[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-2040154":29,"prediction-2040154-v2":203},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":33,"seo_similar_streamers":202},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"language":33,"is_partner":34,"is_affiliate":34,"profile_image_url":35,"description":36,"is_live":34,"current_viewer_count":37,"avg_viewer_count":38,"peak_viewer_count":39,"follower_count":15,"follower_diff_week":37,"follower_diff_latest":37,"percentile":40,"percentile_diff_week":41,"percentile_diff_latest":42,"latest_stream_start":43,"latest_stream_end":44,"stream_days":45,"total_sessions":45,"total_duration_minutes":46,"category":47,"title":50,"clip_count":37,"total_clip_views":37,"recent_sessions":51,"recent_clips":73,"percentile_history":74,"weekly_data":195,"creator":198,"youtube_channels":201,"twitcasting_user":33,"seo_indexable":34},2040154,"k4ml09",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Faf3f624b-b600-4815-b49a-eb5bd977f303-profile_image-300x300.png","",0,1,2,6.309736696059691,4.700041803627705,0.003027923048829706,"2026-07-11T14:15:18.000+09:00","2026-07-11T15:30:01.986+09:00",53,5100,{"id":48,"name":49},"513143","Teamfight Tactics","TFTrannku tyottojuhnhtyou",[52,60],{"id":53,"title":50,"started_at":43,"ended_at":44,"duration_minutes":54,"average_viewers":37,"peak_viewers":37,"followers_gained":33,"thumbnail_url":55,"language":56,"tags":33,"game_category":57,"vod_archives":59},13456260,75,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_k4ml09-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":58,"name":49},69,[],{"id":61,"title":50,"started_at":62,"ended_at":63,"duration_minutes":64,"average_viewers":37,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":37,"thumbnail_url":55,"language":56,"tags":33,"game_category":65,"vod_archives":66,"chat_summary":72},13276851,"2026-07-05T19:48:20.000+09:00","2026-07-05T21:20:02.615+09:00",92,{"id":58,"name":49},[67],{"id":68,"url":69,"view_count":38,"duration":70,"thumbnail_url":71},29588468,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2812655094","1h12m52s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F05efc09f2f06ab13969e_k4ml09_316137200370_1783248500\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":37,"unique_chatters":37,"bits":37,"subs":37,"subgifts":37,"resubs":37,"avg_messages_per_minute":37,"participation_rate_pct":37},[],[75,79,83,87,91,95,99,103,107,111,115,119,123,127,131,135,139,143,147,151,155,159,163,167,171,175,179,183,187,191],{"id":76,"percentile":77,"measured_on":78},261191,1.1160965568260401,"2025-07-08",{"id":80,"percentile":81,"measured_on":82},317649,1.159896614442069,"2025-07-09",{"id":84,"percentile":85,"measured_on":86},382782,1.1859286844502694,"2025-07-10",{"id":88,"percentile":89,"measured_on":90},444915,1.164760017894804,"2025-07-11",{"id":92,"percentile":93,"measured_on":94},510718,1.160724291958182,"2025-07-12",{"id":96,"percentile":97,"measured_on":98},574155,1.1899607088445194,"2025-07-13",{"id":100,"percentile":101,"measured_on":102},634800,1.2096709244076478,"2025-07-14",{"id":104,"percentile":105,"measured_on":106},5710243,3.099647693849187,"2025-11-26",{"id":108,"percentile":109,"measured_on":110},5842248,2.7083804660482858,"2025-11-27",{"id":112,"percentile":113,"measured_on":114},5985325,2.3312106049775814,"2025-11-28",{"id":116,"percentile":117,"measured_on":118},6109165,1.8228021306748765,"2025-11-29",{"id":120,"percentile":121,"measured_on":122},6298289,1.3729644064233388,"2025-11-30",{"id":124,"percentile":125,"measured_on":126},8557055,2.25182121249537,"2026-01-05",{"id":128,"percentile":129,"measured_on":130},8593432,2.2696601643970067,"2026-01-06",{"id":132,"percentile":133,"measured_on":134},8687352,2.271752450980392,"2026-01-07",{"id":136,"percentile":137,"measured_on":138},8729236,2.2693658716953227,"2026-01-08",{"id":140,"percentile":141,"measured_on":142},8860494,2.3654248315389976,"2026-01-09",{"id":144,"percentile":145,"measured_on":146},8925143,2.4566875636947594,"2026-01-10",{"id":148,"percentile":149,"measured_on":150},8990155,2.504524401091991,"2026-01-11",{"id":152,"percentile":153,"measured_on":154},9385558,2.6136035172592154,"2026-01-18",{"id":156,"percentile":157,"measured_on":158},9454778,2.7633533998131217,"2026-01-19",{"id":160,"percentile":161,"measured_on":162},9553695,2.8011762183355287,"2026-01-20",{"id":164,"percentile":165,"measured_on":166},9589746,2.6999755381604698,"2026-01-21",{"id":168,"percentile":169,"measured_on":170},9656379,2.7184228249556113,"2026-01-22",{"id":172,"percentile":173,"measured_on":174},9749786,2.666707163358593,"2026-01-23",{"id":176,"percentile":177,"measured_on