[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"editorial-notice-ribbon-announcements":3,"streamer-base-1176068":29,"prediction-1176068-v2":246},{"data":4,"meta":26,"success":27,"message":28},{"announcements":5},[6,10,14,18,22],{"id":7,"published_at":8,"content":9},10,"2026\u002F05\u002F14","デザイン一新作業中なので、部分的にデザインがバラバラになっています。",{"id":11,"published_at":12,"content":13},9,"2026\u002F04\u002F30","重かったページを全般的に軽くしました。",{"id":15,"published_at":16,"content":17},8,"2026\u002F04\u002F12","ページ表示が遅かったのを改善しました。",{"id":19,"published_at":20,"content":21},7,"2026\u002F01\u002F27","本人申請による非表示申請の機能を追加しました。",{"id":23,"published_at":24,"content":25},6,"2026\u002F01\u002F02","Youtubeリンクをしている配信者のチャンネル登録者数などを出るような機能を追加しました。たまに違う人と紐づいているので参考程度で",{},true,"Success",{"streamer":30,"similar_streamers":34,"seo_similar_streamers":245},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"language":34,"is_partner":35,"is_affiliate":35,"profile_image_url":36,"description":37,"is_live":35,"current_viewer_count":38,"avg_viewer_count":39,"peak_viewer_count":23,"follower_count":40,"follower_diff_week":41,"follower_diff_latest":41,"percentile":42,"percentile_diff_week":43,"percentile_diff_latest":44,"latest_stream_start":45,"latest_stream_end":46,"stream_days":47,"total_sessions":47,"total_duration_minutes":48,"category":49,"title":52,"clip_count":41,"total_clip_views":41,"recent_sessions":53,"recent_clips":114,"percentile_history":115,"weekly_data":236,"creator":240,"youtube_channels":244,"twitcasting_user":34,"seo_indexable":27},1176068,"むぎちゃちゃ061","mugichacha061",null,false,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fjtv_user_pictures\u002Fcae940f4-e559-4537-957b-de15bb9c5cde-profile_image-300x300.png","20です。男です。",1,1.29,43,0,1.8761176543133746,-18.046215399825055,-0.620993953173339,"2026-07-11T06:59:49.000+09:00","2026-07-11T07:30:03.767+09:00",91,6360,{"id":50,"name":51},"515025","Overwatch","ジャンクラのボックスイベきたああああ",[54,68,85,100],{"id":55,"title":52,"started_at":45,"ended_at":46,"duration_minutes":56,"average_viewers":38,"peak_viewers":38,"followers_gained":34,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":59,"vod_archives":61,"chat_summary":67},13448180,30,"https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fpreviews-ttv\u002Flive_user_mugichacha061-{width}x{height}.jpg","ja",{"id":60,"name":51},18,[62],{"id":63,"url":64,"view_count":41,"duration":65,"thumbnail_url":66},30164126,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2816938560","23m11s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F744d84ab20320549fb84_mugichacha061_316161245170_1783720789\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},{"id":69,"title":70,"started_at":71,"ended_at":72,"duration_minutes":73,"average_viewers":41,"peak_viewers":41,"followers_gained":34,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":74,"vod_archives":77,"chat_summary":84},13312123,"ほとんどオーバーウォッチ","2026-07-06T21:03:14.000+09:00","2026-07-06T21:30:04.228+09:00",27,{"id":75,"name":76},78,"Fortnite",[78],{"id":79,"url":80,"view_count":81,"duration":82,"thumbnail_url":83},29572118,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2813419238",3,"20m59s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002Fe39e9e07d5f6488ca5a3_mugichacha061_316141836274_1783339394\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},{"id":86,"title":87,"started_at":88,"ended_at":89,"duration_minutes":90,"average_viewers":41,"peak_viewers":41,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":91,"vod_archives":92,"chat_summary":99},13260727,"朝までいけるか←りーむーでした","2026-07-05T09:58:34.000+09:00","2026-07-05T10:50:02.752+09:00",51,{"id":75