[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-1344707":29,"prediction-1344707-v2":258},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":257},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":27,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":40,"follower_count":41,"follower_diff_week":42,"follower_diff_latest":42,"percentile":43,"percentile_diff_week":44,"percentile_diff_latest":45,"latest_stream_start":46,"latest_stream_end":47,"stream_days":48,"total_sessions":48,"total_duration_minutes":49,"category":50,"title":53,"clip_count":40,"total_clip_views":54,"recent_sessions":55,"recent_clips":82,"percentile_history":128,"weekly_data":249,"creator":252,"youtube_channels":256,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},1344707,"しんば_","shinba1206",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F119f83e6-a213-492c-9ca9-9c867d51a931-profile_image-300x300.png","自由きまま",3,2.16,5,164,0,8.284516248381328,-58.73038642801769,-0.024811333841579852,"2026-07-10T10:35:11.000+09:00","2026-07-10T15:50:04.430+09:00",22,2520,{"id":51,"name":52},"516575","VALORANT","ダイヤいきまう",45,[56,67,74],{"id":57,"title":53,"started_at":46,"ended_at":47,"duration_minutes":58,"average_viewers":59,"peak_viewers":60,"followers_gained":61,"thumbnail_url":62,"language":63,"tags":34,"game_category":64,"vod_archives":66},13417521,315,2,4,1,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_shinba1206-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":65,"name":52},14,[],{"id":68,"title":53,"started_at":69,"ended_at":70,"duration_minutes":71,"average_viewers":61,"peak_viewers":61,"followers_gained":34,"thumbnail_url":62,"language":63,"tags":34,"game_category":72,"vod_archives":73},13417114,"2026-07-10T10:11:24.000+09:00","2026-07-10T10:40:05.963+09:00",29,{"id":65,"name":52},[],{"id":75,"title":76,"started_at":77,"ended_at":78,"duration_minutes":79,"average_viewers":61,"peak_viewers":61,"followers_gained":42,"thumbnail_url":62,"language":63,"tags":34,"game_category":80,"vod_archives":81},13305545,"マイケルとトイストーリー見てきた。","2026-07-06T18:29:32.000+09:00","2026-07-06T20:20:02.013+09:00",111,{"id":65,"name":52},[],[83,93,101,108,118],{"id":84,"title":85,"view_count":19,"created_at":86,"duration":87,"thumbnail_url":88,"url":89,"creator":90},3235323,"「おはよう」とかじゃなくて寝てない","2024-11-23T06:59:17.000+09:00",30,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FYhZRiGAYElMswXD1mF9VLA\u002F41752738215-offset-3782-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fshinba1206\u002Fclip\u002FYummyKindDonkeyRuleFive-YBgSUyzBcPWYX1Us",{"id":91,"name":92},"759290006","やまもとさんぽ",{"id":94,"title":95,"view_count":40,"created_at":96,"duration":97,"thumbnail_url":98,"url":99,"creator":100},3235324,"疑惑の判定で審議入り","2024-11-23T06:56:45.000+09:00",5.4,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002F0P0aFzUOt5GjDsbQ25Ez8Q\u002FAT-cm%7C0P0aFzUOt5GjDsbQ25Ez8Q-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fshinba1206\u002Fclip\u002FIgnorantFuriousNikudonBuddhaBar-NQ63kaMOxtDbkTPx",{"id":91,"name":92},{"id":102,"title":103,"view_count":40,"created_at":104,"duration":87,"thumbnail_url":105,"url":106,"creator":107},3235325,"おはよ","2024-11-21T21:56:42.000+09:00","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FTrMS8yq-TP4bZQOkbgrayA\u002F41748501271-offset-20758-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fshinba1206\u002Fclip\u002FFastSarcasticSardineAsianGlow-Kr5M_htlA6RuCtrI",{"id":91,"name":92},{"id":109,"title":110,"view_count":40,"created_at":111,"duration":112,"thumbnail_url":113,"url":114,"creator":115},3235326,"カオス買った","2024-10-26T15:49:57.000+09:00",28,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips\u002FuxzhoSA1CHPeME8hrCi4OA\u002F41688992151-offset-8308-preview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fshinba1206\u002Fclip\u002FThankfulExcitedWatermelonCharlietheUnicorn-IDUIc94wTyGsKLg4",{"id":116,"name":117},"502927073","肉まんおじさん",{"id":119,"title":120,"view_count":121,"created_at":122,"duration":123,"thumbnail_url":124,"url":125,"creator":126},3235322,"RUST初心者がギャンブルで全財産儲けようとした結果",23,"2024-10-10T05:30:13.000+09:00",59.8,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-clips-thumbnails-prod\u002FRichColdbloodedVultureBatChest-Bj9jlwDrUa5sg5PF\u002F2c984adb-39d1-4799-a2b6-0240b15373f2\u002Fpreview-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fshinba1206\u002Fclip\u002FRichColdbloodedVultureBatChest-Bj9jlwDrUa5sg5PF",{"id":127,"name":32},"958943599",[129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177,181,185,189,193,197,201,205,209,213,217,221,225,229,233,237,241,245],{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},152825,20.88804099801743,"2025-07-06",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},207434,20.897877466533195,"2025-07-07",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},267134,21.0273234589344,"2025-07-08",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},329363,20.933980024889117,"2025-07-09",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},391951,20.82727316316908,"2025-07-10",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},454331,20.523103470313796,"2025-07-11",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},516891,20.513