[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-16251043":29,"prediction-16251043-v2":236},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":235},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":7,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":43,"percentile_diff_latest":44,"latest_stream_start":45,"latest_stream_end":46,"stream_days":47,"total_sessions":47,"total_duration_minutes":48,"category":49,"title":52,"clip_count":41,"total_clip_views":41,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":94,"percentile_history":95,"weekly_data":216,"creator":220,"youtube_channels":224,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},16251043,"セレメア","selemea_selen",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fb5d46bf2-03b8-4689-a9ed-1ba487fd596c-profile_image-300x300.png","どうも初めまして、違う配信アプリから移行してきました。セレメアと申します。暇な時に色々なゲームをしています。配信者としてまだまだ未熟なので温かい目で見守ってください.～注意事項～・頭が悪く漢字、難しい言葉、英語などを理解できないことがあります。・言葉遣いはあまりよくないです。・声がこもってたり活舌が良くないこともあります。マイクも高性能な物は使っていません。・音声関係など何かあれば教えていただけるとありがたいです。・荒らしなどへは即ブロック対応いたします。",4,3.17,40,0,49.859715113769504,-15.867841423198449,-0.027059899709662716,"2026-07-10T11:28:20.000+09:00","2026-07-10T14:20:03.117+09:00",79,12720,{"id":50,"name":51},"24241","FINAL FANTASY XIV ONLINE","【FF14】なるほど、ガレマルド送りだ #72",[54,63,79],{"id":55,"title":52,"started_at":45,"ended_at":46,"duration_minutes":56,"average_viewers":57,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":60,"vod_archives":62},13418007,172,3,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_selemea_selen-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":61,"name":51},28,[],{"id":64,"title":65,"started_at":66,"ended_at":67,"duration_minutes":68,"average_viewers":69,"peak_viewers":57,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":70,"vod_archives":71,"chat_summary":78},13298207,"【FF14】なるほど、ガレマルド送りだ #71","2026-07-06T10:55:33.000+09:00","2026-07-06T13:00:05.653+09:00",125,2,{"id":61,"name":51},[72],{"id":73,"url":74,"view_count":75,"duration":76,"thumbnail_url":77},29627367,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2813198402",33,"2h24m16s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F1add0e10fbc34f70d2f7_selemea_selen_316194368371_1783302933\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},{"id":80,"title":81,"started_at":82,"ended_at":83,"duration_minutes":84,"average_viewers":57,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":58,"language":59,"tags":34,"game_category":85,"vod_archives":86,"chat_summary":93},13222665,"【FF14】最強の盾 竜鱗 #70","2026-07-04T10:15:07.000+09:00","2026-07-04T12:10:03.191+09:00",115,{"id":61,"name":51},[87],{"id":88,"url":89,"view_count":90,"duration":91,"thumbnail_url":92},29429290,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2811656783",13,"1h48m35s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002Fbbafea86eed4debd8680_selemea_selen_316121429361_1783127707\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},[],[96,100,104,108,112,116,120,124,128,132,136,140,144,148,152,156,160,164,168,172,176,180,184,188,192,196,200,204,208,212],{"id":97,"percentile":98,"measured_on":99},2665046,0.2850498837296527,"2025-10-01",{"id":101,"percentile":102,"measured_on":103},2679283,1.4595688767356796,"2025-10-02",{"id":105,"percentile":106,"measured_on":107},2708489,1.7544818539571492,"2025-10-03",{"id":109,"percentile":110,"measured_on":111},2745078,1.439028259342353,"2025-10-06",{"id":113,"percentile":114,"measured_on":115},2791441,1.6655820385585292,"2025-10-07",{"id":117,"percentile":118,"measured_on":119},2872904,72.21072982116965,"2025-10-08",{"id":121,"percentile":122,"measured_on":123},2972561,72.17902228082764,"2025-10-09",{"id":125,"percentile":126,"measured_on":127},3016574,72.10183331370472,"2025-10-10",{"id":129,"percentile":130,"measured_on":131},3069608,72.5060236463139,"2025-10-11",{"id":133,"percentile":134,"measured_on":135},3127598,73.16582404761502,"2025-10-12",{"id":137,"percentile":138,"measured_on":139},3188603,73.5620568820797,"2025-10-13",{"id":141,"percentile":142,"measured_on":143},3303357,73.56687391670775,"2025-10-14",{"id":145,"percentile":146,"measured_on":147},4443486,49.696530628672626,"2025-11-03",{"id":149,"percentile":150,"measured_on":151},4506488,50.243686309260084,"2025-11-04",{"id":153,"percentile":154,"measured_on":155},4569579,50.05461885537878,"2025-11-05",{"id":157,"percentile":158,"measured_on":159},4715197,50.42471528345812,"2025-11-06",{"id":161,"percentile":162,"measured_on":163},4760507,50.549209483069305,"2025-11-07",{"id":165,"percentile":166,"measured_on":167},4824119,50.21856639247944,"2025-11-08",{"id":169,"percentile":170,"measured_on":171},5989682,2.3312106049775814,"2025-11-28",{"id":173,"percentile":174,"measured_on":175},6106321,1.8228021306748765,"2025-11-29",{"id":177,"percentile":178,"measured_on":179},6297504,1.3729644064233388,"2025-11-30",{"id":181,"percentile":182,"measured_on":183},6363828,1.437816865820061,"2025-12-01",{"id":185,"percentile":186,"measured_on":187},6423905,1.5076373735369968,"2025-12-02",