[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-127690683":29,"prediction-127690683-v2":226},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":225},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":23,"follower_count":11,"follower_diff_week":40,"follower_diff_latest":40,"percentile":41,"percentile_diff_week":42,"percentile_diff_latest":43,"latest_stream_start":44,"latest_stream_end":45,"stream_days":46,"total_sessions":46,"total_duration_minutes":47,"category":48,"title":51,"clip_count":52,"total_clip_views":53,"recent_sessions":54,"recent_clips":94,"percentile_history":128,"weekly_data":216,"creator":220,"youtube_channels":224,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},127690683,"夜月麗","yorutuki_rei",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002F49a7b8a7-ead7-4aa7-8225-f6b43135142a-profile_image-300x300.png","積みゲー消化中の 『 Rei 』 です。今は 原神・スタレ・鳴潮 を気ままに消化中～ マイペースな自由人だから、みんなも僕の配信を自由に楽しんでゲームとイラストをメインに不定期配信だから通知は要チェック！趣味：ゲーム、イラスト、アニメ鑑賞、音楽 心理学とか哲学も結構好き 『Rei』こと『夜月麗』( yorutuki_Rei ) をよろしく～",2,2.78,-1,59.48387494604428,6.37491278964437,-1.3926559019877587,"2026-07-11T12:13:11.000+09:00","2026-07-11T14:20:03.047+09:00",11,3120,{"id":49,"name":50},"509660","Art","イラスト配信～気ままに作業＆のんびり雑談",4,16,[55,65,75],{"id":56,"title":51,"started_at":44,"ended_at":45,"duration_minutes":57,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":58,"followers_gained":59,"thumbnail_url":60,"language":61,"tags":34,"game_category":62,"vod_archives":64},13452638,127,5,0,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_yorutuki_rei-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":63,"name":50},25,[],{"id":66,"title":67,"started_at":68,"ended_at":69,"duration_minutes":70,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":52,"followers_gained":59,"thumbnail_url":60,"language":61,"tags":34,"game_category":71,"vod_archives":74},13451270,"ダンガンロンパと聞いたので！ゲーム配信～気ままに作業＆のんびり雑談 途中からイラスト配信に切り替える予定だよ！","2026-07-11T10:53:41.000+09:00","2026-07-11T12:10:05.144+09:00",76,{"id":72,"name":73},13099,"Riichi City",[],{"id":76,"title":77,"started_at":78,"ended_at":79,"duration_minutes":80,"average_viewers":81,"peak_viewers":58,"followers_gained":59,"thumbnail_url":82,"language":61,"tags":34,"game_category":83,"vod_archives":86,"chat_summary":93},13305207,"ゲーム配信～気ままに作業＆のんびり雑談","2026-07-06T18:26:15.000+09:00","2026-07-06T23:10:02.237+09:00",284,3,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_rei819tanshou-{width}x{height}.jpg",{"id":84,"name":85},213,"Slay the Spire",[87],{"id":88,"url":89,"view_count":90,"duration":91,"thumbnail_url":92},29683540,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2813365462",46,"4h35m17s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F0a488974227bfe0f1829_rei819tanshou_316141166834_1783329975\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":59,"unique_chatters":59,"bits":59,"subs":59,"subgifts":59,"resubs":59,"avg_messages_per_minute":59,"participation_rate_pct":59},[95,105,113,121],{"id":96,"title":97,"view_count":81,"created_at":98,"duration":99,"thumbnail_url":100,"url":101,"creator":102},5698778,"裏でなにか作る人そして失敗する","2026-07-06T20:11:19.000+09:00",59.9,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002F1fd8e348-29f7-4c20-bedb-9f87078d9a41\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Frei819tanshou\u002Fclip\u002FAffluentCuriousToothBibleThump-yX78WRvER2vBoLKx",{"id":103,"name":104},"526964892","のりのりお",{"id":106,"title":107,"view_count":81,"created_at":108,"duration":109,"thumbnail_url":110,"url":111,"creator":112},5698777,"やばい飲み物作成中","2026-07-06T20:05:09.000+09:00",51.7,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002F400f0a0c-2570-4111-914c-6dad1d637894\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Frei819tanshou\u002Fclip\u002FRudeGentleVanillaPlanking-ZxgIxkZOmeTOMYfo",{"id":103,"name":104},{"id":114,"title":115,"view_count":52,"created_at":116,"duration":117,"thumbnail_url":118,"url":119,"creator":120},5689433,"豆腐の味、、について","2026-07-04T22:38:59.000+09:00",34.2,