":178},9873204,2.675600459797931,"2026-01-24",{"id":180,"percentile":181,"measured_on":182},9909878,2.6595744680851063,"2026-01-25",{"id":184,"percentile":185,"measured_on":186},10005580,2.7126366950182264,"2026-01-26",{"id":188,"percentile":189,"measured_on":190},10041671,2.6730877668896778,"2026-01-27",{"id":192,"percentile":193,"measured_on":194},10113237,2.690952359159764,"2026-01-28",{"Fri":196,"Sun":197},{"20:00":37,"21:00":37},{"02:00":37,"03:00":38},{"id":199,"name":32,"primary_platform":200,"verified":34,"total_followers":19},59014,"twitch",[],[],{"streamer":204,"latest_prediction":205,"historical_predictions":310,"trend_analysis":423,"approach_performance":425,"available_approaches":453,"model_summary":484},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"approaches":206,"id":272,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":273,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"score":276,"trend_change":37,"weighted_trend_change":37,"viewer_count":37,"follower_count":37,"scoring_weights":277,"trend_direction":286,"trendDirection":286,"confidence":287,"reference_level":287,"referenceLevel":287,"reference_reasons":288,"referenceReasons":293,"growth_rate":37,"growthRate":37,"observed_days":294,"observedDays":294,"session_count":23,"sessionCount":23,"data_completeness":295,"dataCompleteness":295,"last_streamed_at":296,"lastStreamedAt":296,"current_viewer_count":37,"current_follower_count":15,"streamer":297,"category":298,"ml_score":299,"bayesian_score":224,"regression_score":300,"momentum_score":224,"growth_potential_score":299,"quality_score":301,"normalized_score":301,"clip_influence_composite":37,"clip_influence_score":37,"clip_creator_activity_score":37,"clip_creator_growth_score":224,"clip_creator_quality_score":37,"clip_creator_variety_score":37,"formatted_total_score":302,"formatted_weighted_score":303,"formatted_trend_change":304,"formatted_growth_rate":304,"formatted_current_viewers":305,"formatted_current_followers":306,"trend_direction_text":307,"trend_direction_icon":308,"confidence_text":309,"reference_level_text":309},[207,212,217,222,227,232,236,240,244,248,252,256,260,264,268],{"name":208,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":210},"weighted_score",56.79,{"description":211},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":213,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":215},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":216},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":218,"value":219,"enabled":27,"info":220},"ml_score",91.74,{"description":221},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":223,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":225},"momentum_score",50,{"description":226},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":228,"value":229,"enabled":27,"info":230},"normalized_score",60.62,{"description":231},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":233,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":234},"clip_influence_score",{"description":235},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":237,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":238},"social_spread_score",{"description":239},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":241,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":242},"new_viewer_score",{"description":243},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":245,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":246},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":247},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":249,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":250},"bayesian_score",{"description":251},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":253,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":254},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":255},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":257,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":258},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":259},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":261,"value":224,"enabled":27,"info":262},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":263},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":265,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":266},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":267},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":269,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":270},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":271},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51893243,"2026-07-11",542.4790545689256,"34.7922