":539,"overallAvgGrowth":540,"legacyTrendCorrelation":541,"mae":542,"rmse":543,"directionAccuracy":544,"validationMetricSampleCount":545},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[547,548,549,550],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[552,553,554,555],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]