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002Fa251410f-bb85-4531-99be-da6942e53855\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Frei819tanshou\u002Fclip\u002FBovinePlausibleEggPeteZaroll-2zLn4ik4KYWQyNzb",{"id":103,"name":104},{"id":122,"title":123,"view_count":23,"created_at":124,"duration":99,"thumbnail_url":125,"url":126,"creator":127},5689432,"ついついネタバレした時の反応","2026-07-04T22:33:18.000+09:00","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002Fca3ef6f6-216b-4025-8cb6-b8ea595b3ea4\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Frei819tanshou\u002Fclip\u002FSlipperyFurryCobblerDancingBaby-g4lJg4w-B8rz8Njz",{"id":103,"name":104},[129,133,137,141,145,149,153,157,161,165,169,173,177,181,185,189,193,197,201,205,209,212],{"id":130,"percentile":131,"measured_on":132},19994527,58.751860966791234,"2026-06-17",{"id":134,"percentile":135,"measured_on":136},20059791,58.83770591824283,"2026-06-18",{"id":138,"percentile":139,"measured_on":140},20125155,55.9874541329801,"2026-06-19",{"id":142,"percentile":143,"measured_on":144},20190590,56.022621889110184,"2026-06-20",{"id":146,"percentile":147,"measured_on":148},20388345,56.1336717428088,"2026-06-21",{"id":150,"percentile":151,"measured_on":152},20542174,56.05165712886739,"2026-06-22",{"id":154,"percentile":155,"measured_on":156},20607293,55.96835278063141,"2026-06-23",{"id":158,"percentile":159,"measured_on":160},20672342,48.609961685823755,"2026-06-24",{"id":162,"percentile":163,"measured_on":164},20754723,48.65108325572164,"2026-06-25",{"id":166,"percentile":167,"measured_on":168},20952058,45.79877007690797,"2026-06-28",{"id":170,"percentile":171,"measured_on":172},21116093,53.1981893328085,"2026-06-29",{"id":174,"percentile":175,"measured_on":176},21219200,53.13412408759124,"2026-06-30",{"id":178,"percentile":179,"measured_on":180},21284697,53.166313413946106,"2026-07-01",{"id":182,"percentile":183,"measured_on":184},21350269,53.10896215639991,"2026-07-02",{"id":186,"percentile":187,"measured_on":188},21415970,54.64876033057852,"2026-07-03",{"id":190,"percentile":191,"measured_on":192},21580041,61.67586385126405,"2026-07-05",{"id":194,"percentile":195,"measured_on":196},21678433,59.493806885331445,"2026-07-06",{"id":198,"percentile":199,"measured_on":200},21743264,60.86226807298484,"2026-07-07",{"id":202,"percentile":203,"measured_on":204},21819611,60.90523598820059,"2026-07-08",{"id":206,"percentile":207,"measured_on":208},21889357,60.87653084803204,"2026-07-09",{"id":210,"percentile":41,"measured_on":211},21957836,"2026-07-10",{"id":213,"percentile":214,"measured_on":215},22022739,54.73902364138779,"2026-07-12",{"Fri":217,"Mon":219},{"17:00":38,"18:00":218,"19:00":81,"20:00":38},1,{"00:00":38,"01:00":81,"02:00":81,"03:00":81,"04:00":38,"05:00":81},{"id":221,"name":222,"primary_platform":223,"verified":35,"total_followers":52},256317,"rei819tanshou","twitch",[],[],{"streamer":227,"latest_prediction":228,"historical_predictions":348,"trend_analysis":446,"approach_performance":448,"available_approaches":499,"model_summary":530},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":229,"id":304,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"score":308,"trend_change":309,"weighted_trend_change":310,"viewer_count":59,"follower_count":59,"scoring_weights":311,"trend_direction":320,"trendDirection":320,"confidence":321,"reference_level":321,"referenceLevel":321,"reference_reasons":322,"referenceReasons":327,"growth_rate":309,"growthRate":309,"observed_days":7,"observedDays":7,"session_count":46,"sessionCount":46,"data_completeness":328,"dataCompleteness":328,"last_streamed_at":329,"lastStreamedAt":329,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":11,"streamer":330,"category":331,"ml_score":332,"bayesian_score":333,"regression_score":334,"momentum_score":335,"growth_potential_score":332,"quality_score":336,"normalized_score":336,"clip_influence_composite":337,"clip_influence_score":337,"clip_creator_activity_score":287,"clip_creator_growth_score":272,"clip_creator_quality_score":338