",34.7922,{"ml_score":278,"bayesian_score":279,"momentum_score":280,"weighted_score":281,"new_viewer_score":282,"normalized_score":283,"regression_score":284,"social_spread_score":285,"clip_influence_score":282,"loyal_clip_creators_score":282,"clip_creator_quality_score":282,"clip_creator_variety_score":282,"clip_creator_activity_score":282},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","low",[289,290,291,292],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[289,290,291,292],5,0.17,"2026-07-11T14:15:18+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"id":58,"name":49},91.73803884809935,33.33333333333333,60.6197636422314,542.5,"34.8","0.0%","0","8","安定","➡️","低",[311,312,315,318,321,324,328,334,339,342,345,349,354,357,360,363,366,370,376,379,383,388,391,395,401,407,411,414,419],{"id":272,"prediction_date":273,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"trend_change":37},{"id":313,"prediction_date":314,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"trend_change":37},51627123,"2026-07-10",{"id":316,"prediction_date":317,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"trend_change":37},51366029,"2026-07-09",{"id":319,"prediction_date":320,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"trend_change":37},51106135,"2026-07-08",{"id":322,"prediction_date":323,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"trend_change":37},50852776,"2026-07-07",{"id":325,"prediction_date":326,"total_score":274,"weighted_total_score":275,"trend_change":327},50587499,"2026-07-06",1.3194203467525285,{"id":329,"prediction_date":330,"total_score":331,"weighted_total_score":332,"trend_change":333},50329833,"2026-07-05",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",7.494765225902069,{"id":335,"prediction_date":336,"total_score":337,"weighted_total_score":338,"trend_change":37},50072025,"2026-07-04",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",{"id":340,"prediction_date":341,"total_score":337,"weighted_total_score":338,"trend_change":37},49817054,"2026-07-03",{"id":343,"prediction_date":344,"total_score":337,"weighted_total_score":338,"trend_change":37},49553656,"2026-07-02",{"id":346,"prediction_date":347,"total_score":337,"weighted_total_score":338,"trend_change":348},49302312,"2026-07-01",14.283801916066349,{"id":350,"prediction_date":351,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":37},49043983,"2026-06-30",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":355,"prediction_date":356,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":37},48790287,"2026-06-28",{"id":358,"prediction_date":359,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":37},48532105,"2026-06-27",{"id":361,"prediction_date":362,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":37},48272854,"2026-06-26",{"id":364,"prediction_date":365,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":37},48017850,"2026-06-25",{"id":367,"prediction_date":368,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":369},47765189,"2026-06-24",-17.07140742958309,{"id":371,"prediction_date":372,"total_score":373,"weighted_total_score":374,"trend_change":375},47512106,"2026-06-23",525.5499364559786,"33.466",-1.8424499959623597,{"id":377,"prediction_date":378,"total_score":331,"weighted_total_score":332,"trend_change":37},47255102,"2026-06-22",{"id":380,"prediction_date":381,"total_score":331,"weighted_total_score":332,"trend_change":382},47000676,"2026-06-21",20.624219449997618,{"id":384,"prediction_date":385,"total_score":386,"weighted_total_score":387,"trend_change":37},46750151,"2026-06-20",443.8699680099604,"27.2845",{"id":389,"prediction_date":390,"total_score":386,"weighted_total_score":387,"trend_change":37},46493860,"2026-06-19",{"id":392,"prediction_date":393,"total_score":386,"weighted_total_score":387,"trend_change":394},46248995,"2026-06-18",-0.034788156177665217,{"id":396,"prediction_date":397,"total_score":398,"weighted_total_score":399,"trend_change":400},45998163,"2026-06-17",444.0244359241967,"27.2966",-5.925511564399778,{"id":402,"prediction_date":403,"total_score":404,"weighted_total_score":405,"trend_change":406},45743857,"2026-06-16",471.9924001799476,"29.2672",8.297074069041026,{"id":408,"prediction_date":409,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":410},45498134,"2026-06-15",-17.399801404817104,{"id":412,"prediction_date":413,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":33,"trend_change":33},45252107,"2026-06-14",{"id":415,"prediction_date":416,"total_score":417,"weighted_total_score":418,"trend_change":37},45006075,"2026-06-13",527.6393676650075,"33.6297",{"id":420,"prediction_date":421,"total_score":417,"weighted