[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-134303067":29,"prediction-134303067-v2":177},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":176},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":27,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":38,"peak_viewer_count":39,"follower_count":39,"follower_diff_week":38,"follower_diff_latest":40,"percentile":41,"percentile_diff_week":42,"percentile_diff_latest":43,"latest_stream_start":44,"latest_stream_end":34,"stream_days":15,"total_sessions":15,"total_duration_minutes":45,"category":46,"title":49,"clip_count":40,"total_clip_views":40,"recent_sessions":50,"recent_clips":132,"percentile_history":133,"weekly_data":165,"creator":172,"youtube_channels":175,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},134303067,"ちぇけそうるーむ","chekesou_ch",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fb1b4e8d9-21e3-47ef-93b8-6f82cc243867-profile_image-300x300.png","",1,3,0,8.269100326817536,-0.24076032954430104,-0.026362971341594488,"2026-07-11T23:53:05.000+09:00",840,{"id":47,"name":48},"491487","Dead by Daylight","dbd10周年",[51,58,66,73,87,103,118],{"id":52,"title":49,"started_at":44,"ended_at":34,"duration_minutes":34,"average_viewers":40,"peak_viewers":40,"followers_gained":34,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":55,"vod_archives":57},13478184,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_chekesou_ch-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":56,"name":48},36,[],{"id":59,"title":49,"started_at":60,"ended_at":61,"duration_minutes":62,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":63,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":64,"vod_archives":65},13460336,"2026-07-11T16:57:55.000+09:00","2026-07-11T18:35:12.894+09:00",97,2,{"id":56,"name":48},[],{"id":67,"title":49,"started_at":68,"ended_at":69,"duration_minutes":70,"average_viewers":40,"peak_viewers":40,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":71,"vod_archives":72},13443245,"2026-07-11T00:33:25.000+09:00","2026-07-11T02:40:03.607+09:00",127,{"id":56,"name":48},[],{"id":74,"title":49,"started_at":75,"ended_at":76,"duration_minutes":77,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":78,"vod_archives":79,"chat_summary":86},13410448,"2026-07-09T23:36:12.000+09:00","2026-07-10T00:40:03.394+09:00",64,{"id":56,"name":48},[80],{"id":81,"url":82,"view_count":83,"duration":84,"thumbnail_url":85},29974160,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2815818812",4,"55m32s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F1774c23fb71cbc250787_chekesou_ch_316155729906_1783607772\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":40,"unique_chatters":40,"bits":40,"subs":40,"subgifts":40,"resubs":40,"avg_messages_per_minute":40,"participation_rate_pct":40},{"id":88,"title":89,"started_at":90,"ended_at":91,"duration_minutes":92,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":93,"vod_archives":96,"chat_summary":102},13381239,"Monster Hunter 踊火イベ","2026-07-08T23:55:24.000+09:00","2026-07-09T00:50:03.670+09:00",55,{"id":94,"name":95},23,"Monster Hunter Wilds",[97],{"id":98,"url":99,"view_count":83,"duration":100,"thumbnail_url":101},29911842,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2815037249","48m51s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F04ac05a488222cb748f8_chekesou_ch_316205910131_1783522524\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":40,"unique_chatters":40,"bits":40,"subs":40,"subgifts":40,"resubs":40,"avg_messages_per_minute":40,"participation_rate_pct":40},{"id":104,"title":105,"started_at":106,"ended_at":107,"duration_minutes":108,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":63,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":109,"vod_archives":110,"chat_summary":117},13346776,"10周年dbd","2026-07-07T22:05:19.000+09:00","2026-07-08T00:20:02.129+09:00",135,{"id":56,"name":48},[111],{"id":112,"url":113,"view_count":114,"duration":115,"thumbnail_url":116},29911843,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2814209932",13,"2h15m7s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F86a4c3e034aafd15ed6b_chekesou_ch_316137624049_1783429518\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":40,"unique_chatters":40,"bits":40,"subs":40,"subgifts":40,"resubs":40,"avg_messages_per_minute":40,"participation_rate_pct":40},{"id":119,"title":105,"started_at":120,"ended_at":121,"duration_minutes":122,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":39,"followers_gained":40,"thumbnail_url":53,"language":54,"tags":34,"game_category":123,"vod_archives":124,"chat_summary":131},13318218,"2026-07-06T22:30:13.000+09:00","2026-07-07T00:20:03.755+09:00",110,{"id":56,"name":48},[125],{"id":126,"url":127,"view_count":128,"duration":129,"thumbnail_url":130},29689207,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2813459380",19,"1h41m56s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002Ff7da4195e0ba8c2657df_chekesou_ch_316133399281_1783344613\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":40,"unique_chatters":40,"bits":40,"subs":40,"subgifts":40,"resubs":40,"avg_messages_per_minute":40,"participation_rate_pct":40},[],[134,138,142,146,150,154,158,162],{"id":135,"percentile":136,"measured_on":137},21353668,8.509860656361838,"2026-07-02",{"id":139,"percentile":140,"measured_on":141},21419141,8.40119105493437,"2026-07-03",{"id":143,"percentile":144,"measured_on":145},21582704,8.31243064106657,"2026-07-05",{"id":147,"percentile":148,"measured_on":149},21680802,8.318880174358817,"2026-07-06",{"id":151,"percentile":152,"measured_on":153},21745441,20.5312187235353,"2026