,"name":76},[93],{"id":94,"url":95,"view_count":96,"duration":97,"thumbnail_url":98},29572119,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2812408040",2,"45m42s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F1f004fe6bf599931af8d_mugichacha061_316135145842_1783213114\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},{"id":101,"title":102,"started_at":103,"ended_at":104,"duration_minutes":105,"average_viewers":96,"peak_viewers":81,"followers_gained":41,"thumbnail_url":57,"language":58,"tags":34,"game_category":106,"vod_archives":107,"chat_summary":113},13255898,"朝までいけるか試す。","2026-07-05T01:54:26.000+09:00","2026-07-05T03:20:05.914+09:00",86,{"id":60,"name":51},[108],{"id":109,"url":110,"view_count":23,"duration":111,"thumbnail_url":112},29374826,"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.twitch.tv\u002Fvideos\u002F2812108173","1h14m13s","https:\u002F\u002Fstatic-cdn.jtvnw.net\u002Fcf_vods\u002Fd3vd9lfkzbru3h\u002F35ba48d83568c2f4232a_mugichacha061_316188487155_1783184066\u002F\u002Fthumb\u002Fthumb0-%{width}x%{height}.jpg",{"total_messages":41,"unique_chatters":41,"bits":41,"subs":41,"subgifts":41,"resubs":41,"avg_messages_per_minute":41,"participation_rate_pct":41},[],[116,120,124,128,132,136,140,144,148,152,156,160,164,168,172,176,180,184,188,192,196,200,204,208,212,216,220,224,228,232],{"id":117,"percentile":118,"measured_on":119},121043,55.549803718562615,"2025-07-05",{"id":121,"percentile":122,"measured_on":123},163164,40.12830583922493,"2025-07-06",{"id":125,"percentile":126,"measured_on":127},214011,31.93810549890565,"2025-07-07",{"id":129,"percentile":130,"measured_on":131},274339,32.39253148067738,"2025-07-08",{"id":133,"percentile":134,"measured_on":135},336511,32.31117776572322,"2025-07-09",{"id":137,"percentile":138,"measured_on":139},399175,32.088800805536465,"2025-07-10",{"id":141,"percentile":142,"measured_on":143},461623,31.894292835687356,"2025-07-11",{"id":145,"percentile":146,"measured_on":147},515849,18.822945518003234,"2025-07-12",{"id":149,"percentile":150,"measured_on":151},579703,20.77620078582311,"2025-07-13",{"id":153,"percentile":154,"measured_on":155},645537,26.533833738704637,"2025-07-14",{"id":157,"percentile":158,"measured_on":159},707619,26.637589725432132,"2025-07-15",{"id":161,"percentile":162,"measured_on":163},770046,26.727650459794177,"2025-07-16",{"id":165,"percentile":166,"measured_on":167},832358,26.847679134745377,"2025-07-17",{"id":169,"percentile":170,"measured_on":171},894218,27.089912987431518,"2025-07-18",{"id":173,"percentile":174,"measured_on":175},1088960,41.935956978733806,"2025-07-21",{"id":177,"percentile":178,"measured_on":179},1151011,42.30288461538462,"2025-07-22",{"id":181,"percentile":182,"measured_on":183},1213465,42.456730769230774,"2025-07-23",{"id":185,"percentile":186,"measured_on":187},1275922,42.59630657660404,"2025-07-24",{"id":189,"percentile":190,"measured_on":191},1338334,42.669619359394055,"2025-07-25",{"id":193,"percentile":194,"measured_on":195},1400619,42.81207243460764,"2025-07-27",{"id":197,"percentile":198,"measured_on":199},1806699,1.3205282112845138,"2025-08-03",{"id":201,"percentile":202,"measured_on":203},1869169,1.2443734098767043,"2025-08-04",{"id":205,"percentile":206,"measured_on":207},1934662,1.2481286207121005,"2025-08-05",{"id":209,"percentile":210,"measured_on":211},1991442,1.2565632264252158,"2025-08-06",{"id":213,"percentile":214,"measured_on":215},2069807,32.082712610920396,"2025-08-07",{"id":217,"percentile":218,"measured_on":219},2128795,27.837962810053835,"2025-08-08",{"id":221,"percentile":222,"measured_on":223},2189091,27.684602458071105,"2025-08-09",{"id":225