600486703705,"2025-07-12",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},1013519,19.463846850342776,"2025-07-20",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},1075269,19.457345392324616,"2025-07-21",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},1136768,19.463141025641026,"2025-07-22",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},1199304,19.580128205128204,"2025-07-23",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},1261678,19.526048101143967,"2025-07-24",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},1332720,33.74093330765774,"2025-07-25",{"id":182,"percentile":183,"measured_on":184},1403524,47.50583501006036,"2025-07-27",{"id":186,"percentile":187,"measured_on":188},1465930,47.8956337213041,"2025-07-28",{"id":190,"percentile":191,"measured_on":192},1527435,47.58423290807981,"2025-07-29",{"id":194,"percentile":195,"measured_on":196},1588616,47.610720705997714,"2025-07-30",{"id":198,"percentile":199,"measured_on":200},1649951,47.796842603627574,"2025-07-31",{"id":202,"percentile":203,"measured_on":204},1711353,48.181624666371924,"2025-08-01",{"id":206,"percentile":207,"measured_on":208},1774113,50.9806813154402,"2025-08-02",{"id":210,"percentile":211,"measured_on":212},3170833,44.52611849075055,"2025-10-13",{"id":214,"percentile":215,"measured_on":216},3280358,44.0615707538919,"2025-10-14",{"id":218,"percentile":219,"measured_on":220},3343291,43.09137570496166,"2025-10-15",{"id":222,"percentile":223,"measured_on":224},3406509,42.22537207654146,"2025-10-16",{"id":226,"percentile":227,"measured_on":228},3467223,41.28750528243415,"2025-10-17",{"id":230,"percentile":231,"measured_on":232},3530601,40.30132120154556,"2025-10-18",{"id":234,"percentile":235,"measured_on":236},3594737,40.25577043044292,"2025-10-19",{"id":238,"percentile":239,"measured_on":240},3792063,56.57979716874094,"2025-10-23",{"id":242,"percentile":243,"measured_on":244},3849717,56.79403864483147,"2025-10-24",{"id":246,"percentile":247,"measured_on":248},3907277,56.673611111111114,"2025-10-25",{"Mon":250,"Thu":251},{"00:00":61,"01:00":61,"02:00":61},{"16:00":61,"17:00":61,"18:00":38,"19:00":38,"20:00":59,"21:00":38},{"id":253,"name":32,"primary_platform":254,"verified":35,"total_followers":255},47726,"twitch",173,[],[],{"streamer":259,"latest_prediction":260,"historical_predictions":368,"trend_analysis":484,"approach_performance":486,"available_approaches":524,"model_summary":555},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":261,"id":328,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":330,"weighted_total_score":331,"score":332,"trend_change":333,"weighted_trend_change":334,"viewer_count":42,"follower_count":42,"scoring_weights":335,"trend_direction":344,"trendDirection":344,"confidence":345,"reference_level":345,"referenceLevel":345,"reference_reasons":346,"referenceReasons":351,"growth_rate":333,"growthRate":333,"observed_days":40,"observedDays":40,"session_count":23,"sessionCount":23,"data_completeness":352,"dataCompleteness":352,"last_streamed_at":353,"lastStreamedAt":353,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":41,"streamer":354,"category":355,"ml_score":356,"bayesian_score":293,"regression_score":357,"momentum_score":358,"growth_potential_score":356,"quality_score":359,"normalized_score":359,"clip_influence_composite":42,"clip_influence_score":42,"clip_creator_activity_score":42,"clip_creator_growth_score":293,"clip_creator_quality_score":42,"clip_creator_variety_score":42,"formatted_total_score":360,"formatted_weighted_score":361,"formatted_trend_change":362,"formatted_growth_rate":362,"formatted_current_viewers":363,"formatted_current_followers":364,"trend_direction_text":365,"trend_direction_icon":366,"confidence_text":367,"reference_level_text":367},[262,267,272,277,282,287,291,296,300,304,308,312,316,320,324],{"name":263,"value":264,"enabled":27,"info":265},"weighted_score",56.79,{"description":266},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":268,"value":269,"enabled":27,"info":270},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":271},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":273,"value":274,"enabled":27,"info":275},"ml_score",91.74,{"description":276},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":278,"value":279,"enabled":27,"info":280},"momentum_score",92.09,{"description":281},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":283,"value":284,"enabled":27,"info":285},"normalized_score",60.62,{"description":286},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":288,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":289},"clip_influence_score",{"description":290},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":292,"value":293,"enabled":27,"info":294},"social_spread_score",50,{"description":295},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":297,"value":293,"enabled":27,"info":298},"new_viewer_score",{"description":299},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":301,"value":293,"enabled":27,"info":302},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":303},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":305,"value":293,"enabled":27,"info":306},"bayesian_score",{"description":307},