_total_score":418,"trend_change":422},44755097,"2026-06-12",-1.4522045898582467,{"trend_direction":286,"confidence":287,"reference_level":287,"reference_reasons":424,"growth_rate":37,"trend_change":37,"weighted_trend_change":37},[289,290,291,292],{"weighted_score":426,"regression_score":431,"ml_score":432,"momentum_score":436,"normalized_score":437,"clip_influence_score":441,"social_spread_score":442,"new_viewer_score":443,"genre_correlation_score":446,"bayesian_score":447,"clip_creator_variety_score":448,"clip_creator_activity_score":449,"clip_creator_growth_score":450,"clip_creator_quality_score":451,"loyal_clip_creators_score":452},{"current":427,"average":428,"max":427,"min":429,"trend":430},56.78791874526149,38.27,17.416092081753813,7.21,{"current":300,"average":214,"max":300,"min":300,"trend":37},{"current":299,"average":433,"max":299,"min":434,"trend":435},74.98,51.12394875316044,3.92,{"current":224,"average":224,"max":224,"min":224,"trend":37},{"current":301,"average":438,"max":301,"min":439,"trend":440},48.86,33.95779138941586,3.71,{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":224,"average":224,"max":224,"min":224,"trend":37},{"current":224,"average":444,"max":224,"min":445,"trend":37},43.14,0.24726231566347678,{"current":224,"average":224,"max":224,"min":224,"trend":37},{"current":224,"average":224,"max":224,"min":224,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":224,"average":224,"max":224,"min":224,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"weighted_score":454,"regression_score":456,"ml_score":458,"momentum_score":460,"normalized_score":462,"clip_influence_score":464,"social_spread_score":466,"new_viewer_score":468,"genre_correlation_score":470,"bayesian_score":472,"clip_creator_variety_score":474,"clip_creator_activity_score":476,"clip_creator_growth_score":478,"clip_creator_quality_score":480,"loyal_clip_creators_score":482},{"name":455,"desc":211},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":457,"desc":216},"時系列回帰",{"name":459,"desc":221},"機械学習モデル",{"name":461,"desc":226},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":463,"desc":231},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":465,"desc":235},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":467,"desc":239},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":469,"desc":243},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":471,"desc":247},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":473,"desc":251},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":475,"desc":255},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":477,"desc":259},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":479,"desc":263},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":481,"desc":267},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":483,"desc":271},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":485,"generatedAt":486,"targetMetric":487,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":344,"validationPeriodEnd":317,"validationSampleCount":488,"validationMetricSampleCount":489,"correlation":490,"legacyTrendCorrelation":491,"scoreCorrelation":490,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":492,"topDecileLift":493,"topDecileAvgGrowth":494,"overallAvgGrowth":495,"mae":496,"rmse":497,"directionAccuracy":498,"modelReliabilityLevel":287,"candidateApproachCount":499,"enabledApproachCount":500,"predictionDataStatus":501,"notice":505,"explanation":506},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":273,"exposedPredictionDate":273,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":502,"servingFallbackReason":33,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":503,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":503,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":37,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":37,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":37,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":504},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":507,"reliabilityInterpretation":508,"metricDefinitions":509,"limitations":521,"improvementPolicy":526},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":510,"scoreCorrelation":511,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":512,"topDecileLift":513,"topDecileAvgGrowth":514,"overallAvgGrowth":515,"legacyTrendCorrelation":516,"mae":517,"rmse":518,"directionAccuracy":519,"validationMetricSampleCount":520},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[522,523,524,525],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[527,528,529,530],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]