[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-19574916":29,"prediction-19574916-v2":189},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":33,"seo_similar_streamers":188},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"language":33,"is_partner":34,"is_affiliate":34,"profile_image_url":35,"description":36,"is_live":34,"current_viewer_count":37,"avg_viewer_count":38,"peak_viewer_count":39,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":40,"follower_diff_latest":40,"percentile":40,"percentile_diff_week":40,"percentile_diff_latest":40,"latest_stream_start":41,"latest_stream_end":42,"stream_days":43,"total_sessions":43,"total_duration_minutes":44,"category":45,"title":48,"clip_count":40,"total_clip_views":40,"recent_sessions":49,"recent_clips":59,"percentile_history":60,"weekly_data":181,"creator":184,"youtube_channels":187,"twitcasting_user":33,"seo_indexable":34},19574916,"skyskyj123",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F1825dd35-228f-490a-a358-0c36957a1e3f-profile_image-300x300.png","花火",1,1.25,3,0,"2026-07-10T17:04:57.000+09:00","2026-07-10T19:10:03.726+09:00",13,900,{"id":46,"name":47},"209738946","Wuthering Waves","鳴潮",[50],{"id":51,"title":48,"started_at":41,"ended_at":42,"duration_minutes":52,"average_viewers":53,"peak_viewers":53,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":54,"language":55,"tags":33,"game_category":56,"vod_archives":58},13423430,125,2,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_skyskyj123-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":57,"name":47},41,[],[],[61,65,69,73,77,81,85,89,93,97,101,105,109,113,117,121,125,129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177],{"id":62,"percentile":63,"measured_on":64},3166084,36.71583408035205,"2025-10-13",{"id":66,"percentile":67,"measured_on":68},3312757,35.78800069966766,"2025-10-14",{"id":70,"percentile":71,"measured_on":72},3375160,34.65718268804258,"2025-10-15",{"id":74,"percentile":75,"measured_on":76},3437900,33.55854791715883,"2025-10-16",{"id":78,"percentile":79,"measured_on":80},3463061,32.60709646116041,"2025-10-17",{"id":82,"percentile":83,"measured_on":84},3525588,31.509410444970708,"2025-10-18",{"id":86,"percentile":87,"measured_on":88},3590446,31.501871490954457,"2025-10-19",{"id":90,"percentile":91,"measured_on":92},8249535,2.248891444829517,"2025-12-31",{"id":94,"percentile":95,"measured_on":96},8315974,2.1814799255836284,"2026-01-01",{"id":98,"percentile":99,"measured_on":100},8335875,2.2245183249255454,"2026-01-02",{"id":102,"percentile":103,"measured_on":104},8397188,2.228595969201509,"2026-01-03",{"id":106,"percentile":107,"measured_on":108},8511710,2.238748279967223,"2026-01-04",{"id":110,"percentile":111,"measured_on":112},8576305,2.25182121249537,"2026-01-05",{"id":114,"percentile":115,"measured_on":116},8596955,2.2696601643970067,"2026-01-06",{"id":118,"percentile":119,"measured_on":120},9318476,2.6473359472356464,"2026-01-17",{"id":122,"percentile":123,"measured_on":124},9389847,2.6136035172592154,"2026-01-18",{"id":126,"percentile":127,"measured_on":128},9451052,2.7633533998131217,"2026-01-19",{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},9572507,2.8011762183355287,"2026-01-20",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},9590833,2.6999755381604698,"2026-01-21",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},9654469,2.7184228249556113,"2026-01-22",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},9768699,2.666707163358593,"2026-01-23",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},11038768,28.93645786390266,"2026-02-09",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},11105056,28.84358238555267,"2026-02-10",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},11172067,29.110383102215444,"2026-02-11",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},11270550,29.26439544974786,"2026-02-12",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},11307836,29.33259209409837,"2026-02-13",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},11373949,26.509964230965764,"2026-02-14",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},11475744,23.59216509268975,"2026-02-15",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},11544132,18.868835902164843,"2026-02-16",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},11679369,19.15191869633783,"2026-02-17",{"Fri":182,"Thu":183},{"00:00":53,"01:00":37},{"23:00":53},{"id":185,"name":32,"primary_platform":186,"verified":34,"total_followers":40},136714,"twitch",[],[],{"streamer":190,"latest_prediction":191,"historical_predictions":297,"trend_analysis":385,"approach_performance":387,"available_approaches":412,"model_summary":443},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"approaches":192,"id":258,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":259,"total_score":260,"weighted_total_score":261,"score":262,"trend_change":263,"weighted_trend_change":264,"viewer_count":40,"follower_count":40,"scoring_weights":265,"trend_direction":274,"trendDirection":274,"confidence":275,"reference_level":275,"referenceLevel":275,"reference_reasons":276,"referenceReasons":281,"growth_rate":263,"growthRate":263,"observed_days":37,"observedDays":37,"session_count":37,"sessionCount":37,"data_completeness":282,"dataCompleteness":282,"last_streamed_at":283,"lastStreamedAt":283,"current_viewer_count":37,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":284,"category":285,"ml_score":286,"bayesian_score":210,"regression_score":287,"momentum_score":210,"growth_potential_score":286,"quality_score":288,"normalized_score":288,"clip_influence_composite":40,"clip_influence_score":40,"clip_creator_activity_score":40,"clip_creator_growth_score":210,"clip_creator_quality_score":40,"clip_creator_variety_score":40,"formatted_total_score":289,"formatted_weighted_score":290,"formatted_trend_change":291,"formatted_growth_rate":291,"formatted_current_viewers":292,"formatted_current_followers":293,"trend_direction_text":294,"trend_direction_icon":295,"confidence_text":296,"reference_level_text":296},[193,198,203,208,213,218,222,226,230,234,238,242,246,250,254],{"name":194,"value":195,"enabled":27,"info":196},"weighted_score",48.64,{"description":197},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":199,"value":200,"enabled":27,"info":201},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":202},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":204,"value":205,"enabled":27,"info":206},"ml_score",87.19,{"description":207},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":209,"value":210,"enabled":27,"info":211},"momentum_score",50,{"description":212},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":214,"value":215,"enabled":27,"info":216},"normalized_score",56.39,{"description":217},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":219,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":220},"clip_influence_score",{"description":221},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":223,"value":210,"enabled":27,"info":224},"social_spread_score",{"description":225},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":227,"value":210,"enabled":27,"info":228},"new_viewer_score",{"description":229},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":231,"value":210,"enabled":27,"info":232},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":233},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":235,"value":210,"enabled":27,"info":236},"bayesian_score",{"description":237},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":239,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":240},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":241},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":243,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":244},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":245},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":247,"value":210,"enabled":27,"info":248},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":249},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":251,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":252},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":253},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":255,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":256},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":257},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51680716,"2026-07-11",525.5499364559786,"33.466",33.466,5.514227928337688,6.87,{"ml_score":266,"bayesian_score":267,"momentum_score":268,"weighted_score":269,"new_viewer_score":270,"normalized_score":271,"regression_score":272,"social_spread_score":273,"clip_influence_score":270,"loyal_clip_creators_score":270,"clip_creator_quality_score":270,"clip_creator_variety_score":270,"clip_creator_activity_score":270},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"up","insufficient",[277,278,279,280],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[277,278,279,280],0.03,"2026-07-10T17:04:57+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"id":57,"name":47},87.19323392896624,33.33333333333333,56.38748411399463,525.5,"33.5","+5.5%","1","0","上昇","⬆️","検証不足",[298,299,304,307,310,313,316,319,322,325,328,331,334,337,340,343,346,349,352,355,358,361,364,367,370,373,376,379,382],{"id":258,"prediction_date":259,"total_score":260,"weighted_total_score":261,"trend_change":263},{"id":300,"prediction_date":301,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},51432919,"2026-07-10",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",{"id":305,"prediction_date":306,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},51176151,"2026-07-09",{"id":308,"prediction_date":309,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},50912555,"2026-07-08",{"id":311,"prediction_date":312,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},50645644,"2026-07-07",{"id":314,"prediction_date":315,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},50402027,"2026-07-06",{"id":317,"prediction_date":318,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},50130058,"2026-07-05",{"id":320,"prediction_date":321,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},49881100,"2026-07-04",{"id":323,"prediction_date":324,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},49613192,"2026-07-03",{"id":326,"prediction_date":327,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},49368474,"2026-07-02",{"id":329,"prediction_date":330,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},49099706,"2026-07-01",{"id":332,"prediction_date":333,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},48843498,"2026-06-30",{"id":335,"prediction_date":336,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},48591928,"2026-06-28",{"id":338,"prediction_date":339,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},48340777,"2026-06-27",{"id":341,"prediction_date":342,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},48089598,"2026-06-26",{"id":344,"prediction_date":345,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},47837074,"2026-06-25",{"id":347,"prediction_date":348,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},47580572,"2026-06-24",{"id":350,"prediction_date":351,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},47316578,"2026-06-23",{"id":353,"prediction_date":354,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},47069053,"