{"id":189,"percentile":190,"measured_on":191},6484473,1.5348522147140946,"2025-12-03",{"id":193,"percentile":194,"measured_on":195},6542152,1.5663167623951937,"2025-12-04",{"id":197,"percentile":198,"measured_on":199},7844646,65.57429207763283,"2025-12-23",{"id":201,"percentile":202,"measured_on":203},7911314,66.66919540578677,"2025-12-24",{"id":205,"percentile":206,"measured_on":207},7982874,62.1668527964746,"2025-12-26",{"id":209,"percentile":210,"measured_on":211},8049362,62.12778737142428,"2025-12-27",{"id":213,"percentile":214,"measured_on":215},8115042,62.73691958535239,"2025-12-29",{"Fri":217,"Sun":218,"Thu":219},{"16:00":69,"17:00":57,"18:00":38},{"17:00":69,"18:00":57},{"17:00":57,"18:00":69,"19:00":57,"20:00":38},{"id":221,"name":32,"primary_platform":222,"verified":35,"total_followers":223},124328,"mixed",24,[225],{"id":226,"channel_id":227,"channel_name":228,"handle":229,"description":230,"subscriber_count":231,"thumbnail_url":232,"youtube_url":233,"youtube_handle_url":234},14628,"UCRB2l-JNbF-FpkGfzmzUhCA","セレメア.Selemea","selen_merle","どうも、セレメア 又はセレン・メルル といいます。電子の海の端っこで漂ってる者です。\n色んなジャンルのゲームをします。主にプロムンとフロム。\n基本的には配信のアーカイブを出すくらいです。めちゃくちゃ暇な時があれば動画を作って出すかもしれませんが期待はしないでください。\n",15,"https:\u002F\u002Fyt3.ggpht.com\u002Fn22f-BzE3I-djoRKdZ2hszYPggxm4j1C_UMTyF09ts1fEGtfgQrtNs-uajp7eLxUWGtMjYy0Pg=s88-c-k-c0x00ffffff-no-rj","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002Fchannel\u002FUCRB2l-JNbF-FpkGfzmzUhCA","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002F@selen_merle",[],{"streamer":237,"latest_prediction":238,"historical_predictions":346,"trend_analysis":480,"approach_performance":482,"available_approaches":523,"model_summary":554},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":239,"id":306,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":307,"total_score":308,"weighted_total_score":309,"score":310,"trend_change":311,"weighted_trend_change":312,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":313,"trend_direction":322,"trendDirection":322,"confidence":323,"reference_level":323,"referenceLevel":323,"reference_reasons":324,"referenceReasons":329,"growth_rate":311,"growthRate":311,"observed_days":330,"observedDays":330,"session_count":90,"sessionCount":90,"data_completeness":331,"dataCompleteness":331,"last_streamed_at":332,"lastStreamedAt":332,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":333,"category":334,"ml_score":335,"bayesian_score":257,"regression_score":336,"momentum_score":257,"growth_potential_score":335,"quality_score":337,"normalized_score":337,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":257,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":338,"formatted_weighted_score":339,"formatted_trend_change":340,"formatted_growth_rate":340,"formatted_current_viewers":341,"formatted_current_followers":342,"trend_direction_text":343,"trend_direction_icon":344,"confidence_text":345,"reference_level_text":345},[240,245,250,255,260,265,269,273,278,282,286,290,294,298,302],{"name":241,"value":242,"enabled":27,"info":243},"weighted_score",56.52,{"description":244},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":246,"value":247,"enabled":27,"info":248},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":249},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":251,"value":252,"enabled":27,"info":253},"ml_score",91.61,{"description":254},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":256,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":258},"momentum_score",50,{"description":259},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":261,"value":262,"enabled":27,"info":263},"normalized_score",60.49,{"description":264},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":266,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":267},"clip_influence_score",{"description":268},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":270,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":271},"social_spread_score",{"description":272},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":274,"value":275,"enabled":27,"info":276},"new_viewer_score",48.38,{"description":277},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":279,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":280},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":281},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":283,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":284},"bayesian_score",{"description":285},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":287,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":288},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":289},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":291,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":292},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":293},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":295,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":296},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":297},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