-07-07",{"id":155,"percentile":156,"measured_on":157},21821612,17.476339724680432,"2026-07-08",{"id":159,"percentile":160,"measured_on":161},21891191,8.295463298159131,"2026-07-09",{"id":163,"percentile":41,"measured_on":164},21959592,"2026-07-10",{"Fri":166,"Mon":167,"Sat":168,"Thu":169,"Tue":170,"Wed":171},{"06:00":40,"23:00":38},{"04:00":38,"05:00":63,"06:00":38},{"00:00":38},{"05:00":38,"06:00":38},{"04:00":38,"05:00":38,"06:00":38},{"06:00":38},{"id":173,"name":32,"primary_platform":174,"verified":35,"total_followers":40},261374,"twitch",[],[],{"streamer":178,"latest_prediction":179,"historical_predictions":285,"trend_analysis":320,"approach_performance":322,"available_approaches":350,"model_summary":381},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":180,"id":246,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":247,"total_score":248,"weighted_total_score":249,"score":250,"trend_change":251,"weighted_trend_change":252,"viewer_count":40,"follower_count":40,"scoring_weights":253,"trend_direction":262,"trendDirection":262,"confidence":263,"reference_level":263,"referenceLevel":263,"reference_reasons":264,"referenceReasons":269,"growth_rate":251,"growthRate":251,"observed_days":23,"observedDays":23,"session_count":11,"sessionCount":11,"data_completeness":270,"dataCompleteness":270,"last_streamed_at":271,"lastStreamedAt":271,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":39,"streamer":272,"category":273,"ml_score":274,"bayesian_score":198,"regression_score":275,"momentum_score":198,"growth_potential_score":274,"quality_score":276,"normalized_score":276,"clip_influence_composite":40,"clip_influence_score":40,"clip_creator_activity_score":40,"clip_creator_growth_score":198,"clip_creator_quality_score":40,"clip_creator_variety_score":40,"formatted_total_score":277,"formatted_weighted_score":278,"formatted_trend_change":279,"formatted_growth_rate":279,"formatted_current_viewers":280,"formatted_current_followers":281,"trend_direction_text":282,"trend_direction_icon":283,"confidence_text":284,"reference_level_text":284},[181,186,191,196,201,206,210,214,218,222,226,230,234,238,242],{"name":182,"value":183,"enabled":27,"info":184},"weighted_score",62.4,{"description":185},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":187,"value":188,"enabled":27,"info":189},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":190},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":192,"value":193,"enabled":27,"info":194},"ml_score",93.96,{"description":195},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":197,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":199},"momentum_score",50,{"description":200},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":202,"value":203,"enabled":27,"info":204},"normalized_score",63.23,{"description":205},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":207,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":208},"clip_influence_score",{"description":209},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":211,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":212},"social_spread_score",{"description":213},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":215,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":216},"new_viewer_score",{"description":217},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":219,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":220},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":221},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":223,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":224},"bayesian_score",{"description":225},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":227,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":228},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":229},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":231,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":232},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":233},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":235,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":236},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":237},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":239,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":240},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":241},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":243,"value":40,"enabled":27,"info":244},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":245},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51882826,"2026-07-11",552.9219894074047,"35.6098",35.6098,-0.8544639706259747,-0.95,{"ml_score":254,"bayesian_score":255,"momentum_score":256,"weighted_score":257,"new_viewer_score":258,"normalized_score":259,"regression_score":260,"social_spread_score":261,"clip_influence_score":258,"loyal_clip_creators_score":258,"clip_creator_quality_score":258,"clip_creator_variety_score":258,"clip_creator_activity_score":258},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","low",[265,266,267,268],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[265,266,267,268],0.2,"2026-07-11T23:53:05+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":56,"name":48},93.95756269442029,33.33333333333333,63.23049735185117,552.9,"35.6","-0.9%","1","3","安定","➡️","低",[286,287,292,297,302,307,311,313,316,318],{"id":246,"prediction_date":247,"total_score":248,"weighted_total_score":249,"trend_change":251},{"id":288,"prediction_date":164,"total_score":289,"weighted_total_score":290,"trend_change":291},51570505,557.6872258208272,"35.9512",0.7078919159792468,{"id":293,"prediction_date":161