[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-1918480":29,"prediction-1918480-v2":188},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":33,"seo_similar_streamers":187},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"language":33,"is_partner":34,"is_affiliate":34,"profile_image_url":35,"description":36,"is_live":34,"current_viewer_count":37,"avg_viewer_count":38,"peak_viewer_count":39,"follower_count":15,"follower_diff_week":37,"follower_diff_latest":37,"percentile":37,"percentile_diff_week":37,"percentile_diff_latest":37,"latest_stream_start":40,"latest_stream_end":41,"stream_days":42,"total_sessions":42,"total_duration_minutes":43,"category":44,"title":47,"clip_count":48,"total_clip_views":49,"recent_sessions":50,"recent_clips":51,"percentile_history":61,"weekly_data":182,"creator":183,"youtube_channels":186,"twitcasting_user":33,"seo_indexable":34},1918480,"turimotonaoki",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fb5f05f26-63ba-4e83-86d1-3160bb38e0e9-profile_image-300x300.png","■ほしい物リストhttps:\u002F\u002Ft.co\u002Fp9B7tg1OHw■BTC 33jR2HbSiDnDhMC4sG8A6VJU3HUmcNMwQJ■楽天銀行 銀行コード0036 テクノ支店 支店番号217 口座番号3000890 ツリモトナオキ",0,1.02,2,"2026-06-12T15:02:31.000+09:00","2026-06-12T15:20:02.292+09:00",16,2280,{"id":45,"name":46},"512354","Others","無言配信",1,5,[],[52],{"id":53,"title":47,"view_count":49,"created_at":54,"duration":55,"thumbnail_url":56,"url":57,"creator":58},3275598,"2024-12-29T09:53:15.000+09:00",30,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FE4SMqjPm7npLsmlNmfhFLA\u002Fvod-2338017362-offset-34134-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fturimotonaoki\u002Fclip\u002FExquisiteConfidentTofuCoolStoryBob-M-buekuyaU2Z-EUs",{"id":59,"name":60},"919075638","rodrigopaxeco52",[62,66,70,74,78,82,86,90,94,98,102,106,110,114,118,122,126,130,134,138,142,146,150,154,158,162,166,170,174,178],{"id":63,"percentile":64,"measured_on":65},196647,1.0943517874412527,"2025-07-07",{"id":67,"percentile":68,"measured_on":69},256126,1.1160965568260401,"2025-07-08",{"id":71,"percentile":72,"measured_on":73},317882,1.159896614442069,"2025-07-09",{"id":75,"percentile":76,"measured_on":77},382498,1.1859286844502694,"2025-07-10",{"id":79,"percentile":80,"measured_on":81},445158,1.164760017894804,"2025-07-11",{"id":83,"percentile":84,"measured_on":85},511201,1.160724291958182,"2025-07-12",{"id":87,"percentile":88,"measured_on":89},574932,13.463234704514473,"2025-07-13",{"id":91,"percentile":92,"measured_on":93},637510,13.87497382536282,"2025-07-14",{"id":95,"percentile":96,"measured_on":97},691618,1.0316412914024529,"2025-07-15",{"id":99,"percentile":100,"measured_on":101},753756,1.0371539464996054,"2025-07-16",{"id":103,"percentile":104,"measured_on":105},815857,1.0461597888366703,"2025-07-17",{"id":107,"percentile":108,"measured_on":109},877985,1.0409281340638092,"2025-07-18",{"id":111,"percentile":112,"measured_on":113},940028,1.0137534706528055,"2025-07-19",{"id":115,"percentile":116,"measured_on":117},1001664,0.4947613504074505,"2025-07-20",{"id":119,"percentile":120,"measured_on":121},1063491,0.4611749368532551,"2025-07-21",{"id":123,"percentile":124,"measured_on":125},1569239,15.91436509233535,"2025-07-30",{"id":127,"percentile":128,"measured_on":129},1630442,15.943708879565083,"2025-07-31",{"id":131,"percentile":132,"measured_on":133},1691653,15.89788934191351,"2025-08-01",{"id":135,"percentile":136,"measured_on":137},1752828,16.066132494387915,"2025-08-02",{"id":139,"percentile":140,"measured_on":141},1813848,15.924207520846176,"2025-08-03",{"id":143,"percentile":144,"measured_on":145},1875530,16.03496640354883,"2025-08-04",{"id":147,"percentile":148,"measured_on":149},1936940,16.158953329427845,"2025-08-05",{"id":151,"percentile":152,"measured_on":153},3577311,13.159700561447284,"2025-10-19",{"id":155,"percentile":156,"measured_on":157},3641420,13.18213810901697,"2025-10-20",{"id":159,"percentile":160,"measured_on":161},3705298,13.356519519471611,"2025-10-21",{"id":163,"percentile":164,"measured_on":165},3764915,9.268795056642636,"2025-10-23",{"id":167,"percentile":168,"measured_on":169},3822305,9.375270773763106,"2025-10-24",{"id":171,"percentile":172,"measured_on":173},3880214,9.744791666666666,"2025-10-25",{"id":175,"percentile":176,"measured_on":177},3937087,8.459753394292049,"2025-10-26",{"id":179,"percentile":180,"measured_on":181},3994832,8.535434721833939,"2025-10-27",{},{"id":184,"name":32,"primary_platform":185,"verified":34,"total_followers":15},57328,"twitch",[],[],{"streamer":189,"latest_prediction":190,"historical_predictions":294,"trend_analysis":388,"approach_performance":390,"available_approaches":412,"model_summary":443},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},{"approaches":191,"id":257,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":258,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"score":261,"trend_change":37,"weighted_trend_change":37,"viewer_count":37,"follower_count":37,"scoring_weights":262,"trend_direction":271,"trendDirection":271,"confidence":272,"reference_level":272,"referenceLevel":272,"reference_reasons":273,"referenceReasons":279,"growth_rate":37,"growthRate":37,"observed_days":48,"observedDays":48,"session_count":48,"sessionCount":48,"data_completeness":280,"dataCompleteness":280,"last_streamed_at":281,"lastStreamedAt":281,"current_viewer_count":37,"current_follower_count":15,"streamer":282,"category":33,"ml_score":283,"bayesian_score":209,"regression_score":284,"momentum_score":209,"growth_potential_score":283,"quality_score":285,"normalized_score":285,"clip_influence_composite":37,"clip_influence_score":37,"clip_creator_activity_score":37,"clip_creator_growth_score":209,"clip_creator_quality_score":37,"clip_creator_variety_score":37,"formatted_total_score":286,"formatted_weighted_score":287,"formatted_trend_change":288,"formatted_growth_rate":288,"formatted_current_viewers":289,"formatted_current_followers":290,"trend_direction_text":291,"trend_direction_icon":292,"confidence_text":293,"reference_level_text":293},[192,197,202,207,212,217,221,225,229,233,237,241,245,249,253],{"name":193,"value":194,"enabled":27,"info":195},"weighted_score",37.5,{"description":196},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":198,"value":199,"enabled":27,"info":200},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":201},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":203,"value":204,"enabled":27,"info":205},"ml_score",77.73,{"description":206},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":208,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":210},"momentum_score",50,{"description":211},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":213,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":215},"normalized_score",49.52,{"description":216},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":218,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":219},"clip_influence_score",{"description":220},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":222,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":223},"social_spread_score",{"description":224},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":226,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":227},"new_viewer_score",{"description":228},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":230,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":231},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":232},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":234,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":235},"bayesian_score",{"description":236},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":238,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":239},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":240},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":242,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":243},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":244},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":246,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":247},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":248},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":250,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":251},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":252},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":254,"value":37,"enabled":27,"info":255},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":256},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",52141392,"2026-07-12",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",31.3133,{"ml_score":263,"bayesian_score":264,"momentum_score":265,"weighted_score":266,"new_viewer_score":267,"normalized_score":268,"regression_score":269,"social_spread_score":270,"clip_influence_score":267,"loyal_clip_creators_score":267,"clip_creator_quality_score":267,"clip_creator_variety_score":267,"clip_creator_activity_score":267},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[274,275,276,277,278],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","直近30日以内の配信が確認できないため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[274,275,276,277,278],0.03,"2026-06-12T15:02:31+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":32,"profile_image_url":35},77.72998611746911,33.33333333333333,49.52110648360082,498.1,"31.3","0.0%","0","8","安定","➡️","検証不足",[295,296,299,302,305,308,311,314,317,320,323,326,329,332,335,338,341,344,347,350,353,356,360,365,368,371,374,377,380,384],{"id":257,"prediction_date":258,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},{"id":297,"prediction_date":298,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},51886457,"2026-07-11",{"id":300,"prediction_date":301,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},51622037,"2026-07-10",{"id":303,"prediction_date":304,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},51359043,"2026-07-09",{"id":306,"prediction_date":307,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},51100601,"2026-07-08",{"id":309,"prediction_date":310,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},50845912,"2026-07-07",{"id":312,"prediction_date":313,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},50581623,"2026-07-06",{"id":315,"prediction_date":316,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},50323896,"2026-07-05",{"id":318,"prediction_date":319,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},50066664,"2026-07-04",{"id":321,"prediction_date":322,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},49810138,"2026-07-03",{"id":324,"prediction_date":325,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},49548368,"2026-07-02",{"id":327,"prediction_date":328,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},49295526,"2026-07-01",{"id":330,"prediction_date":331,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},49037284,"2026-06-30",{"id":333,"prediction_date":334,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},48784468,"2026-06-28",{"id":336,"prediction_date":337,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},48527019,"2026-06-27",{"id":339,"prediction_date":340,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},48267302,"2026-06-26",{"id":342,"prediction_date":343,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},48012606,"2026-06-25",{"id":345,"prediction_date":346,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},47760017,"2026-06-24",{"id":348,"prediction_date":349,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},47506888,"2026-06-23",{"id":351,"prediction_date":352,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},47249313,"2026-06-22",{"id":354,"prediction_date":355,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":37},46993890,"2026-06-21",{"id":357,"prediction_date":358,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