[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-12652069":29,"prediction-12652069-v2":192},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":191},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":23,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":38,"follower_diff_latest":38,"percentile":41,"percentile_diff_week":42,"percentile_diff_latest":43,"latest_stream_start":44,"latest_stream_end":45,"stream_days":46,"total_sessions":46,"total_duration_minutes":47,"category":48,"title":51,"clip_count":52,"total_clip_views":52,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":54,"percentile_history":65,"weekly_data":186,"creator":187,"youtube_channels":190,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":35},12652069,"えりちゃーーん","erinatya_n",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fc68ca198-28e7-43cf-9a78-5d35f7eaff0c-profile_image-300x300.jpeg","基本YouTubeにて配信してます！えりちゃーんで検索お願いします🙇‍♀️",0,2.63,15,60.65324955225692,36.19473826488658,0.12110554956871056,"2026-06-20T22:00:27.000+09:00","2026-06-20T22:50:06.183+09:00",31,2640,{"id":49,"name":50},"1494","Call of Duty","CODリハビリ",1,[],[55],{"id":56,"title":57,"view_count":52,"created_at":58,"duration":59,"thumbnail_url":60,"url":61,"creator":62},5582909,"COD","2026-06-20T22:06:45.000+09:00",30,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Ftwitch-video-assets\u002Ftwitch-vap-video-assets-prod-us-west-2\u002Fb1138e48-d764-4ae3-a5c1-7ec7f9f80c86\u002Flandscape\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb-0000000000-480x272.jpg","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Ferinatya_n\u002Fclip\u002FTrappedTardyWaspTBTacoRight-t71iOoPoE5cx9C2P",{"id":63,"name":64},"724255543","jzx100__69",[66,70,74,78,82,86,90,94,98,102,106,110,114,118,122,126,130,134,138,142,146,150,154,158,162,166,170,174,178,182],{"id":67,"percentile":68,"measured_on":69},2173959,1.1779630300833634,"2025-08-09",{"id":71,"percentile":72,"measured_on":73},2234832,1.146032009287669,"2025-08-10",{"id":75,"percentile":76,"measured_on":77},2295269,0.8041170794467675,"2025-08-15",{"id":79,"percentile":80,"measured_on":81},6133705,51.81384287087263,"2025-11-29",{"id":83,"percentile":84,"measured_on":85},6326170,51.849216488510116,"2025-11-30",{"id":87,"percentile":88,"measured_on":89},6387664,51.72717343462172,"2025-12-01",{"id":91,"percentile":92,"measured_on":93},6448551,51.68782648945315,"2025-12-02",{"id":95,"percentile":96,"measured_on":97},6509138,51.81654468253837,"2025-12-03",{"id":99,"percentile":100,"measured_on":101},6569814,52.02020202020202,"2025-12-04",{"id":103,"percentile":104,"measured_on":105},6630602,52.15567581793956,"2025-12-05",{"id":107,"percentile":108,"measured_on":109},7688702,29.107508121766333,"2025-12-21",{"id":111,"percentile":112,"measured_on":113},7754935,28.947368421052634,"2025-12-22",{"id":115,"percentile":116,"measured_on":117},7820559,28.689605017953728,"2025-12-23",{"id":119,"percentile":120,"measured_on":121},7886432,28.601556691802333,"2025-12-24",{"id":123,"percentile":124,"measured_on":125},7979453,28.51257130783858,"2025-12-26",{"id":127,"percentile":128,"measured_on":129},8045889,28.406036489225915,"2025-12-27",{"id":131,"percentile":132,"measured_on":133},8243190,79.15462263722627,"2025-12-31",{"id":135,"percentile":136,"measured_on":137},8309585,72.5304567004741,"2026-01-01",{"id":139,"percentile":140,"measured_on":141},8377409,72.4275208168723,"2026-01-02",{"id":143,"percentile":144,"measured_on":145},8442860,72.54977146538238,"2026-01-03",{"id":147,"percentile":148,"measured_on":149},8505528,72.37897926684086,"2026-01-04",{"id":151,"percentile":152,"measured_on":153},8570128,72.24040004938881,"2026-01-05",{"id":155,"percentile":156,"measured_on":157},8637223,72.0632437737701,"2026-01-06",{"id":159,"percentile":160,"measured_on":161},8700347,61.19025735294118,"2026-01-07",{"id":163,"percentile":164,"measured_on":165},8873207,80.30361707071489,"2026-01-09",{"id":167,"percentile":168,"measured_on":169},8937928,81.68215929094222,"2026-01-10",{"id":171,"percentile":172,"measured_on":173},9003052,81.85485107818778,"2026-01-11",{"id":175,"percentile":176,"measured_on":177},9097561,75.43624574535261,"2026-01-13",{"id":179,"percentile":180,"measured_on":181},9162576,75.48236450780385,"2026-01-14",{"id":183,"percentile":184,"measured_on":185},9227893,75.53352609114691,"2026-01-15",{},{"id":188,"name":32,"primary_platform":189,"verified":35,"total_followers":19},109835,"twitch",[],[],{"streamer":193,"latest_prediction":194,"historical_predictions":300,"trend_analysis":412,"approach_performance":414,"available_approaches":456,"model_summary":487},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":195,"id":261,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":262,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"score":265,"trend_change":38,"weighted_trend_change":38,"viewer_count":38,"follower_count":38,"scoring_weights":266,"trend_direction":275,"trendDirection":275,"confidence":276,"reference_level":276,"referenceLevel":276,"reference_reasons":277,"referenceReasons":282,"growth_rate":38,"growthRate":38,"observed_days":283,"observedDays":283,"session_count":283,"sessionCount":283,"data_completeness":284,"dataCompleteness":284,"last_streamed_at":285,"lastStreamedAt":285,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":286,"category":287,"ml_score":289,"bayesian_score":213,"regression_score":290,"momentum_score":213,"growth_potential_score":289,"quality_score":291,"normalized_score":291,"clip_influence_composite":38,"clip_influence_score":38,"clip_creator_activity_score":38,"clip_creator_growth_score":213,"clip_creator_quality_score":38,"clip_creator_variety_score":38,"formatted_total_score":292,"formatted_weighted_score":293,"formatted_trend_change":294,"formatted_growth_rate":294,"formatted_current_viewers":295,"formatted_current_followers":296,"trend_direction_text":297,"trend_direction_icon":298,"confidence_text":299,"reference_level_text":299},[196,201,206,211,216,221,225,229,233,237,241,245,249,253,257],{"name":197,"value":198,"enabled":27,"info":199},"weighted_score",37.5,{"description":200},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":202,"value":203,"enabled":27,"info":204},"regression_score",33.33,{"description":205},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":207,"value":208,"enabled":27,"info":209},"ml_score",77.73,{"description":210},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":212,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":214},"momentum_score",50,{"description":215},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":217,"value":218,"enabled":27,"info":219},"normalized_score",49.52,{"description":220},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":222,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":223},"clip_influence_score",{"description":224},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":226,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":227},"social_spread_score",{"description":228},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":230,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":231},"new_viewer_score",{"description":232},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":234,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":235},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":236},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":238,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":239},"bayesian_score",{"description":240},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":242,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":243},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":244},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":246,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":247},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":248},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":250,"value":213,"enabled":27,"info":251},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":252},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":254,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":255},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":256},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":258,"value":38,"enabled":27,"info":259},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":260},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51837939,"2026-07-11",498.08442593440327,"31.3133",31.3133,{"ml_score":267,"bayesian_score":268,"momentum_score":269,"weighted_score":270,"new_viewer_score":271,"normalized_score":272,"regression_score":273,"social_spread_score":274,"clip_influence_score":271,"loyal_clip_creators_score":271,"clip_creator_quality_score":271,"clip_creator_variety_score":271,"clip_creator_activity_score":271},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","insufficient",[278,279,280,281],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[278,279,280,281],2,0.07,"2026