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":309,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":310},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":311},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":313,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":314},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":315},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":317,"value":293,"enabled":27,"info":318},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":319},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":321,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":322},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":323},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":325,"value":42,"enabled":27,"info":326},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":327},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51847755,"2026-07-11",584.5643122863147,"36.4631",36.4631,22.695029857818533,23.12,{"ml_score":336,"bayesian_score":337,"momentum_score":338,"weighted_score":339,"new_viewer_score":340,"normalized_score":341,"regression_score":342,"social_spread_score":343,"clip_influence_score":340,"loyal_clip_creators_score":340,"clip_creator_quality_score":340,"clip_creator_variety_score":340,"clip_creator_activity_score":340},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"strong_up","low",[347,348,349,350],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[347,348,349,350],0.17,"2026-07-10T10:35:11+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":65,"name":52},91.73803884809935,33.33333333333333,92.08525771738914,60.6197636422314,584.6,"36.5","+22.7%","3","160","急上昇","⬆️⬆️","低",[369,370,375,378,382,388,393,396,400,405,408,411,414,418,424,429,432,435,438,441,445,451,456,459,462,465,469,473,479],{"id":328,"prediction_date":329,"total_score":330,"weighted_total_score":331,"trend_change":333},{"id":371,"prediction_date":372,"total_score":373,"weighted_total_score":374,"trend_change":42},51593235,"2026-07-10",476.4368311933414,"29.6157",{"id":376,"prediction_date":377,"total_score":373,"weighted_total_score":374,"trend_change":42},51320341,"2026-07-09",{"id":379,"prediction_date":380,"total_score":373,"weighted_total_score":374,"trend_change":381},51071447,"2026-07-08",-7.741997535394043,{"id":383,"prediction_date":384,"total_score":385,"weighted_total_score":386,"trend_change":387},50807488,"2026-07-07",516.4178916361457,"31.2032",18.490354166244234,{"id":389,"prediction_date":390,"total_score":391,"weighted_total_score":392,"trend_change":42},50553260,"2026-07-06",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":394,"prediction_date":395,"total_score":391,"weighted_total_score":392,"trend_change":42},50294826,"2026-07-05",{"id":397,"prediction_date":398,"total_score":391,"weighted_total_score":392,"trend_change":399},50037337,"2026-07-04",-19.59125412915492,{"id":401,"prediction_date":402,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":42},49771736,"2026-07-03",542.0196035114245,"34.7562",{"id":406,"prediction_date":407,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":42},49518673,"2026-07-02",{"id":409,"prediction_date":410,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":42},49257224,"2026-07-01",{"id":412,"prediction_date":413,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":42},48999627,"2026-06-30",{"id":415,"prediction_date":416,"total_score":403,"weighted_total_score":404,"trend_change":417},48753966,"2026-06-28",-12.910296380266276,{"id":419,"prediction_date":420,"total_score":421,"weighted_total_score":422,"trend_change":423},48490359,"2026-06-27",622.3693283859194,"40.829",10.199372027515722,{"id":425,"prediction_date":426,"total_score":427,"weighted_total_score":428,"trend_change":42},48238276,"2026-06-26",564.7666741971268,"36.537",{"id":430,"prediction_date":431,"total_score":427,"weighted_total_score":428,"trend_change":42},47983260,"2026-06-25",{"id":433,"prediction_date":434,"total_score":427,"weighted_total_score":428,"trend_change":42},47726190,"2026-06-24",{"id":436,"prediction_date":437,"total_score":427,"weighted_total_score":428,"trend_change":42},47478277,"2026-06-23",{"id":439,"prediction_date":440,"total_score":427,"weighted_total_score":428,"trend_change":42},47219338,"2026-06-22",{"id":442,"prediction_date":443,"total_score":427,"weighted_total_score":428,"trend_change":444},46955488,"2026-06-21",7.353563007128984,{"id":446,"prediction_date":447,"total_score":448,"weighted_total_score":449,"trend_change":450},46704263,"2026-06-20",526.0809780105972,"33.7205",9.887232563942657,{"id":452,"prediction_date":453,"total_score":454,"weighted_total_score":455,"trend_change":42},46459872,"2026-06-19",478.7462253219218,"29.7968",{"id":457,"prediction_date":458,"total_score":454,"weighted_total_score":455,"trend_change":42},46203407,"2026-06-18",{"id":460,"prediction_date":461,"total_score":454,"weighted_total_score":455,"trend_change":42},45970610,"2026-06-17",{"id":463,"prediction_date":464,"total_score":454,"weighted_total_score":455,"trend_change":42},45698303,"2026-06-16",{"id":466,"prediction_date":467,"total_score":454,"weighted_total_score":455,"trend_change":468},45475747,"2026-06-15",9.641437298719