,"percentile":226,"measured_on":227},2258828,42.87751886557758,"2025-08-10",{"id":229,"percentile":230,"measured_on":231},2312050,40.26375040205854,"2025-08-15",{"id":233,"percentile":234,"measured_on":235},2357931,34.640277255835315,"2025-08-16",{"Fri":237,"Mon":238,"Sat":239},{"13:00":38},{"03:00":41},{"08:00":81,"09:00":38,"16:00":41},{"id":241,"name":32,"primary_platform":242,"verified":35,"total_followers":243},44911,"twitch",39,[],[],{"streamer":247,"latest_prediction":248,"historical_predictions":360,"trend_analysis":500,"approach_performance":502,"available_approaches":543,"model_summary":574},{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"approaches":249,"id":317,"streamer_id":31,"prediction_date":318,"total_score":319,"weighted_total_score":320,"score":321,"trend_change":322,"weighted_trend_change":323,"viewer_count":41,"follower_count":41,"scoring_weights":324,"trend_direction":333,"trendDirection":333,"confidence":334,"reference_level":334,"referenceLevel":334,"reference_reasons":335,"referenceReasons":340,"growth_rate":322,"growthRate":322,"observed_days":341,"observedDays":341,"session_count":342,"sessionCount":342,"data_completeness":343,"dataCompleteness":343,"last_streamed_at":344,"lastStreamedAt":344,"current_viewer_count":38,"current_follower_count":40,"streamer":345,"category":346,"ml_score":347,"bayesian_score":348,"regression_score":349,"momentum_score":350,"growth_potential_score":347,"quality_score":351,"normalized_score":351,"clip_influence_composite":41,"clip_influence_score":41,"clip_creator_activity_score":41,"clip_creator_growth_score":281,"clip_creator_quality_score":41,"clip_creator_variety_score":41,"formatted_total_score":352,"formatted_weighted_score":353,"formatted_trend_change":354,"formatted_growth_rate":354,"formatted_current_viewers":355,"formatted_current_followers":356,"trend_direction_text":357,"trend_direction_icon":358,"confidence_text":359,"reference_level_text":359},[250,255,260,265,270,275,279,284,289,293,297,301,305,309,313],{"name":251,"value":252,"enabled":27,"info":253},"weighted_score",43.21,{"description":254},"フォロワー(30%)・配信(25%)・視聴者(25%)・クリップ(20%)の加重評価",{"name":256,"value":257,"enabled":27,"info":258},"regression_score",39.98,{"description":259},"過去の推移から次週の視聴者数を回帰予測し差分を評価",{"name":261,"value":262,"enabled":27,"info":263},"ml_score",83.1,{"description":264},"各種メトリクスを特徴量に成長確率を推定",{"name":266,"value":267,"enabled":27,"info":268},"momentum_score",40.16,{"description":269},"日次成長率と週次成長率の差分による勢い評価",{"name":271,"value":272,"enabled":27,"info":273},"normalized_score",55.43,{"description":274},"複数スコアを統計的に標準化して平均",{"name":276,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":277},"clip_influence_score",{"description":278},"影響力ある作成者のクリップ数を重視",{"name":280,"value":281,"enabled":27,"info":282},"social_spread_score",50,{"description":283},"直近クリップ視聴数を最新フォロワー数で割って100倍",{"name":285,"value":286,"enabled":27,"info":287},"new_viewer_score",0.31,{"description":288},"一定期間の新規視聴者比率で成長余地を推定",{"name":290,"value":281,"enabled":27,"info":291},"genre_correlation_score",{"description":292},"人気ジャンルとの一致度を評価",{"name":294,"value":90,"enabled":27,"info":295},"bayesian_score",{"description":296},"フォロワー成長率の安定性を考慮した評価",{"name":298,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":299},"clip_creator_variety_score",{"description":300},"クリップ作成者のユニーク数を用いて多様性を評価",{"name":302,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":303},"clip_creator_activity_score",{"description":304},"直近1週間の総クリップ数で活発度を測定",{"name":306,"value":281,"enabled":27,"info":307},"clip_creator_growth_score",{"description":308},"前週比のクリップ視聴数増加分を利用",{"name":310,