,"clip_creator_variety_score":339,"formatted_total_score":340,"formatted_weighted_score":341,"formatted_trend_change":342,"formatted_growth_rate":342,"formatted_current_viewers":343,"formatted_current_followers":344,"trend_direction_text":345,"trend_direction_icon":346,"confidence_text":347,"reference_level_text":347},[230,235,240,245,250,255,260,265,270,275,280,285,290,294,299],{"name":231,"value":232,"enabled":27,"info":233},"weighted_score",67.5,{"description":234},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":236,"value":237,"enabled":27,"info":238},"regression_score",44.58,{"description":239},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":241,"value":242,"enabled":27,"info":243},"ml_score",95.48,{"description":244},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":246,"value":247,"enabled":27,"info":248},"momentum_score",34.64,{"description":249},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":251,"value":252,"enabled":27,"info":253},"normalized_score",69.19,{"description":254},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":256,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":258},"clip_influence_score",42.24,{"description":259},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":261,"value":262,"enabled":27,"info":263},"social_spread_score",100,{"description":264},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":266,"value":267,"enabled":27,"info":268},"new_viewer_score",95.64,{"description":269},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":271,"value":272,"enabled":27,"info":273},"genre_correlation_score",50,{"description":274},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":276,"value":277,"enabled":27,"info":278},"bayesian_score",51.59,{"description":279},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":281,"value":282,"enabled":27,"info":283},"clip_creator_variety_score",14.14,{"description":284},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":286,"value":287,"enabled":27,"info":288},"clip_creator_activity_score",20,{"description":289},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":291,"value":272,"enabled":27,"info":292},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":293},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":295,"value":296,"enabled":27,"info":297},"clip_creator_quality_score",17.47,{"description":298},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":300,"value":301,"enabled":27,"info":302},"loyal_clip_creators_score",22.36,{"description":303},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51862969,"2026-07-11",774.8343922512345,"52.8661",52.8661,-6.349530057460163,-9.59,{"ml_score":312,"bayesian_score":313,"momentum_score":314,"weighted_score":315,"new_viewer_score":316,"normalized_score":317,"regression_score":318,"social_spread_score":319,"clip_influence_score":316,"loyal_clip_creators_score":316,"clip_creator_quality_score":316,"clip_creator_variety_score":316,"clip_creator_activity_score":316},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"down","low",[323,324,325,326],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[323,324,325,326],0.33,"2026-07-11T12:13:11+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":63,"name":50},95.47799810311429,51.587301587301596,44.58201058201058,34.6395637587773,69.18634201311819,42.244050829840035,17.474060395685793,14.142135623730951,774.8,"52.9","-6.3%","2","9","下降","⬇️","低",[349,350,355,360,365,370,375,380,386,391,395,397,400,405,410,414,418,421,426,430,432,434,437,442],{"id":304,"prediction_date":305,"total_score":306,"weighted_total_score":307,"trend_change":309},{"id":351,"prediction_date":211,"total_score":352,"weighted_total_score":353,"trend_change":354},51554283,827.3683973253329,"58.4718",3.9486096568935465,{"id":356,"prediction_date":208,"total_score":357,"weighted_total_score":358,"trend_change":359},51337438,795.9398399423079,"55.7126",3.0314430203192253,{"id":361,"prediction_date":204,"total_score":362,"weighted_total_score":363,"trend_change":364