971,{"id":470,"prediction_date":471,"total_score":472,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45206639,"2026-06-14",509.54714156964735,{"id":474,"prediction_date":475,"total_score":476,"weighted_total_score":477,"trend_change":478},44961783,"2026-06-13",436.6471628947818,"26.7076",-16.916142005592942,{"id":480,"prediction_date":481,"total_score":482,"weighted_total_score":483,"trend_change":42},44709709,"2026-06-12",525.5499364559786,"33.466",{"trend_direction":344,"confidence":345,"reference_level":345,"reference_reasons":485,"growth_rate":333,"trend_change":333,"weighted_trend_change":334},[347,348,349,350],{"weighted_score":487,"regression_score":493,"ml_score":496,"momentum_score":501,"normalized_score":505,"clip_influence_score":510,"social_spread_score":511,"new_viewer_score":512,"genre_correlation_score":515,"bayesian_score":516,"clip_creator_variety_score":519,"clip_creator_activity_score":520,"clip_creator_growth_score":521,"clip_creator_quality_score":522,"loyal_clip_creators_score":523},{"current":488,"average":489,"max":490,"min":491,"trend":492},56.78791874526149,44.88,74.0427933795603,17.416092081753813,8.15,{"current":357,"average":494,"max":495,"min":357,"trend":42},33.57,36.75506130595951,{"current":356,"average":497,"max":498,"min":499,"trend":500},79.23,96.90087159923374,51.12394875316044,4.54,{"current":358,"average":502,"max":358,"min":503,"trend":504},53.54,44.885360434552624,42.09,{"current":359,"average":506,"max":507,"min":508,"trend":509},52.56,68.09233277070912,33.95779138941586,4.23,{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":293,"average":293,"max":293,"min":293,"trend":42},{"current":293,"average":513,"max":514,"min":293,"trend":42},51.72,99.99999730308295,{"current":293,"average":293,"max":293,"min":293,"trend":42},{"current":293,"average":517,"max":518,"min":293,"trend":42},50.04,50.51325919589392,{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":293,"average":293,"max":293,"min":293,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"current":42,"average":42,"max":42,"min":42,"trend":42},{"weighted_score":525,"regression_score":527,"ml_score":529,"momentum_score":531,"normalized_score":533,"clip_influence_score":535,"social_spread_score":537,"new_viewer_score":539,"genre_correlation_score":541,"bayesian_score":543,"clip_creator_variety_score":545,"clip_creator_activity_score":547,"clip_creator_growth_score":549,"clip_creator_quality_score":551,"loyal_clip_creators_score":553},{"name":526,"desc":266},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":528,"desc":271},"時系列回帰",{"name":530,"desc":276},"機械学習モデル",{"name":532,"desc":281},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":534,"desc":286},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":536,"desc":290},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":538,"desc":295},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":540,"desc":299},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":542,"desc":303},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":544,"desc":307},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":546,"desc":311},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":548,"desc":315},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":550,"desc":319},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":552,"desc":323},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":554,"desc":327},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":556,"generatedAt":557,"targetMetric":558,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":407,"validationPeriodEnd":377,"validationSampleCount":559,"validationMetricSampleCount":560,"correlation":561,"legacyTrendCorrelation":562,"scoreCorrelation":561,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":563,"topDecileLift":564,"topDecileAvgGrowth":565,"overallAvgGrowth":566,"mae":567,"rmse":568,"directionAccuracy":569,"modelReliabilityLevel":345,"candidateApproachCount":570,"enabledApproachCount":571,"predictionDataStatus":572,"notice":576,"explanation":577},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":329,"exposedPredictionDate":329,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":573,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":574,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":574,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":42,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":42,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":42,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":575},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":578,"reliabilityInterpretation":579,"metricDefinitions":580,"limitations":592,"improvementPolicy":597},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":581,"scoreCorrelation":582,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":583,"topDecileLift":584,"topDecileAvgGrowth":585,"overallAvgGrowth":586,"legacyTrendCorrelation":587,"mae":588,"rmse":589,"directionAccuracy":590,"validationMetricSampleCount":591},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[593,594,595,596],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[598,599,600,601],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]