-06-20T22:00:27+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":288,"name":50},239,77.72998611746911,33.33333333333333,49.52110648360082,498.1,"31.3","0.0%","0","15","安定","➡️","検証不足",[301,302,305,308,311,314,317,321,326,329,332,335,338,342,347,351,357,362,365,369,375,378,382,388,394,399,402,405,408],{"id":261,"prediction_date":262,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":38},{"id":303,"prediction_date":304,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":38},51594904,"2026-07-10",{"id":306,"prediction_date":307,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":38},51325386,"2026-07-09",{"id":309,"prediction_date":310,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":38},51076058,"2026-07-08",{"id":312,"prediction_date":313,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":38},50802881,"2026-07-07",{"id":315,"prediction_date":316,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":38},50555766,"2026-07-06",{"id":318,"prediction_date":319,"total_score":263,"weighted_total_score":264,"trend_change":320},50297430,"2026-07-05",14.283801916066349,{"id":322,"prediction_date":323,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":38},50039662,"2026-07-04",435.83116555766344,"26.4307",{"id":327,"prediction_date":328,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":38},49763979,"2026-07-03",{"id":330,"prediction_date":331,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":38},49524666,"2026-07-02",{"id":333,"prediction_date":334,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":38},49250130,"2026-07-01",{"id":336,"prediction_date":337,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":38},48993155,"2026-06-30",{"id":339,"prediction_date":340,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":341},48753397,"2026-06-28",-24.94248058300843,{"id":343,"prediction_date":344,"total_score":345,"weighted_total_score":346,"trend_change":38},48490108,"2026-06-27",580.662895527293,"37.6004",{"id":348,"prediction_date":349,"total_score":345,"weighted_total_score":346,"trend_change":350},48243855,"2026-06-26",-6.351414982512919,{"id":352,"prediction_date":353,"total_score":354,"weighted_total_score":355,"trend_change":356},47988486,"2026-06-25",620.044494445768,"40.6842",0.2984256591817042,{"id":358,"prediction_date":359,"total_score":360,"weighted_total_score":361,"trend_change":38},47730873,"2026-06-24",618.1996281304608,"40.5398",{"id":363,"prediction_date":364,"total_score":360,"weighted_total_score":361,"trend_change":38},47478350,"2026-06-23",{"id":366,"prediction_date":367,"total_score":360,"weighted_total_score":361,"trend_change":368},47225803,"2026-06-22",9.77547280985524,{"id":370,"prediction_date":371,"total_score":372,"weighted_total_score":373,"trend_change":374},46954220,"2026-06-21",563.1491373316692,"36.4104",29.21268184460771,{"id":376,"prediction_date":377,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":38},46704190,"2026-06-20",{"id":379,"prediction_date":380,"total_score":324,"weighted_total_score":325,"trend_change":381},46465284,"2026-06-19",-11.295310298668015,{"id":383,"prediction_date":384,"total_score":385,"weighted_total_score":386,"trend_change":387},46196498,"2026-06-18",491.328211648227,"30.7835",-8.23407985076429,{"id":389,"prediction_date":390,"total_score":391,"weighted_total_score":392,"trend_change":393},45956278,"2026-06-17",535.4146842849689,"34.2389",15.607375913038055,{"id":395,"prediction_date":396,"total_score":397,"weighted_total_score":398,"trend_change":38},45696482,"2026-06-16",463.1319412419822,"28.7773",{"id":400,"prediction_date":401,"total_score":397,"weighted_total_score":398,"trend_change":38},45449607,"2026-06-15",{"id":403,"prediction_date":404,"total_score":397,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45205356,"2026-06-14",{"id":406,"prediction_date":407,"total_score":397,"weighted_total_score":398,"trend_change":38},44959843,"2026-06-13",{"id":409,"prediction_date":410,"total_score":397,"weighted_total_score":398,"trend_change":411},44710214,"2026-06-12",-11.876701124713138,{"trend_direction":275,"confidence":276,"reference_level":276,"reference_reasons":413,"growth_rate":38,"trend_change":38,"weighted_trend_change":38},[278,279,280,281],{"weighted_score":415,"regression_score":420,"ml_score":423,"momentum_score":428,"normalized_score":429,"clip_influence_score":434,"social_spread_score":437,"new_viewer_score":440,"genre_correlation_score":444,"bayesian_score":445,"clip_creator_variety_score