},51045102,772.5212970038065,"52.0717",-4.371408044464862,{"id":366,"prediction_date":200,"total_score":367,"weighted_total_score":368,"trend_change":369},50827329,807.8350639764823,"53.0053",22.592531270701357,{"id":371,"prediction_date":196,"total_score":372,"weighted_total_score":373,"trend_change":374},50493265,658.9594452476637,"45.8548",-7.843008922048789,{"id":376,"prediction_date":192,"total_score":377,"weighted_total_score":378,"trend_change":379},50267243,715.0401044347045,"49.4884",-1.3455809982209885,{"id":381,"prediction_date":382,"total_score":383,"weighted_total_score":384,"trend_change":385},49998912,"2026-07-04",724.7927783364781,"47.4709",32.22844419273087,{"id":387,"prediction_date":188,"total_score":388,"weighted_total_score":389,"trend_change":390},49814827,548.1368118345621,"35.2352",-6.8352874547033355,{"id":392,"prediction_date":184,"total_score":393,"weighted_total_score":394,"trend_change":59},49485130,588.3523888597392,"38.2372",{"id":396,"prediction_date":180,"total_score":393,"weighted_total_score":394,"trend_change":59},49302004,{"id":398,"prediction_date":176,"total_score":393,"weighted_total_score":394,"trend_change":399},49043707,5.672559078433932,{"id":401,"prediction_date":168,"total_score":402,"weighted_total_score":403,"trend_change":404},48725846,556.7693202386091,"33.9795",27.748854198207802,{"id":406,"prediction_date":407,"total_score":408,"weighted_total_score":409,"trend_change":59},48507568,"2026-06-27",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":411,"prediction_date":412,"total_score":408,"weighted_total_score":409,"trend_change":413},48190476,"2026-06-26",-13.109091706448279,{"id":415,"prediction_date":164,"total_score":416,"weighted_total_score":417,"trend_change":59},47937927,501.58431315420717,"31.5877",{"id":419,"prediction_date":160,"total_score":416,"weighted_total_score":417,"trend_change":420},47734555,-12.450260413623141,{"id":422,"prediction_date":156,"total_score":423,"weighted_total_score":424,"trend_change":425},47461624,572.9135409470207,"39.4105",7.00370344009718,{"id":427,"prediction_date":152,"total_score":428,"weighted_total_score":429,"trend_change":59},47187091,535.4146842849689,"34.2389",{"id":431,"prediction_date":148,"total_score":428,"weighted_total_score":429,"trend_change":59},47015946,{"id":433,"prediction_date":144,"total_score":428,"weighted_total_score":429,"trend_change":59},46751206,{"id":435,"prediction_date":140,"total_score":428,"weighted_total_score":429,"trend_change":436},46454175,1.8770333977229177,{"id":438,"prediction_date":136,"total_score":439,"weighted_total_score":440,"trend_change":441},46257642,525.5499364559786,"33.466",-8.687343501048982,{"id":443,"prediction_date":132,"total_score":444,"weighted_total_score":445,"trend_change":59},45961564,575.5499364559786,"35.4512",{"trend_direction":320,"confidence":321,"reference_level":321,"reference_reasons":447,"growth_rate":309,"trend_change":309,"weighted_trend_change":310},[323,324,325,326],{"weighted_score":449,"regression_score":455,"ml_score":459,"momentum_score":464,"normalized_score":468,"clip_influence_score":473,"social_spread_score":475,"new_viewer_score":478,"genre_correlation_score":483,"bayesian_score":484,"clip_creator_variety_score":488,"clip_creator_activity_score":490,"clip_creator_growth_score":492,"clip_creator_quality_score":493,"loyal_clip_creators_score":496},{"current":450,"average":451,"max":452,"min":453,"trend":454},67.49901735422974,55.84,86.00650035112852,17.416092081753813,18.86,{"current":334,"average":456,"max":262,"min":457,"trend":458},49.24,33.33333333333333,11.25,{"current":332,"average":460,"max":461,"min":462,"trend":463},87.86,98.46381949384265,51.12394875316044,8.28,{"current":335,"average":465,"max":262,"min":466,"trend":467},48.67,0.3287661385934004,-65.36,{"current":336,"average":469,"max":470,"min":471,"trend":472},64.31,94.82343994832372,33.95779138941586,12.8,{"current":337,"average":474,"max":337,"min":59,"trend":257},8.45,{"current":476,"average":477,"max":476