[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-19667052":29,"prediction-19667052-v2":170},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":169},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":40,"follower_count":41,"follower_diff_week":38,"follower_diff_latest":38,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":38,"percentile_diff_latest":43,"latest_stream_start":44,"latest_stream_end":45,"stream_days":46,"total_sessions":46,"total_duration_minutes":47,"category":48,"title":51,"clip_count":38,"total_clip_views":38,"recent_sessions":52,"recent_clips":53,"percentile_history":54,"weekly_data":154,"creator":155,"youtube_channels":159,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},19667052,"サモトラケのニケ","samothrake_nike",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F24d89460-8746-4f1c-8025-000e50e6bf33-profile_image-300x300.png","酔ってると口が悪くなったりしますが、平常時は穏やかなつもりです。フォロー コメントしていただけるとうれしいです。どうぞよろしくおねがいします",0,1.25,4,22,8.271812080536913,0.013676997135217306,"2026-06-11T00:11:44.000+09:00","2026-06-11T03:10:01.878+09:00",11,1860,{"id":49,"name":50},"1941249372","Half Sword","王となるhalf sword",[],[],[55,59,63,67,71,75,79,83,87,91,95,99,103,107,111,115,119,123,127,131,135,139,143,147,151],{"id":56,"percentile":57,"measured_on":58},3313049,21.570435861147775,"2025-10-14",{"id":60,"percentile":61,"measured_on":62},3375452,16.618085038970914,"2025-10-15",{"id":64,"percentile":65,"measured_on":66},3438192,18.02504134183794,"2025-10-16",{"id":68,"percentile":69,"measured_on":70},3451173,16.252680346214646,"2025-10-17",{"id":72,"percentile":73,"measured_on":74},3514170,14.784058332294652,"2025-10-18",{"id":76,"percentile":77,"measured_on":78},3578423,14.904865876481596,"2025-10-19",{"id":80,"percentile":81,"measured_on":82},3642523,14.915148197387973,"2025-10-20",{"id":84,"percentile":85,"measured_on":86},3706572,15.393819498731673,"2025-10-21",{"id":88,"percentile":89,"measured_on":90},3768113,14.220880099146433,"2025-10-23",{"id":92,"percentile":93,"measured_on":94},10418374,2.669012162203148,"2026-02-01",{"id":96,"percentile":97,"measured_on":98},10440968,2.6520229100658055,"2026-02-02",{"id":100,"percentile":101,"measured_on":102},10505585,2.615816210478429,"2026-02-03",{"id":104,"percentile":105,"measured_on":106},10670662,2.6331709973078437,"2026-02-04",{"id":108,"percentile":109,"measured_on":110},10742945,2.6387776383998065,"2026-02-05",{"id":112,"percentile":113,"measured_on":114},10764730,2.6868507154380836,"2026-02-06",{"id":116,"percentile":117,"measured_on":118},10829922,2.6230147422726797,"2026-02-07",{"id":120,"percentile":121,"measured_on":122},11003072,2.6603787708660827,"2026-02-08",{"id":124,"percentile":125,"measured_on":126},19351578,8.337719759974734,"2026-06-09",{"id":128,"percentile":129,"measured_on":130},19481026,8.455539161070794,"2026-06-12",{"id":132,"percentile":133,"measured_on":134},19572220,8.444018508258337,"2026-06-13",{"id":136,"percentile":137,"measured_on":138},19651152,8.364643365017589,"2026-06-14",{"id":140,"percentile":141,"measured_on":142},19717360,8.33004342676668,"2026-06-15",{"id":144,"percentile":145,"measured_on":146},19853411,8.273588044892156,"2026-06-16",{"id":148,"percentile":149,"measured_on":150},19919321,8.258135083401696,"2026-06-17",{"id":152,"percentile":42,"measured_on":153},20039604,"2026-06-18",{},{"id":156,"name":32,"primary_platform":157,"verified":35,"total_followers":158},137006,"mixed",23,[160],{"id":161,"channel_id":162,"channel_name":163,"handle":163,"description":164,"subscriber_count":165,"thumbnail_url":166,"youtube_url":167,"youtube_handle_url":168},29030,"UCn84F-zxTJ6m--H39HW1oIw","くきニケ","気が向いたときに気が向いたゲームを気の向くままに垂れ流す動画チャンネル。\n基本的に老若男女いらっしゃいスタイルです。\n（暴言、敬語使えないタメ口キッズはお断りスタイルです）\n配信はtwitchでやってたりします\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fsamothrake_nike\n\n(　ﾟдﾟ)ﾎｽｨ…\nhttps:\u002F\u002Fwww.amazon.jp\u002Fhz\u002Fwishlist\u002Fls\u002F2QO61MFCRJMM2?ref_=wl_share",15,"https:\u002F\u002Fyt3.ggpht.com\u002FpbyV0wq2Ui5eZ-iN4cOBZQIg0oPRHh8cIyZ1tw6GUQCxD2_NxG_sSdQBuDV2dUcVFalMsFGnlw=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002Fchannel\u002FUCn84F-zxTJ6m--H39HW1oIw","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@くきニケ",[],{"streamer":171,"latest_prediction":172,"historical_predictions":277,"trend_analysis":375,"approach_performance":377,"available_approaches":413,"model_summary":444},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":173,"id":239,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":240,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"score":243,"trend_change":38,"weighted_trend_change":38,"viewer_count":38,"follower_count":38,"scoring_weights":244,"trend_direction":253,"trendDirection":253,"confidence":254,"reference_level":254,"referenceLevel":254,"reference_reasons":255,"referenceReasons":261,"growth_rate":38,"growthRate":38,"observed_days":262,"observedDays":262,"session_count":262,"sessionCount":262,"data_completeness":263,"dataCompleteness":263,"last_streamed_at":264,"lastStreamedAt":264,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":41,"streamer":265,"category":34,"ml_score":266,"bayesian_score":191,"regression_score":267,"momentum_score":191,"growth_potential_score":266,"quality_score":268,"normalized_score":268,"clip_influence_composite":38,"clip_influence_score":38,"clip_creator_activity_score":38,"clip_creator_growth_score":191,"clip_creator_quality_score":38,"clip_creator_variety_score":38,"formatted_total_score":269,"formatted_weighted_score":270,"formatted_trend_change":271,"formatted_growth_rate":271,"formatted_current_viewers":272,"formatted_current_followers":273,"trend_direction_text":274,"trend_direction_icon":275,"confidence_text":276,"reference_level_text":276},[174,179,184,189,194,199,203,207,211,215,219