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":311},"clip_creator_quality_score",{"description":312},"クリップ平均視聴数から質を評価",{"name":314,"value":41,"enabled":27,"info":315},"loyal_clip_creators_score",{"description":316},"同一配信者で複数回作成したユーザー数を指標",51835840,"2026-07-11",463.19532228103145,"29.209",29.209,-0.1840062311943285,1.19,{"ml_score":325,"bayesian_score":326,"momentum_score":327,"weighted_score":328,"new_viewer_score":329,"normalized_score":330,"regression_score":331,"social_spread_score":332,"clip_influence_score":329,"loyal_clip_creators_score":329,"clip_creator_quality_score":329,"clip_creator_variety_score":329,"clip_creator_activity_score":329},0.07840063450786654,0.0824080459323976,0.07940857155335548,0.0777936011677385,0.07394342141095143,0.07930518984936002,0.08187211810444543,0.07715131041912782,"stable","low",[336,337,338,339],"モデル検証の相関が低いため、参考度を低く表示しています","直近データが少ないため、参考度を下げています","データ完全性が低いため、参考度を下げています","モデル全体の検証成績と配信者データ品質の低い方を参考度として表示しています",[336,337,338,339],13,16,0.43,"2026-07-11T06:59:49+09:00",{"id":31,"display_name":32,"username":33,"profile_image_url":36},{"id":60,"name":51},83.10095293273315,50.99667774086378,39.97785160575858,40.163166510194934,55.430706708996716,463.2,"29.2","-0.2%","1","43","安定","➡️","低",[361,362,368,373,376,380,386,392,398,404,409,412,416,422,428,434,439,442,446,452,458,464,469,472,475,479,485,489,495],{"id":317,"prediction_date":318,"total_score":319,"weighted_total_score":320,"trend_change":322},{"id":363,"prediction_date":364,"total_score":365,"weighted_total_score":366,"trend_change":367},51584784,"2026-07-10",464.04920172801855,"28.8653",-2.2923400755214702,{"id":369,"prediction_date":370,"total_score":371,"weighted_total_score":372,"trend_change":41},51309126,"2026-07-09",474.93635820026543,"29.7151",{"id":374,"prediction_date":375,"total_score":371,"weighted_total_score":372,"trend_change":41},51062610,"2026-07-08",{"id":377,"prediction_date":378,"total_score":371,"weighted_total_score":372,"trend_change":379},50796273,"2026-07-07",-8.287222599322048,{"id":381,"prediction_date":382,"total_score":383,"weighted_total_score":384,"trend_change":385},50544821,"2026-07-06",517.85189769725,"31.3636",1.4380514480160673,{"id":387,"prediction_date":388,"total_score":389,"weighted_total_score":390,"trend_change":391},50286524,"2026-07-05",510.5104941439391,"30.7754",-17.03525831653688,{"id":393,"prediction_date":394,"total_score":395,"weighted_total_score":396,"trend_change":397},50028922,"2026-07-04",615.3342778932514,"40.6906",0.00030245393766569216,{"id":399,"prediction_date":400,"total_score":401,"weighted_total_score":402,"trend_change":403},49760521,"2026-07-03",615.3324167961271,"40.6967",1.5429887269015437,{"id":405,"prediction_date":406,"total_score":407,"weighted_total_score":408,"trend_change":41},49510193,"2026-07-02",605.9821800706054,"39.571",{"id":410,"prediction_date":411,"total_score":407,"weighted_total_score":408,"trend_change":41},49245909,"2026-07-01",{"id":413,"prediction_date":414,"total_score":407,"weighted_total_score":408,"trend_change":415},48988567,"2026-06-30",-9.023162557565929,{"id":417,"prediction_date":418,"total_score":419,"weighted_total_score":420,"trend_change":421},48746017,"2026-06-28",666.0840243584449,"42.6941",6.5044246798868155,{"id":423,"prediction_date":424,"total_score":425,"weighted_total_score":426,"trend_change":427},48479144,"2026-06-27",625.4050255287035,"39.6413",5.190217147893521,{"id":429,"prediction_date":430,"total_score":431,"weighted_total_score":432,"trend_change":433},48229678,"2026-06-26",594.5467577554359,"38.719",-0.46900894678672983,{"id":435,"prediction_date":436,"total_score":437,"weighted_total_score