":446,"clip_creator_activity_score":449,"clip_creator_growth_score":451,"clip_creator_quality_score":452,"loyal_clip_creators_score":455},{"current":198,"average":416,"max":417,"min":418,"trend":419},39.28,69.56635660202602,17.416092081753813,-4.15,{"current":290,"average":421,"max":422,"min":290,"trend":38},33.47,34,{"current":289,"average":424,"max":425,"min":426,"trend":427},75.18,95.984332524032,51.12394875316044,-4.02,{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":38},{"current":291,"average":430,"max":431,"min":432,"trend":433},49.31,66.51689637535267,33.95779138941586,-2.72,{"current":38,"average":435,"max":436,"min":38,"trend":38},1.29,6.233468257264057,{"current":213,"average":438,"max":439,"min":213,"trend":38},53.33,66.07563687658173,{"current":213,"average":441,"max":213,"min":442,"trend":443},42.1,4.1531326194551745,45.85,{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":38},{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":38},{"current":38,"average":447,"max":448,"min":38,"trend":38},2.93,14.142135623730951,{"current":38,"average":450,"max":7,"min":38,"trend":38},2.07,{"current":213,"average":213,"max":213,"min":213,"trend":38},{"current":38,"average":453,"max":454,"min":38,"trend":38},1.56,7.525668186780549,{"current":38,"average":38,"max":38,"min":38,"trend":38},{"weighted_score":457,"regression_score":459,"ml_score":461,"momentum_score":463,"normalized_score":465,"clip_influence_score":467,"social_spread_score":469,"new_viewer_score":471,"genre_correlation_score":473,"bayesian_score":475,"clip_creator_variety_score":477,"clip_creator_activity_score":479,"clip_creator_growth_score":481,"clip_creator_quality_score":483,"loyal_clip_creators_score":485},{"name":458,"desc":200},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":460,"desc":205},"時系列回帰",{"name":462,"desc":210},"機械学習モデル",{"name":464,"desc":215},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":466,"desc":220},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":468,"desc":224},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":470,"desc":228},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":472,"desc":232},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":474,"desc":236},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":476,"desc":240},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":478,"desc":244},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":480,"desc":248},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":482,"desc":252},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":484,"desc":256},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":486,"desc":260},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":488,"generatedAt":489,"targetMetric":490,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":331,"validationPeriodEnd":307,"validationSampleCount":491,"validationMetricSampleCount":492,"correlation":493,"legacyTrendCorrelation":494,"scoreCorrelation":493,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":495,"topDecileLift":496,"topDecileAvgGrowth":497,"overallAvgGrowth":498,"mae":499,"rmse":500,"directionAccuracy":501,"modelReliabilityLevel":502,"candidateApproachCount":40,"enabledApproachCount":503,"predictionDataStatus":504,"notice":508,"explanation":509},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,"low",13,{"latestAvailableDate":262,"exposedPredictionDate":262,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":505,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":506,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":506,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":38,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":38,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":38,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":507},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":510,"reliabilityInterpretation":511,"metricDefinitions":512,"limitations":524,"improvementPolicy":529},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":513,"scoreCorrelation":514,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":515,"topDecileLift":516,"topDecileAvgGrowth":517,"overallAvgGrowth":518,"legacyTrendCorrelation":519,"mae":520,"rmse":521,"directionAccuracy":522,"validationMetricSampleCount":523},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[525,526,527,528],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[530,531,532,533],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]