":299,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":300},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":301},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":303,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":304},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":305},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51895757,"2026-07-11",540.3317987942993,"34.6311",34.6311,13.254808572802276,15.38,{"ml_score":314,"bayesian_score":315,"momentum_score":316,"weighted_score":317,"new_viewer_score":318,"normalized_score":319,"regression_score":320,"social_spread_score":321,"clip_influence_score":318,"loyal_clip_creators_score":318,"clip_creator_quality_score":318,"clip_creator_variety_score":318,"clip_creator_activity_score":318},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"up","low",[325,326,327,328],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[325,326,327,328],12,0.4,"2026-07-10T11:28:20+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":61,"name":51},91.61425135435456,33.33333333333333,60.48837915613342,540.3,"34.6","+13.3%","4","40","上昇","⬆️","低",[347,348,354,359,362,366,372,378,384,390,395,398,402,408,414,419,422,425,429,434,438,444,450,455,458,462,468,474],{"id":306,"prediction_date":307,"total_score":308,"weighted_total_score":309,"trend_change":311},{"id":349,"prediction_date":350,"total_score":351,"weighted_total_score":352,"trend_change":353},51638997,"2026-07-10",477.0939138067273,"30.0149",0.08169771742120194,{"id":355,"prediction_date":356,"total_score":357,"weighted_total_score":358,"trend_change":41},51379441,"2026-07-09",476.70445714639357,"29.8322",{"id":360,"prediction_date":361,"total_score":357,"weighted_total_score":358,"trend_change":41},51118651,"2026-07-08",{"id":363,"prediction_date":364,"total_score":357,"weighted_total_score":358,"trend_change":365},50858809,"2026-07-07",0.8105492394732312,{"id":367,"prediction_date":368,"total_score":369,"weighted_total_score":370,"trend_change":371},50599762,"2026-07-06",472.87159998899784,"29.6917",-3.6988091467316275,{"id":373,"prediction_date":374,"total_score":375,"weighted_total_score":376,"trend_change":377},50341134,"2026-07-05",491.03401089764304,"30.938",-15.021644268916756,{"id":379,"prediction_date":380,"total_score":381,"weighted_total_score":382,"trend_change":383},50082495,"2026-07-04",577.8342104565262,"36.9147",-8.852628843436735,{"id":385,"prediction_date":386,"total_score":387,"weighted_total_score":388,"trend_change":389},49821965,"2026-07-03",633.9559804352273,"41.8918",0.038710867760084415,{"id":391,"prediction_date":392,"total_score":393,"weighted_total_score":394,"trend_change":41},49568434,"2026-07-02",633.7106655375095,"41.7164",{"id":396,"prediction_date":397,"total_score":393,"weighted_total_score":394,"trend_change":41},49308323,"2026-07-01",{"id":399,"prediction_date":400,"total_score":393,"weighted_total_score":394,"trend_change":401},49051348,"2026-06-30",35.964602098101416,{"id":403,"prediction_date":404,"total_score":405,"weighted_total_score":406,"trend_change":407},48797392,"2026-06-28",466.08503666290545,"29.0236",3.5937975583010173,{"id":409,"prediction_date":410,"total_score":411,"weighted_total_score":412,"trend_change":413},48541559,"2026-06-27",449.9159676047206,"27.7558",-6.143492336361714,{"id":415,"prediction_date":416,"total_score":417,"weighted_total_score":418,"trend_change":41},48286754,"2026-06-26",479.3657667480272,"29.8454",{"id":420,"prediction_date":421,"total_score":417,"weighted_total_score":418,"trend_change":41},48031992,"2026-06-25",{"id":423,"prediction_date":424,"total_score":417,"weighted_total_score":418,"trend_change":41},47777791,"2026-06-24",{"id":426,"prediction_date":427,"total_score":417,"weighted_total_score":418,"trend_change":428},47522569,"2026-06-23",-12.644242787565016,{"id":430,"prediction_date":431,"total_score":432,"weighted_total_score":433,"trend_change":41},47268325,"2026-06-22",548.7512008879823,"35.2833",{"id":435,"prediction_date":436,"total_score":432,"weighted_total_score":433,"trend_change":437},47012113,"2026-06-21",-9.01455170463209,{"id":439,"prediction_date":440,"total_score":441,"weighted_total_score":442,"trend_change":443},46760462,"2026-06-20",603.1197418586763,"39.6694",1.2681745682913816,{"id":445,"prediction_date":446,"total_score":447,"weighted_total_score":448,"trend_change":449},46507974,"2026-06-19",595.5669137216998,"39.1111",0.11177470913414171,{"id":451,"prediction_date":452,"total_score":453,"weighted_total_score":454,"trend_change":41},46254691,"2026-06-18",594.9019637820492,"38.7313",{"id":456,"prediction_date":457,"total_score":453,"weighted_total_score":454,"trend_change":41},45998499,"2026-06-17",{"id":459,"prediction_date":460,"total_score":453,"weighted_total_score":454,"trend_change":461},45751747,"2026-06-16",11.70790339412664,{"id":463,"prediction_date":464,"total_score":465,"weighted_total_score":466,"trend_change":467},45500567,"2026-06-15",532.5513645020463,"34.2133",-3.9668622929130932,{