":438,"trend_change":41},47974756,"2026-06-25",597.3483750780371,"38.9163",{"id":440,"prediction_date":441,"total_score":437,"weighted_total_score":438,"trend_change":41},47714675,"2026-06-24",{"id":443,"prediction_date":444,"total_score":437,"weighted_total_score":438,"trend_change":445},47469686,"2026-06-23",-6.892064512226462,{"id":447,"prediction_date":448,"total_score":449,"weighted_total_score":450,"trend_change":451},47210995,"2026-06-22",641.5654819845918,"40.6719",-6.1632337101700925,{"id":453,"prediction_date":454,"total_score":455,"weighted_total_score":456,"trend_change":457},46944273,"2026-06-21",683.7037414556826,"44.0545",8.748995271450267,{"id":459,"prediction_date":460,"total_score":461,"weighted_total_score":462,"trend_change":463},46693048,"2026-06-20",628.6989040671849,"41.7339",-0.5887270107394993,{"id":465,"prediction_date":466,"total_score":467,"weighted_total_score":468,"trend_change":41},46449262,"2026-06-19",632.4221440511117,"41.6155",{"id":470,"prediction_date":471,"total_score":467,"weighted_total_score":468,"trend_change":41},46192192,"2026-06-18",{"id":473,"prediction_date":474,"total_score":467,"weighted_total_score":468,"trend_change":41},45958304,"2026-06-17",{"id":476,"prediction_date":477,"total_score":467,"weighted_total_score":468,"trend_change":478},45685592,"2026-06-16",-6.534812582032893,{"id":480,"prediction_date":481,"total_score":482,"weighted_total_score":483,"trend_change":484},45469974,"2026-06-15",676.6392509576664,"43.3711",54.90854741579572,{"id":486,"prediction_date":487,"total_score":488,"weighted_total_score":34,"trend_change":34},45196274,"2026-06-14",594.9196891842759,{"id":490,"prediction_date":491,"total_score":492,"weighted_total_score":493,"trend_change":494},44950203,"2026-06-13",436.7991710240973,"26.7312",-7.7054258062726015,{"id":496,"prediction_date":497,"total_score":498,"weighted_total_score":499,"trend_change":41},44698694,"2026-06-12",473.266359198159,"29.3671",{"trend_direction":333,"confidence":334,"reference_level":334,"reference_reasons":501,"growth_rate":322,"trend_change":322,"weighted_trend_change":323},[336,337,338,339],{"weighted_score":503,"regression_score":509,"ml_score":513,"momentum_score":518,"normalized_score":522,"clip_influence_score":527,"social_spread_score":528,"new_viewer_score":529,"genre_correlation_score":535,"bayesian_score":536,"clip_creator_variety_score":538,"clip_creator_activity_score":539,"clip_creator_growth_score":540,"clip_creator_quality_score":541,"loyal_clip_creators_score":542},{"current":504,"average":505,"max":506,"min":507,"trend":508},43.21331558849842,62.36,80.59614325089296,28.964043985731923,14.25,{"current":349,"average":510,"max":349,"min":511,"trend":512},35.17,33.33333333333333,6.64,{"current":347,"average":514,"max":515,"min":516,"trend":517},91.62,97.88713150499623,67.652392079554,15.45,{"current":350,"average":519,"max":520,"min":350,"trend":521},60.48,94.21710690655469,-9.84,{"current":351,"average":523,"max":524,"min":525,"trend":526},63.05,72.77208249395802,43.31658979953975,12.11,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":281,"average":281,"max":281,"min":281,"trend":41},{"current":530,"average":531,"max":532,"min":533,"trend":534},0.3126511939858745,65.4,99.99999999999977,0.011126903492686413,-49.69,{"current":281,"average":281,"max":281,"min":281,"trend":41},{"current":348,"average":537,"max":348,"min":281,"trend":38},50.27,{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":281,"average":281,"max":281,"min":281,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"current":41,"average":41,"max":41,"min":41,"trend":41},{"weighted_score":544