,"total_score":294,"weighted_total_score":295,"trend_change":296},51356895,553.7671529120146,"35.6389",1.027178061369073,{"id":298,"prediction_date":157,"total_score":299,"weighted_total_score":300,"trend_change":301},51058527,548.1368118345621,"35.2352",1.0429448322447008,{"id":303,"prediction_date":153,"total_score":304,"weighted_total_score":305,"trend_change":306},50846980,542.4790545689256,"34.7922",1.3194203467525285,{"id":308,"prediction_date":149,"total_score":309,"weighted_total_score":310,"trend_change":40},50502716,535.4146842849689,"34.2389",{"id":312,"prediction_date":145,"total_score":309,"weighted_total_score":310,"trend_change":40},50276722,{"id":314,"prediction_date":315,"total_score":309,"weighted_total_score":310,"trend_change":40},50011647,"2026-07-04",{"id":317,"prediction_date":141,"total_score":309,"weighted_total_score":310,"trend_change":40},49834784,{"id":319,"prediction_date":137,"total_score":309,"weighted_total_score":310,"trend_change":40},49494014,{"trend_direction":262,"confidence":263,"reference_level":263,"reference_reasons":321,"growth_rate":251,"trend_change":251,"weighted_trend_change":252},[265,266,267,268],{"weighted_score":323,"regression_score":328,"ml_score":329,"momentum_score":333,"normalized_score":334,"clip_influence_score":338,"social_spread_score":339,"new_viewer_score":340,"genre_correlation_score":343,"bayesian_score":344,"clip_creator_variety_score":345,"clip_creator_activity_score":346,"clip_creator_growth_score":347,"clip_creator_quality_score":348,"loyal_clip_creators_score":349},{"current":324,"average":325,"max":324,"min":326,"trend":327},62.40059602779986,56.44,53.2485197087178,9.15,{"current":275,"average":188,"max":275,"min":275,"trend":40},{"current":274,"average":330,"max":274,"min":331,"trend":332},91.44,89.97916017167555,3.98,{"current":198,"average":198,"max":198,"min":198,"trend":40},{"current":276,"average":335,"max":276,"min":336,"trend":337},60.41,58.85367107124222,4.38,{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":198,"average":198,"max":198,"min":198,"trend":40},{"current":198,"average":341,"max":342,"min":198,"trend":40},51.58,58.53627226410425,{"current":198,"average":198,"max":198,"min":198,"trend":40},{"current":198,"average":198,"max":198,"min":198,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":198,"average":198,"max":198,"min":198,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"current":40,"average":40,"max":40,"min":40,"trend":40},{"weighted_score":351,"regression_score":353,"ml_score":355,"momentum_score":357,"normalized_score":359,"clip_influence_score":361,"social_spread_score":363,"new_viewer_score":365,"genre_correlation_score":367,"bayesian_score":369,"clip_creator_variety_score":371,"clip_creator_activity_score":373,"clip_creator_growth_score":375,"clip_creator_quality_score":377,"loyal_clip_creators_score":379},{"name":352,"desc":185},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":354,"desc":190},"時系列回帰",{"name":356,"desc":195},"機械学習モデル",{"name":358,"desc":200},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":360,"desc":205},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":362,"desc":209},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":364,"desc":213},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":366,"desc":217},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":368,"desc":221},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":370,"desc":225},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":372,"desc":229},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":374,"desc":233},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":376,"desc":237},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":378,"desc":241},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":380,"desc":245},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":382,"generatedAt":383,"targetMetric":384,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":137,"validationPeriodEnd":161,"validationSampleCount":385,"validationMetricSampleCount":386,"correlation":387,"legacyTrendCorrelation":388,"scoreCorrelation":387,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":389,"topDecileLift":390,"topDecileAvgGrowth":391,"overallAvgGrowth":392,"mae":393,"rmse":394,"directionAccuracy":395,"modelReliabilityLevel":263,"candidateApproachCount":396,"enabledApproachCount":114,"predictionDataStatus":397,"notice":401,"explanation":402},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,15,{"latestAvailableDate":247,"exposedPredictionDate":247,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":398,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":399,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":399,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":40,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":40,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":40,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":400},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":403,"reliabilityInterpretation":404,"metricDefinitions":405,"limitations":417,"improvementPolicy":422},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":406,"scoreCorrelation":407,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":408,"topDecileLift":409,"topDecileAvgGrowth":410,"overallAvgGrowth":411,"legacyTrendCorrelation":412,"mae":413,"rmse":414,"directionAccuracy":415,"validationMetricSampleCount":416},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[418,419,420,421],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[423,424,425,426],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]