"id":469,"prediction_date":470,"total_score":471,"weighted_total_score":472,"trend_change":473},45017315,"2026-06-13",554.5495827975492,"35.6752",4.004548084881938,{"id":475,"prediction_date":476,"total_score":477,"weighted_total_score":478,"trend_change":479},44766447,"2026-06-12",533.1974351207804,"34.0652",-1.1385072154244873,{"trend_direction":322,"confidence":323,"reference_level":323,"reference_reasons":481,"growth_rate":311,"trend_change":311,"weighted_trend_change":312},[325,326,327,328],{"weighted_score":483,"regression_score":489,"ml_score":492,"momentum_score":497,"normalized_score":501,"clip_influence_score":506,"social_spread_score":507,"new_viewer_score":508,"genre_correlation_score":514,"bayesian_score":515,"clip_creator_variety_score":518,"clip_creator_activity_score":519,"clip_creator_growth_score":520,"clip_creator_quality_score":521,"loyal_clip_creators_score":522},{"current":484,"average":485,"max":486,"min":487,"trend":488},56.51755278071236,55.06,81.6730798984723,30.966694293879964,4.34,{"current":336,"average":490,"max":491,"min":336,"trend":41},34.25,38.62433862433862,{"current":335,"average":493,"max":494,"min":495,"trend":496},88.17,98.01671758428999,70.22429743380714,2.23,{"current":257,"average":498,"max":499,"min":500,"trend":41},49.52,67.36827303984273,42.12948123308162,{"current":337,"average":502,"max":503,"min":504,"trend":505},59.16,71.84313216008535,44.84144168700681,2.19,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":257,"average":257,"max":257,"min":257,"trend":41},{"current":509,"average":510,"max":511,"min":512,"trend":513},48.3782821697656,51.52,99.95984217533864,0.7925432646832986,-1.62,{"current":257,"average":257,"max":257,"min":257,"trend":41},{"current":257,"average":516,"max":517,"min":257,"trend":41},50.14,50.79365079365079,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":257,"average":257,"max":257,"min":257,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":524,"regression_score":526,"ml_score":528,"momentum_score":530,"normalized_score":532,"clip_influence_score":534,"social_spread_score":536,"new_viewer_score":538,"genre_correlation_score":540,"bayesian_score":542,"clip_creator_variety_score":544,"clip_creator_activity_score":546,"clip_creator_growth_score":548,"clip_creator_quality_score":550,"loyal_clip_creators_score":552},{"name":525,"desc":244},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":527,"desc":249},"時系列回帰",{"name":529,"desc":254},"機械学習モデル",{"name":531,"desc":259},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":533,"desc":264},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":535,"desc":268},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":537,"desc":272},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":539,"desc":277},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":541,"desc":281},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":543,"desc":285},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":545,"desc":289},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":547,"desc":293},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":549,"desc":297},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":551,"desc":301},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":553,"desc":305},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":555,"generatedAt":556,"targetMetric":557,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":392,"validationPeriodEnd":356,"validationSampleCount":558,"validationMetricSampleCount":559,"correlation":560,"legacyTrendCorrelation":561,"scoreCorrelation":560,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":562,"topDecileLift":563,"topDecileAvgGrowth":564,"overallAvgGrowth":565,"mae":566,"rmse":567,"directionAccuracy":568,"modelReliabilityLevel":323,"candidateApproachCount":231,"enabledApproachCount":90,"predictionDataStatus":569,"notice":573,"explanation":574},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,{"latestAvailableDate":307,"exposedPredictionDate":307,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":570,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":571,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":571,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":41,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":41,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":572},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":575,"reliabilityInterpretation":576,"metricDefinitions":577,"limitations":589,"improvementPolicy":594},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":578,"scoreCorrelation":579,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":580,"topDecileLift":581,"topDecileAvgGrowth":582,"overallAvgGrowth":583,"legacyTrendCorrelation":584,"mae":585,"rmse":586,"directionAccuracy":587,"validationMetricSampleCount":588},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[590,591,592,593],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[595,596,597,598],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]