":359},46743065,"2026-06-20",-5.226051535043025,{"id":361,"prediction_date":362,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":37},46488774,"2026-06-19",525.5499364559786,"33.466",{"id":366,"prediction_date":367,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":37},46242209,"2026-06-18",{"id":369,"prediction_date":370,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":37},45994218,"2026-06-17",{"id":372,"prediction_date":373,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":37},45737149,"2026-06-16",{"id":375,"prediction_date":376,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":37},45494070,"2026-06-15",{"id":378,"prediction_date":379,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":33,"trend_change":33},45245361,"2026-06-14",{"id":381,"prediction_date":382,"total_score":363,"weighted_total_score":364,"trend_change":383},44999420,"2026-06-13",5.514227928337688,{"id":385,"prediction_date":386,"total_score":259,"weighted_total_score":260,"trend_change":387},44747862,"2026-06-12",-5.674090658658108,{"trend_direction":271,"confidence":272,"reference_level":272,"reference_reasons":389,"growth_rate":37,"trend_change":37,"weighted_trend_change":37},[274,275,276,277,278],{"weighted_score":391,"regression_score":394,"ml_score":395,"momentum_score":398,"normalized_score":399,"clip_influence_score":402,"social_spread_score":403,"new_viewer_score":404,"genre_correlation_score":405,"bayesian_score":406,"clip_creator_variety_score":407,"clip_creator_activity_score":408,"clip_creator_growth_score":409,"clip_creator_quality_score":410,"loyal_clip_creators_score":411},{"current":194,"average":392,"max":393,"min":194,"trend":37},40.1,48.63588507968435,{"current":284,"average":199,"max":284,"min":284,"trend":37},{"current":283,"average":396,"max":397,"min":283,"trend":37},79.94,87.19323392896624,{"current":209,"average":209,"max":209,"min":209,"trend":37},{"current":285,"average":400,"max":401,"min":285,"trend":37},51.12,56.38748411399463,{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":209,"average":209,"max":209,"min":209,"trend":37},{"current":209,"average":209,"max":209,"min":209,"trend":37},{"current":209,"average":209,"max":209,"min":209,"trend":37},{"current":209,"average":209,"max":209,"min":209,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":209,"average":209,"max":209,"min":209,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"current":37,"average":37,"max":37,"min":37,"trend":37},{"weighted_score":413,"regression_score":415,"ml_score":417,"momentum_score":419,"normalized_score":421,"clip_influence_score":423,"social_spread_score":425,"new_viewer_score":427,"genre_correlation_score":429,"bayesian_score":431,"clip_creator_variety_score":433,"clip_creator_activity_score":435,"clip_creator_growth_score":437,"clip_creator_quality_score":439,"loyal_clip_creators_score":441},{"name":414,"desc":196},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":416,"desc":201},"時系列回帰",{"name":418,"desc":206},"機械学習モデル",{"name":420,"desc":211},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":422,"desc":216},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":424,"desc":220},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":426,"desc":224},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":428,"desc":228},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":430,"desc":232},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":432,"desc":236},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":434,"desc":240},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":436,"desc":244},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":438,"desc":248},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":440,"desc":252},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":442,"desc":256},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":444,"generatedAt":445,"targetMetric":446,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":319,"validationPeriodEnd":298,"validationSampleCount":447,"validationMetricSampleCount":448,"correlation":449,"legacyTrendCorrelation":450,"scoreCorrelation":449,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":451,"topDecileLift":452,"topDecileAvgGrowth":453,"overallAvgGrowth":454,"mae":455,"rmse":456,"directionAccuracy":457,"modelReliabilityLevel":458,"candidateApproachCount":459,"enabledApproachCount":460,"predictionDataStatus":461,"notice":465,"explanation":466},"v4","2026-07-12T09:51:11+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",258155,12156,0.028866553564004513,0.018406975064883816,0.13678678976736153,1.6169814317349671,5.186138986909044,3.2072965620542035,6.90613282063511,21.63237605094986,0.36722606120434353,"low",15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":258,"exposedPredictionDate":258,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":462,"servingFallbackReason":33,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":463,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":463,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":37,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":37,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":37,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":464},"healthy",260949,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":467,"reliabilityInterpretation":468,"metricDefinitions":469,"limitations":481,"improvementPolicy":486},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":470,"scoreCorrelation":471,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":472,"topDecileLift":473,"topDecileAvgGrowth":474,"overallAvgGrowth":475,"legacyTrendCorrelation":476,"mae":477,"rmse":478,"directionAccuracy":479,"validationMetricSampleCount":480},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[482,483,484,485],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[487,488,489,490],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]