,"min":272,"trend":272},99.9999887464838,60.42,{"current":479,"average":480,"max":481,"min":272,"trend":482},95.64124348194431,66.82,99.53218782726037,45.64,{"current":272,"average":272,"max":272,"min":272,"trend":59},{"current":333,"average":485,"max":486,"min":272,"trend":487},53.05,67.85714285714286,1.59,{"current":339,"average":489,"max":339,"min":59,"trend":282},2.95,{"current":287,"average":491,"max":287,"min":59,"trend":287},3.92,{"current":272,"average":272,"max":272,"min":272,"trend":59},{"current":338,"average":494,"max":495,"min":59,"trend":296},3.72,19.453570055697895,{"current":497,"average":498,"max":497,"min":59,"trend":301},22.360679774997898,4.66,{"weighted_score":500,"regression_score":502,"ml_score":504,"momentum_score":506,"normalized_score":508,"clip_influence_score":510,"social_spread_score":512,"new_viewer_score":514,"genre_correlation_score":516,"bayesian_score":518,"clip_creator_variety_score":520,"clip_creator_activity_score":522,"clip_creator_growth_score":524,"clip_creator_quality_score":526,"loyal_clip_creators_score":528},{"name":501,"desc":234},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":503,"desc":239},"時系列回帰",{"name":505,"desc":244},"機械学習モデル",{"name":507,"desc":249},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":509,"desc":254},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":511,"desc":259},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":513,"desc":264},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":515,"desc":269},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":517,"desc":274},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":519,"desc":279},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":521,"desc":284},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":523,"desc":289},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":525,"desc":293},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":527,"desc":298},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":529,"desc":303},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":531,"generatedAt":532,"targetMetric":533,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":382,"validationPeriodEnd":305,"validationSampleCount":534,"validationMetricSampleCount":535,"correlation":536,"legacyTrendCorrelation":537,"scoreCorrelation":536,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":538,"topDecileLift":539,"topDecileAvgGrowth":540,"overallAvgGrowth":541,"mae":542,"rmse":543,"directionAccuracy":544,"modelReliabilityLevel":321,"candidateApproachCount":545,"enabledApproachCount":546,"predictionDataStatus":547,"notice":551,"explanation":552},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",258155,12156,0.028866553564004513,0.018406975064883816,0.13678678976736153,1.6169814317349671,5.186138986909044,3.2072965620542035,6.90613282063511,21.63237605094986,0.36722606120434353,15,13,{"latestAvailableDate":305,"exposedPredictionDate":305,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":548,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":549,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":549,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":59,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":59,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":59,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":550},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":553,"reliabilityInterpretation":554,"metricDefinitions":555,"limitations":567,"improvementPolicy":572},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":556,"scoreCorrelation":557,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":558,"topDecileLift":559,"topDecileAvgGrowth":560,"overallAvgGrowth":561,"legacyTrendCorrelation":562,"mae":563,"rmse":564,"directionAccuracy":565,"validationMetricSampleCount":566},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[568,569,570,571],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[573,574,575,576],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]