2026-06-22",{"id":356,"prediction_date":357,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},46812522,"2026-06-21",{"id":359,"prediction_date":360,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},46561887,"2026-06-20",{"id":362,"prediction_date":363,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},46316471,"2026-06-19",{"id":365,"prediction_date":366,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},46050559,"2026-06-18",{"id":368,"prediction_date":369,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},45797088,"2026-06-17",{"id":371,"prediction_date":372,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},45546387,"2026-06-16",{"id":374,"prediction_date":375,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},45280798,"2026-06-15",{"id":377,"prediction_date":378,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":33,"trend_change":33},45063545,"2026-06-14",{"id":380,"prediction_date":381,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},44814034,"2026-06-13",{"id":383,"prediction_date":384,"total_score":302,"weighted_total_score":303,"trend_change":40},44563533,"2026-06-12",{"trend_direction":274,"confidence":275,"reference_level":275,"reference_reasons":386,"growth_rate":263,"trend_change":263,"weighted_trend_change":264},[277,278,279,280],{"weighted_score":388,"regression_score":393,"ml_score":394,"momentum_score":398,"normalized_score":399,"clip_influence_score":402,"social_spread_score":403,"new_viewer_score":404,"genre_correlation_score":405,"bayesian_score":406,"clip_creator_variety_score":407,"clip_creator_activity_score":408,"clip_creator_growth_score":409,"clip_creator_quality_score":410,"loyal_clip_creators_score":411},{"current":389,"average":390,"max":389,"min":391,"trend":392},48.63588507968435,37.88,37.5,11.14,{"current":287,"average":200,"max":287,"min":287,"trend":40},{"current":286,"average":395,"max":286,"min":396,"trend":397},78.06,77.72998611746911,9.46,{"current":210,"average":210,"max":210,"min":210,"trend":40},{"current":288,"average":400,"max":288,"min":401,"trend":264},49.76,49.52110648360082,{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":210,"average":210,"max":210,"min":210,"trend":40},{"current":210,"average":210,"max":210,"min":210,"trend":40},{"current":210,"average":210,"max":210,"min":210,"trend":40},{"current":210,"average":210,"max":210,"min":210,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":210,"average":210,"max":210,"min":210,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"weighted_score":413,"regression_score":415,"ml_score":417,"momentum_score":419,"normalized_score":421,"clip_influence_score":423,"social_spread_score":425,"new_viewer_score":427,"genre_correlation_score":429,"bayesian_score":431,"clip_creator_variety_score":433,"clip_creator_activity_score":435,"clip_creator_growth_score":437,"clip_creator_quality_score":439,"loyal_clip_creators_score":441},{"name":414,"desc":197},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":416,"desc":202},"時系列回帰",{"name":418,"desc":207},"機械学習モデル",{"name":420,"desc":212},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":422,"desc":217},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":424,"desc":221},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":426,"desc":225},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":428,"desc":229},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":430,"desc":233},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":432,"desc":237},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":434,"desc":241},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":436,"desc":245},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":438,"desc":249},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":440,"desc":253},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":442,"desc":257},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":444,"generatedAt":445,"targetMetric":446,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":327,"validationPeriodEnd":306,"validationSampleCount":447,"validationMetricSampleCount":448,"correlation":449,"legacyTrendCorrelation":450,"scoreCorrelation":449,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":451,"topDecileLift":452,"topDecileAvgGrowth":453,"overallAvgGrowth":454,"mae":455,"rmse":456,"directionAccuracy":457,"modelReliabilityLevel":458,"candidateApproachCount":459,"enabledApproachCount":43,"predictionDataStatus":460,"notice":464,"explanation":465},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,"low",15,{"latestAvailableDate":259,"exposedPredictionDate":259,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":461,"servingFallbackReason":33,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":462,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":462,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":40,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":40,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":40,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":463},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":466,"reliabilityInterpretation":467,"metricDefinitions":468,"limitations":480,"improvementPolicy":485},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":469,"scoreCorrelation":470,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":471,"topDecileLift":472,"topDecileAvgGrowth":473,"overallAvgGrowth":474,"legacyTrendCorrelation":475,"mae":476,"rmse":477,"directionAccuracy":478,"validationMetricSampleCount":479},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[481,482,483,484],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[486,487,488,489],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]