[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-16145022":29,"prediction-16145022-v2":193},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":192},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":40,"follower_count":41,"follower_diff_week":42,"follower_diff_latest":42,"percentile":43,"percentile_diff_week":44,"percentile_diff_latest":45,"latest_stream_start":46,"latest_stream_end":47,"stream_days":48,"total_sessions":48,"total_duration_minutes":49,"category":50,"title":53,"clip_count":42,"total_clip_views":42,"recent_sessions":54,"recent_clips":63,"percentile_history":64,"weekly_data":185,"creator":187,"youtube_channels":191,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},16145022,"なめこ図鑑","kitamura_keiko",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fc6200cca-105f-4649-a354-fa9ec5fe128c-profile_image-300x300.png","前シーズン初マス、今シーズン初プレ",1,1.22,5,14,0,8.40119105493437,-0.08156756575528412,-0.10866960142746684,"2026-07-10T11:51:45.000+09:00","2026-07-10T13:10:02.768+09:00",15,1740,{"id":51,"name":52},"511224","Apex Legends","僕は怒りません",[55],{"id":56,"title":53,"started_at":46,"ended_at":47,"duration_minutes":57,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":58,"followers_gained":42,"thumbnail_url":59,"language":60,"tags":34,"game_category":61,"vod_archives":62},13418322,78,2,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_kitamura_keiko-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":48,"name":52},[],[],[65,69,73,77,81,85,89,93,97,101,105,109,113,117,121,125,129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177,181],{"id":66,"percentile":67,"measured_on":68},3933429,1.5967026877251316,"2025-10-26",{"id":70,"percentile":71,"measured_on":72},3992294,1.5061504053676265,"2025-10-27",{"id":74,"percentile":75,"measured_on":76},4048331,1.4305951485685304,"2025-10-28",{"id":78,"percentile":79,"measured_on":80},4106549,1.442672741078208,"2025-10-29",{"id":82,"percentile":83,"measured_on":84},4167503,1.399803931022291,"2025-10-30",{"id":86,"percentile":87,"measured_on":88},4228229,1.4017788089713843,"2025-10-31",{"id":90,"percentile":91,"measured_on":92},4291600,1.3993662640137685,"2025-11-01",{"id":94,"percentile":95,"measured_on":96},16376492,56.62630339724184,"2026-04-24",{"id":98,"percentile":99,"measured_on":100},16426034,43.233237980144104,"2026-04-25",{"id":102,"percentile":103,"measured_on":104},16506782,37.117262079742545,"2026-04-27",{"id":106,"percentile":107,"measured_on":108},16571307,37.05334987593052,"2026-04-28",{"id":110,"percentile":111,"measured_on":112},16649627,36.905074331938806,"2026-04-29",{"id":114,"percentile":115,"measured_on":116},16714818,37.06499527251655,"2026-04-30",{"id":118,"percentile":119,"measured_on":120},16780103,20.90738288107925,"2026-05-01",{"id":122,"percentile":123,"measured_on":124},16844366,19.88888714512155,"2026-05-02",{"id":126,"percentile":127,"measured_on":128},16922419,25.626971734489025,"2026-05-03",{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},17038637,25.67327433017615,"2026-05-04",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},17143025,25.872442839951866,"2026-05-05",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},17172788,26.423205256801296,"2026-05-06",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},17219474,26.499565702940814,"2026-05-07",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},17385376,20.33997357455026,"2026-05-13",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},17428985,19.48383192114819,"2026-05-14",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},17512934,19.010442080608957,"2026-05-15",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},17565097,19.14645313033018,"2026-05-16",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},17622081,19.38664634047453,"2026-05-17",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},17684362,19.131678663278194,"2026-05-18",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},19282615,8.320064890197374,"2026-06-08",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},19349079,8.337719759974734,"2026-06-09",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},19478528,8.455539161070794,"2026-06-12",{"id":182,"percentile":183,"measured_on":184},19569717,8.444018508258337,"2026-06-13",{"Thu":186},{"18:00":38,"19:00":38},{"id":188,"name":32,"primary_platform":189,"verified":35,"total_followers":190},123665,"twitch",11,[],[],{"streamer":194,"latest_prediction":195,"historical_predictions":301,"trend_analysis":408,"approach_performance":410,"available_approaches":441,"model_summary":472},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":196,"id":262,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":263,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"score":266,"trend_change":267,"weighted_trend_change":268,"viewer_count":42,"follower_count":42,"scoring_weights":269,"trend_direction":278,"trendDirection":278,"confidence":279,"reference_level":279,"referenceLevel":279,"reference_reasons":280,"referenceReasons":285,"growth_rate":267,"growthRate":267,"observed_days":40,"observedDays":40,"session_count":40,"sessionCount":40,"data_completeness":286,"dataCompleteness":286,"last_streamed_at":287,"lastStreamedAt":287,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":41,"streamer":288,"category":289,"ml_score":290,"bayesian_score":214,"regression_score":291,"momentum_score":214,"growth_potential_score":290,"quality_score":292,"normalized_score":292,"clip_influence_composite":42,"clip_influence_score":42,"clip_creator_activity_score":42,"clip_creator_growth_score":214,"clip_creator_quality_score":42,"clip_creator_variety_score":42,"formatted_total_score":293,"formatted_weighted_score":294,"formatted_trend_change":295,"formatted_growth_rate":295,"formatted_current_viewers":296,"formatted_current_followers":297,"trend_direction_text":298,"trend_direction_icon":299,"confidence_text":300,"reference_level_text":300},[197,202,207,212,217,222,226,230,234,238,242,246,250,254,258],{"name":198,"value":199,"enabled":27,"info":200},"weighted_score",48.64,{"description":201},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":203,"value":204,"enabled":27,"info":205},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":206},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":208,"value":209,"enabled":27,"info":210},"ml_score",87.19,{"description":211},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":213,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":215},"momentum_score",50,{"description":216},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":218,"value":219,"enabled":27,"info":220},"normalized_score",56.39,{"description":221},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":223,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":224},"clip_influence_score",{"description":225},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":227,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":228},"social_spread_score",{"description":229},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":231,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":232},"new_viewer_score",{"description":233},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":235,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":236},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":237},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":239,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":240},"bayesian_score",{"description":241},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":243,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":244},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":245},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":247,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":248},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":249},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":251,"value":214,"enabled":27,"info":252},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":253},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":255,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":256},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":257},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":259,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":260},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":261},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51893169,"2026-07-11",525.5499364559786,"33.466",33.466,20.5856712388882,26.62,{"ml_score":270,"bayesian_score":271,"momentum_score":272,"weighted_score":273,"new_viewer_score":274,"normalized_score":275,"regression_score":276,"social_spread_score":277,"clip_influence_score":274,"loyal_clip_creators_score":274,"clip_creator_quality_score":274,"clip_creator_variety_score":274,"clip_creator_activity_score":274},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"strong_up","insufficient",[281,282,283,284],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[281,282,283,284],0.17,"2026-07-10T11:51:45+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":48,"name":52},87.19323392896624,33.33333333333333,56.38748411399463,525.5,"33.5","+20.6%","1","14","急上昇","⬆️⬆️","検証不足",[302,303,308,311,314,317,320,323,327,330,333,336,340,345,349,352,356,361,365,370,373,377,382,386,391,395,401,406],{"id":262,"prediction_date":263,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":267},{"id":304,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},51637134,"2026-07-10",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":309,"prediction_date":310,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},51377443,"2026-07-09",{"id":312,"prediction_date":313,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},51116688,"2026-07-08",{"id":315,"prediction_date":316,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},50856824,"2026-07-07",{"id":318,"prediction_date":319,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},50598053,"2026-07-06",{"id":321,"prediction_date":322,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},50339355,"2026-07-05",{"id":324,"prediction_date":325,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":326},50080622,"2026-07-04",-17.07140742958309,{"id":328,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":42},49819109,"2026-07-03",{"id":331,"prediction_date":332,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":42},49566439,"2026-07-02",{"id":334,"prediction_date":335,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":42},49305460,"2026-07-01",{"id":337,"prediction_date":338,"total_score":264,"weighted_total_score":265,"trend_change":339},49048967,"2026-06-30",-4.971743806510188,{"id":341,"prediction_date":342,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":42},48795814,"2026-06-28",553.0459649663475,"35.6195",{"id":346,"prediction_date":347,"total_score":343,"weighted_total_score":344,"trend_change":348},48539696,"2026-06-27",26.89454281194026,{"id":350,"prediction_date":351,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":42},48284767,"2026-06-26",{"id":353,"prediction_date":354,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":355},48029927,"2026-06-25",-20.756209947002574,{"id":357,"prediction_date":358,"total_score":359,"weighted_total_score":360,"trend_change":42},47775828,"2026-06-24",549.9877848676648,"35.3801",{"id":362,"prediction_date":363,"total_score":359,"weighted_total_score":360,"trend_change":364},47520766,"2026-06-23",17.89508658447618,{"id":366,"prediction_date":367,"total_score":368,"weighted_total_score":369,"trend_change":42},47266557,"2026-06-22",466.50611217251895,"29.0361",{"id":371,"prediction_date":372,"total_score":368,"weighted_total_score":369,"trend_change":42},47009350,"2026-06-21",{"id":374,"prediction_date":375,"total_score":368,"weighted_total_score":369,"trend_change":376},46758402,"2026-06-20",-5.083051161121275,{"id":378,"prediction_date":379,"total_score":380,"weighted_total_score":381,"trend_change":42},46506378,"2026-06-19",491.48873607853943,"30.9561",{"id":383,"prediction_date":384,"total_score":380,"weighted_total_score":381,"trend_change":385},46251928,"2026-06-18",4.251028154621362,{"id":387,"prediction_date":388,"total_score":389,"weighted_total_score":390,"trend_change":42},45996378,"2026-06-17",471.447375415407,"29.4138",{"id":392,"prediction_date":393,"total_score":389,"weighted_total_score":390,"trend_change":394},45749684,"2026-06-16",-11.947245891283014,{"id":396,"prediction_date":397,"total_score":398,"weighted_total_score":399,"trend_change":400},45499304,"2026-06-15",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",-1.3022383490124438,{"id":402,"prediction_date":184,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":405},45014766,542.4790545689256,"34.7922",1.3194203467525285,{"id":407,"prediction_date":180,"total_score":398,"weighted_total_score":399,"trend_change":42},44763801,{"trend_direction":278,"confidence":279,"reference_level":279,"reference_reasons":409,"growth_rate":267,"trend_change":267,"weighted_trend_change":268},[281,282,283,284],{"weighted_score":411,"regression_score":417,"ml_score":418,"momentum_score":423,"normalized_score":424,"clip_influence_score":429,"social_spread_score":430,"new_viewer_score":431,"genre_correlation_score":434,"bayesian_score":435,"clip_creator_variety_score":436,"clip_creator_activity_score":437,"clip_creator_growth_score":438,"clip_creator_quality_score":439,"loyal_clip_creators_score":440},{"current":412,"average":413,"max":414,"min":415,"trend":416},48.63588507968435,40.12,62.46998446026454,17.416092081753813,-4.61,{"current":291,"average":204,"max":291,"min":291,"trend":42},{"current":290,"average":419,"max":420,"min":421,"trend":422},76.16,93.98115593116272,51.12394875316044,-2.79,{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":292,"average":425,"max":426,"min":427,"trend":428},49.87,63.26149124158687,33.95779138941586,-2.47,{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":432,"max":214,"min":433,"trend":42},39.62,5.431326613264065,{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":214,"average":214,"max":214,"min":214,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"weighted_score":442,"regression_score":444,"ml_score":446,"momentum_score":448,"normalized_score":450,"clip_influence_score":452,"social_spread_score":454,"new_viewer_score":456,"genre_correlation_score":458,"bayesian_score":460,"clip_creator_variety_score":462,"clip_creator_activity_score":464,"clip_creator_growth_score":466,"clip_creator_quality_score":468,"loyal_clip_creators_score":470},{"name":443,"desc":201},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":445,"desc":206},"時系列回帰",{"name":447,"desc":211},"機械学習モデル",{"name":449,"desc":216},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":451,"desc":221},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":453,"desc":225},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":455,"desc":229},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":457,"desc":233},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":459,"desc":237},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":461,"desc":241},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":463,"desc":245},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":465,"desc":249},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":467,"desc":253},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":469,"desc":257},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":471,"desc":261},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":473,"generatedAt":474,"targetMetric":475,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":332,"validationPeriodEnd":310,"validationSampleCount":476,"validationMetricSampleCount":477,"correlation":478,"legacyTrendCorrelation":479,"scoreCorrelation":478,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":480,"topDecileLift":481,"topDecileAvgGrowth":482,"overallAvgGrowth":483,"mae":484,"rmse":485,"directionAccuracy":486,"modelReliabilityLevel":487,"candidateApproachCount":48,"enabledApproachCount":488,"predictionDataStatus":489,"notice":493,"explanation":494},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,"low",13,{"latestAvailableDate":263,"exposedPredictionDate":263,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":490,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":491,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":491,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":42,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":42,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":42,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":492},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":495,"reliabilityInterpretation":496,"metricDefinitions":497,"limitations":509,"improvementPolicy":514},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":498,"scoreCorrelation":499,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":500,"topDecileLift":501,"topDecileAvgGrowth":502,"overallAvgGrowth":503,"legacyTrendCorrelation":504,"mae":505,"rmse":506,"directionAccuracy":507,"validationMetricSampleCount":508},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[510,511,512,513],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[515,516,517,518],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]