,"regression_score":546,"ml_score":548,"momentum_score":550,"normalized_score":552,"clip_influence_score":554,"social_spread_score":556,"new_viewer_score":558,"genre_correlation_score":560,"bayesian_score":562,"clip_creator_variety_score":564,"clip_creator_activity_score":566,"clip_creator_growth_score":568,"clip_creator_quality_score":570,"loyal_clip_creators_score":572},{"name":545,"desc":254},"総合加重モデルV4",{"name":547,"desc":259},"時系列回帰",{"name":549,"desc":264},"機械学習モデル",{"name":551,"desc":269},"モメンタムスコア",{"name":553,"desc":274},"スコア正規化モデル",{"name":555,"desc":278},"クリップ作成者影響度指数",{"name":557,"desc":283},"ソーシャル拡散度",{"name":559,"desc":288},"新規視聴者率モデル",{"name":561,"desc":292},"ジャンル相関分析",{"name":563,"desc":296},"ベイズ更新モデル",{"name":565,"desc":300},"クリップ作成者多様性スコア",{"name":567,"desc":304},"クリップ活動量スコア",{"name":569,"desc":308},"クリップ視聴数成長スコア",{"name":571,"desc":312},"クリップ品質スコア",{"name":573,"desc":316},"常連クリップ作成者スコア",{"modelVersion":575,"generatedAt":576,"targetMetric":577,"targetHorizonDays":19,"validationPeriodStart":406,"validationPeriodEnd":370,"validationSampleCount":578,"validationMetricSampleCount":579,"correlation":580,"legacyTrendCorrelation":581,"scoreCorrelation":580,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":582,"topDecileLift":583,"topDecileAvgGrowth":584,"overallAvgGrowth":585,"mae":586,"rmse":587,"directionAccuracy":588,"modelReliabilityLevel":334,"candidateApproachCount":589,"enabledApproachCount":341,"predictionDataStatus":590,"notice":594,"explanation":595},"v4","2026-07-11T02:04:27+09:00","7日後の実績フォロワー成長率と予測スコアの整合性（Pearson\u002FSpearman\u002F上位デシル増分）",257502,10328,0.024864667597931968,0.02209539215135899,0.12411846352562246,3.2650616314842784,15.134733611157335,4.635359242599403,8.342586166939528,100.45553264781012,0.37190162664601084,15,{"latestAvailableDate":318,"exposedPredictionDate":318,"isServingLatestAvailable":27,"healthLevel":591,"servingFallbackReason":34,"latestAvailablePredictionCount":592,"latestAvailableCompletedCount":592,"latestAvailableNullTotalScoreCount":41,"latestAvailableNullTrendChangeCount":41,"latestAvailableNullWeightedScoreCount":41,"minimumCompletedPredictionCount":593},"healthy",260500,100000,"現在の予測は実験的な参考情報です。検証成績とデータ品質をもとに、参考度の根拠を表示しています。",{"summary":596,"reliabilityInterpretation":597,"metricDefinitions":598,"limitations":610,"improvementPolicy":615},"予測システムV4は、13種類の手法を組み合わせ、成長候補を探すための参考スコアを作る仕組みです。途中生成の予測日は公開対象から外し、完了済みデータだけを表示します。","現在の検証ではモデル参考度が低いため、個別の数値を精度保証として扱わず、成長候補を探す順位付け補助として参照してください。",{"correlation":599,"scoreCorrelation":600,"scoreSpearmanCorrelation":601,"topDecileLift":602,"topDecileAvgGrowth":603,"overallAvgGrowth":604,"legacyTrendCorrelation":605,"mae":606,"rmse":607,"directionAccuracy":608,"validationMetricSampleCount":609},"主指標。予測スコアの絶対値と7日後の実績フォロワー成長率のPearson相関です。0.20を超えると参考度「中」となります。","予測スコアと実績成長率のPearson相関（線形関係の強さ）です。主指標として参考度判定に使われます。","予測スコア順位と実績成長率順位のSpearman順位相関です。ランキング用途での整合性を測ります。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の平均成長率が、全体平均の何倍かを示します。1.0=同水準、2.0以上で強い予測力。","予測スコア上位10%の配信者の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","検証対象配信者全体の7日後実績フォロワー成長率（%）の平均です。","旧指標。スコア前日比と実績成長率の相関です。ランキング用途には不向きなため、現在は補助参照のみ。","スコア前日比と実績フォロワー成長率の平均絶対誤差（旧指標ベース）です。","大きな外れを重く見る誤差指標です。MAEより外れ値の影響を強く受けます。","スコア前日比の符号と実績成長率の符号が一致した割合です。","検証メトリクス計算に使えた配信者数です。",[611,612,613,614],"相関が低い期間では、スコア順と実績成長順が強く一致しているとは言えません。","急なバズ、休止、イベント、カテゴリ変更などの外れ値で誤差が大きくなることがあります。","配信者ごとのデータ量や直近活動が少ない場合、個別予測の参考度は自動的に下がります。","短期の7日後検証であり、長期的な成長や継続的な人気を保証するものではありません。",[616,617,618,619],"最新の検証結果に応じて、15手法の重みを再調整します。","配信者規模やカテゴリごとのセグメント別に検証し、同じ基準で見すぎないようにします。","外れ値の影響を抑えるロバストな評価指標を追加します。","7日後だけでなく、3日後と14日後の検証も比較して用途に合う期間を確認します。"]