,223,227,231,235],{"name":175,"value":176,"enabled":27,"info":177},"weighted_score",37.5,{"description":178},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":180,"value":181,"enabled":27,"info":182},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":183},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":185,"value":186,"enabled":27,"info":187},"ml_score",77.73,{"description":188},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":190,"value":191,"enabled":27,"info":192},"momentum_score",50,{"description":193},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":195,"value":196,"enabled":27,"info":197},"normalized_score",49.52,{"description":198},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":200,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":201},"clip_influence_score",{"description":202},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":204,"value":191,"enabled":27,"info":205},"social_spread_score",{"description":206},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":208,"value":191,"enabled":27,"info":209},"new_viewer_score",{"description":210},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":212,"value":191,"enabled":27,"info":213},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":214},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":216,"value":191,"enabled":27,"info":217},"bayesian_score",{"description":218},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":220,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":221},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":222},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":224,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":225},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":226},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":228,"value":191,"enabled":27,"info":229},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":230},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":232,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":233},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":234},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":236,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":237},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":238},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51682385,"2026-07-11",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",31.3133,{"ml_score":245,"bayesian_score":246,"momentum_score":247,"weighted_score":248,"new_viewer_score":249,"normalized_score":250,"regression_score":251,"social_spread_score":252,"clip_influence_score":249,"loyal_clip_creators_score":249,"clip_creator_quality_score":249,"clip_creator_variety_score":249,"clip_creator_activity_score":249},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[256,257,258,259,260],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","直近30日以内の配信が確認できないため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[256,257,258,259,260],1,0.03,"2026-06-11T00:11:44+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},77.72998611746911,33.33333333333333,49.52110648360082,498.1,"31.3","0.0%","0","22","安定","➡️","検証不足",[278,279,282,285,288,291,294,297,300,303,306,309,312,315,318,321,325,330,333,336,339,342,346,351,356,361,365,367,370],{"id":239,"prediction_date":240,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},{"id":280,"prediction_date":281,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},51435393,"2026-07-10",{"id":283,"prediction_date":284,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},51177600,"2026-07-09",{"id":286,"prediction_date":287,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},50914833,"2026-07-08",{"id":289,"prediction_date":290,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},50646972,"2026-07-07",{"id":292,"prediction_date":293,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},50403901,"2026-07-06",{"id":295,"prediction_date":296,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},50131250,"2026-07-05",{"id":298,"prediction_date":299,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},49882593,"2026-07-04",{"id":301,"prediction_date":302,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},49614383,"2026-07-03",{"id":304,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},49370403,"2026-07-02",{"id":307,"prediction_date":308,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},49100598,"2026-07-01",{"id":310,"prediction_date":311,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},48844690,"2026-06-30",{"id":313,"prediction_date":314,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},48593335,"2026-06-28",{"id":316,"prediction_date":317,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},48341992,"2026-06-27",{"id":319,"prediction_date":320,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":38},48091477,"2026-06-26",{"id":322,"prediction_date":323,"total_score":241,"weighted_total_score":242,"trend_change":324},47838954,"2026-06-25",14.283801916066349,{"id":326,"prediction_date":327,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":38},47582443,"2026-06-24",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":331,"prediction_date":332,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":38},47317870,"2026-06-23",{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":38},47070332,"2026-06-22",{"id":337,"prediction_date":338,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":38},46813714,"2026-06-21",{"id":340,"prediction_date":341,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":38},46562979,"2026-06-20",{"id":343,"prediction_date":344,"total_score":328,"weighted_total_score":329,"trend_change":345},46317767,"2026-06-19",-0.23939750134058876,{"id":347,"prediction_date":153,"total_score":348,"weighted_total_score":349,"trend_change":350},46051851,436.8770382712155,"26.7815",-16.980602885659597,{"id":352,"prediction_date":150,"total_score":353,"weighted_total_score":354,"trend_change":355},45798537,526.2348962490253,"33.7885",-1.8299209288454572,{"id":357,"prediction_date":146,"total_score":358,"weighted_total_score":359,"trend_change":360},45547829,536.0440790392005,"34.557",-1.1862164032929448,{"id":362,"prediction_date":142,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":38},45281329,542.4790545689256,"34.7922",{"id":366,"prediction_date":138,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45064520,{"id":368,"prediction_date":134,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":369},44815026,-6.228853901459498,{"id":371,"prediction_date":130,"total_score":372,"weighted_total_score":373,"trend_change":374},44564481,578.5138362272496,"36.2229",10.077805380099674,{"trend_direction":253,"confidence":254,"reference_level":254,"reference_reasons":376,"growth_rate":38,"trend_change":38,"weighted_trend_change":38},[256,257,258,259,260],{"weighted_score":378,"regression_score":383,"ml_score":386,"momentum_score":391,"normalized_score":396,"clip_influence_score":401,"social_spread_score":402,"new_viewer_score":403,"genre_correlation_score":404,"bayesian_score":405,"clip_creator_variety_score":408,"clip_creator_activity_score":409,"clip_creator_growth_score":410,"clip_creator_quality_score":411,"loyal_clip_creators_score":412},{"current":176,"average":379,"max":380,"min":381,"trend":382},36.27,56.78791874526149,17.416092081753813,-19.29,{"current":267,"average":384,"max":385,"min":267,"trend":38},33.78,37.66233766233766,{"current":266,"average":387,"max":388,"min":389,"trend":390},74.02,91.73803884809935,51.12394875316044,-14.01,{"current":191,"average":392,"max":393,"min":394,"trend":395},50.57,86.034781658324,43.542755917761774,-36.03,{"current":268,"average":397,"max":398,"min":399,"trend":400},48.02,60.6197636422314,33.95779138941586,-11.1,{"current":38,"average":38,"max":38,"min":38,"trend":38},{"current":191,"average":191,"max":191,"min":191,"trend":38},{"current":191,"average":191,"max":191,"min":191,"trend":38},{"current":191,"average":191,"max":191,"min":191,"trend":38},{"current":191,"average":406,"max":407,"min":191,"trend":38},50.07,50.64935064935065,{"current":38,"average":38,"max":38,"min":38,"trend":38},{"current":38,"average":38,"max":38,"min":38,"trend":38},{"current":191,"average":191,"max":191,"min":191,"trend":38},{"current":38,"average":38,"max":38,"min":38,"trend":38},{"current":38,"average":38,"max":38,"min":38,"trend":38},{"weighted_score":414,"regression_score":416,"ml_score":418,"momentum_score":420,"normalized_score":422,"clip_influence_score":424,"social_spread_score":426,"new_viewer_score":428,"genre_correlation_score":430,"bayesian_score":432,"clip_creator_variety_score":434,"clip_creator_activity_score":436,"clip_creator_growth_score":438,"clip_creator_quality_score":440,"loyal_clip_creators_score":442},{"name":415,"desc":178},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":417,"desc":183},"時系列回帰",{"name":419,"desc":188},"機械学習モデル",{"name":421,"desc":193},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":423,"desc":198},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":425,"desc":202},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":427,"desc":206},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":429,"desc":210},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":431,"desc":214},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":433,"desc":218},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":435,"desc":222},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":437,"desc":226},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":439,"desc":230},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":441,"desc":234},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":443,"desc":238},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":445,"generatedAt":446,"targetMetric":447,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":305,"validationPeriodEnd":284,"validationSampleCount":448,"validationMetricSampleCount":449,"correlation":450,"legacyTrendCorrelation":451,"scoreCorrelation":450,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":452,"topDecileLift":453,"topDecileAvgGrowth":454,"overallAvgGrowth":455,"mae":456,"rmse":457,"directionAccuracy":458,"modelReliabilityLevel":459,"candidateApproachCount":165,"enabledApproachCount":460,"predictionDataStatus":461,"notice":465,"explanation":466},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,"low",13,{"latestAvailableDate":240,"exposedPredictionDate":240,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":462,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":463,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":463,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":38,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":38,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":38,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":464},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":467,"reliabilityInterpretation":468,"metricDefinitions":469,"limitations":481,"improvementPolicy":486},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":470,"scoreCorrelation":471,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":472,"topDecileLift":473,"topDecileAvgGrowth":474,"overallAvgGrowth":475,"legacyTrendCorrelation":476,"mae":477,"rmse":478,"directionAccuracy":479,"validationMetricSampleCount":480},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[482,483,484,485],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[487,488,489,490],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]